Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Goldman’

Gold Prices Are Breaking Out; Goldman Stumped

After a long time, the Philadelphia Stock Exchange Gold and Silver Index has broken out on an absolute & relative price basis to put in what appears to be a meaning bottom that is bullish for gold and silver mining stocks. We maintain this bullish view as long as the absolute & relative price trends hold above the weekly moving averages, which should provide support on pullbacks.

Goldman's Call To Short Gold, 5 Days After Saying Gold May Soar Much Higher

Last Wednesday evening, Goldman decided to be the latest to piggyback on gold’s torrid momentum, by saying “there’s scope for the gold price to extend much higher over time.” Less than a week later, as the gold momentum has been briefly snapped, that Goldman’s head of commodities has decided to take the other side & is now advising clients to short gold.

Goldman Calls It: No Rate Hike Until Mid-2016

There you have it: no rate hike until mid-2016, which as we said previously, means no rate hike at all since the “apolitical” Fed will never hike just before a presidential election, and more importantly, by then the epic inventory liquidation-driven recession will have already started, making the only question that matters in the summer of 2016: NIRP or QE4.

Will Yellen Shock All: Goldman Says "Fed Should Think About Easing"

The punchline comes from Goldman’s Financial Conditions Index which is now screaming for QE4 or NIRP. After predicting of a roaring economy,Goldman admits the Fed can’t hike even 25 bps. Pay attention to what Goldman says the Fed will do, for “risk management” purposes – because as shown many times in the past, Goldman runs the Fed.

Conspiracy Theory: A Greek Default Is Precisely What The ECB Wants

From an economic perspective, Greece shows “internal devaluation,” – which is a very polite way of saying plunging wages, labor costs, and generally benefits, including pensions. Goldman essentially says that it is in the ECB’s & Europe’s, best interest to have a Greek default – and with limited contagion at that – one which finally does impact the EUR lower.

If Gold Is Not Money, Why Do Clearinghouses and Former Fed Chairs Say It Is?

Collateral is an underlying asset that is pledged when a party enters into a financial arrangement. Even Alan Greenspan, the man most responsible for the 2008 financial crisis, has admitted that “gold is money.” He couldn’t admit this until he’d left the Fed. But this is a man who knows all too well just how the financial system works.

Gold Surges After Goldman Says It Is Time To "Put Rate Hikes On Hold For Now"

The reason why gold is surging off the bat, the main reason cited by trading desks is what Goldman announced late on Friday. Goldman’s economic team strong hint to the Federal Reserve, “We do not have much confidence in the inflation outlook & believe that the right policy would be to put hikes on hold for now.”

The Smart Money Is Selling, Not Buying - Goldman Warns

Since the smart money knows that buying anything at 10x or 11x EBITDA usually ends up wiping out the equity tranche when generously levered courtesy of today’s insane, broken, manipulated & centrally-planned market, it is not touching the market with a 10-foot pole. The only question is who starts the selling avalanche & when?

Goldman: It's The Central Banks' Fault We Can't Be More Bearish On Gold

We’ve heard it all: snow, cold weather, hot weather, non one-time recurring, “one-time, non-recurring” charges, and even Bush. But when it comes to “excuses” for why one is wrong, this morning Goldman’s note “Central banks stall a more bearish gold outlook” absolutely takes the cake. Here is the jist of Damien Courvalin’s note.

Goldman, BofA Warn Crude Oil Crash Will Have Negative Impact On GDP, Earnings

The direct negative effect of lower oil prices on Energy earnings is clear. Given this historical relationship and oil futures prices, Energy earnings are likely to drop by more than 50% year/year in 2015. This fall would result in an S&P 500 earnings drag of roughly $65 billion, or more than $7 of EPS vs. 2014.

Additional Chinese Stimulus Risks Global Financial Stability: Goldman

The soft July data have once again generated expectations of monetary easing from China. Goldman believes that a combination of sectoral policies aimed at easing financial stress and structural adjustment would be a better policy option. They do not expect broad macro easing or an interest rate cut in what remains of this year.

Derivatives World Plays Russian Roulette. What’s At Stake?

Total face value of unregulated derivatives contracts (that suck a huge amount of capital out of the global economies each year) is around 1,000 Trillion dollars – depending on who is counting & who is lying. Mega banks sell these derivatives contracts to generate huge commissions & obscene profits, not the public good.

Gold – Fertile Ground for Sarcastic Analysis

Sarcastic Analysis: Gold prices must go down for all the reasons given herein. Things are good, actually improving, and gold is headed down to about $400 per ounce. Gasoline & food prices have been steadily increasing for the last 15 years, (actually for 100 years), but they are almost certain to go back down next month.

Double Whammy Shocker From Goldman Which Is Also Waving Goodbye To NYSE

Goldman has undergone complete transformation in in the past weeks: first Goldman, the bank that everyone else on Wall Street imitates, waving goodbye to HFT & now departing the NYSE? When Goldman says the current market structure is no longer necessary, people notice & promptly imitate.

12 Largest Banks Sued By Public Retirement Funds For "Conspiring To Rig Global FX Markets"

A group of investors across the U.S. and Caribbean, including city and state pension plans have filed a joint lawsuit against 12 banks (All the Too Big To Prosecute banks) for “allegedly conspiring to rig global foreign-exchange prices.” Allegedly? Hasn’t everyone read the Cartel chatroom transcripts yet?

A Debt Limit Deal May Be Delayed Until The Weekend

The House and Senate now have competing debt limit increases, which both extend the debt limit to February 2014 and reopen the government through January 2014, but differ on details – The differences could delay enactment past October 17.

follow us

markets snapshot


Market Quotes are powered by Investing.com India

live commodity prices


Commodities are powered by Investing.com India

our latest tweets

follow us on facebook