Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Government Debt’

Gold Wins in 3 out of 4 Scenarios - None Bode Well for the Economy

If you think of gold, the only way gold loses is if normal business and private sector cycles come back. If that is the case, gold goes back 100 dollars per ounce. The other outcomes, deflation, stagflation, hyperinflation are good for gold. So gold wins in three out of four scenarios, but none of the three are particularly appealing. Here is why.

How will the US Elections Affect Equities and Gold?

The experience of losing money is common in investing. But where is the certitude of loss even before your check clears? That’s the situation with sovereign debt right now. Gold is money and money is sterile. It does not pay dividends or earn income. I don’t suggest that it is the only thing that people should have their money in. But to me, gold is a very timely way to invest in monetary disorder.

Revealing the Real Rate of Inflation Would Crash the System

The grim reality is that real rate of inflation is 7+% per year, and this reality must be hidden behind bogus official calculations of inflation as this reality would collapse the entire status quo. Who’s being destroyed by 7+% real inflation? Everyone whose income has stagnated and everyone who depends on wages rather than assets to get by–in other words, the bottom 95%.

Are You Prepared for the Hyperinflation Shock? Get on the Gold Wagon Now!

The problem is that no one is prepared for the coming shock. All of this printing will result in global hyperinflation of at least similar proportions to the Weimar republic or Zimbabwe. The final decline of the currencies will be reflected in the gold and silver prices. Gold at $1,330 and silver at $19 is a bargain, but with hyperinflation, we could add quite a few zeros to their prices.

The Rally in Gold Prices is Just Getting Started

It’s been a stellar six months for gold investors. The yellow metal has surged 28% year-to-date, its best first half of the year since 1974. And now there are signs that the rally is just getting started. About $10 trillion worth of global government debt now carry historically low or negative yields are contributing to gold’s attractiveness right now & pushing it up on a new bull run.

Now It's The Japanese Savers That Are Flooding Into Gold Bullion

Individual investors drove a 60% jump in sales of gold in June from May at Tanaka Holdings, the operator of Japan’s largest bullion retailer. Why the surge into gold? The yen’s appreciation in spite of the adoption of the negative-rate policy has kindled skepticism about the policy’s benefits. It’s also led to investors seeking to protect their assets in case Abenomics fails.

Negative Yields On Global Government Debt Drives Gold Demand

It’s unprecedented that a third of all global government debt has negative yields. Which drives gold demand. Effectively what we’re seeing is people’s pensions being decimated because the policymakers have had very few if any alternatives left. It is in this environment that gold will help satisfy need. It’s more about protection of wealth rather than creation. That’s where gold plays.

Future Prospects for Fiat Currency Money & it's Purchasing Power

The faith and credit-standing of issuers of paper money, and not the known and suspected inadequacies of commercial finance, is the last rotten pit-prop supporting the system. We can easily see how a new round of monetary expansion designed to save the global banking system from its nemesis will lead, not to a Lehman-style outcome, but to a collapse of paper currencies.

Pension Fund Deficits Stand at Record Levels - Can Gold Ameliorate the Situation?

The result is pension fund deficits today stand at record levels, even after a doubling of equity markets over the last five years. Goodness knows how bad it must be for pension funds in countries where negative interest rates have been imposed. This article lays out the problem & its scale, so far as it is known, & notes that a pension fund that has a holding in gold is a very rare animal.

Is There A Better Insurance Against Global Risk Than Gold? I Doubt It!

Negative rates kill the incentive to save & without savings, there will be no investments or growth in the economy. But the biggest disaster is hitting the pension sector. When risks are major, it is critical to protect yourself against them. It is not a coincidence that some of the most successful investors in the world are recommending physical gold as insurance against these risks.

Some Game-Changers for Gold Prices on a Long-Term Outlook

Don’t for a second believe these are the only factors making a strong case for higher gold prices ahead. There are many more that suggest the same. Looking at all that’s happening around the world, $5,000 gold prices seems like a real possibility. I don’t expect the gold price to hit $5,000 right away. It will take time – Nevertheless, gold bears beware!

Watch How The Petrodollar Di(v)es As US - Saudi Relations Crack

U.S.-Saudi interests are diverging in many ways. Saudi Arabia’s 40-year pact with the United States is on the verge of ending. What happens next will have ramifications for the dollar for decades to come. We could be nearing the end of the petrodollar & I would not want to be holding U.S. Treasuries. With current interest rates I don’t want to hold them anyway.

Negative Interest Rates: Causes, Consequences and Ramifications

Negative interest rates are unprecedented and show how far we have gone off course in terms of policy related to money and credit markets. They are already having a tremendous effect in several European countries and Japan, and they may eventually be coming to the US. Negative rates hold significant future implications for gold as well.

Gold and the Postponed Stock Market Correction

Is it just me or is the next market correction taking way longer than it should? In other words, have the powers that be figured out how to keep the music playing better than ever? The Fed must have inflation & will do everything possible to create it. Central banks as well as markets have become aware that monetary policy has limitations. And the gold price is sniffing this out.

Gold - It Is The Only Sound Money There Is

Measured in gold, it is the price of the dollar falling that makes sense of what is happening. Gold’s purchasing power is considerably more stable than that of paper currencies over the long term. We do not have to make guesses over gold’s future purchasing power. The future price of gold depends on what happens to the purchasing power of the paper currencies in which it is measured.

Owning Gold and Silver is Power to the People to Weather the Monetary Storm

The US still is one of the few nations on earth where it’s totally legal & easy to buy real physical money – gold and silver. That means Americans at least have the opportunity to weather the coming financial storm pretty well. Citizens of other nations with governments that have made it nearly impossible, or very expensive, to buy gold and silver are going to be in much deeper trouble.

Government Borrowing Is Not Like Private Debt

Neither borrowing nor saving is inherently good or bad. At least in the private sector. Whether one chooses to save or borrow to finance a project depends upon a subjective assessment of the relative trade-offs. It’s another matter entirely, though, when we’re talking about the government sector, as the two are not comparable.

Russia's Dollar De-Dollarization May Have Begun

Russia has plans to raise $1 billion in government debt next year with bonds denominated in Chinese renminbi. Not the US dollar! Uh-Oh. the de-dollarization is taking off. So what if Russia denominates their bonds (that used to be issued in dollars) in renminbi & vice versa with Chinese issued bonds? This eliminates the need to hold large sums of dollar reserves.

Traders Fear Debt Market Distortions Signal "Something Big Is Brewing"

It appears the mainstream is beginning to recognize that something very strange is going on in debt markets. Whatever the reason, the severity of the distortions is unnerving many investors. The big question remains whether there is “something bigger brewing under the surface that so far hasn’t been pinpointed yet.”

Gold and Silver unlikely to Rally till US Dollar can Forge Appearance of ‘Health’

If & when the elite’s corporate operations fall apart due do the unsustainable debt creation & the launching of so many regional wars around the globe in the service of maintaining the fiat Federal Reserve Note, “dollar, as the world reserve currency, only then will we likely see the end of the decline in gold and silver and some degree of higher prices.

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