Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Housing Starts’

Take Advantage of the Fed's Uncertainty - Buy Gold or a New Home

The Fed’s decision is a wash for precious metals, oil and gas prices. A rate hike would have likely caused the U.S. dollar to strengthen even further, which in turn would have put additional pressure on commodities. Home buyers who have been sitting on the fence now have a double-incentive to act: historically low mortgage rates and a possible chance at killer bargains.

What To Expect From June's Major Economic & Central Bank Events

Since the last Employment report things have been relatively quiet on the economic and Central Bank front but all that is set to change over the next three weeks. Volatility should pick up and many of these events could be potentially market moving for certain asset classes.

Citi Warns: "Housing Sentiment Got Carried Away"

The divergence between the NAHB index and other housing indicators has continued to suggest that sentiment was “getting ahead of itself” and as Citi’s Tom Fitzpatrick warns would suggest that the qualitative nature of the overall housing recovery is less robust than one would like.

An Update On The Much "Hoped For" Housing Recovery

The rising risk to the housing recovery story lies in the Fed’s ability to continue to keep interest rates suppressed. With each tick higher in mortgage rates, so goes the monthly mortgage payment. Also the housing recovery is ultimately a story of the “real” employment situation.

Why the Fed Won’t Start Taper in the December FOMC Meeting

Factors mentioned here suggest another non-taper in December. If we’re right, the spotlight on January’s FOMC meeting – which already features Ben Bernanke’s exit, Janet Yellen’s new role and a new set of voters – will be even brighter.

The Housing Recovery - Is It Really Recovering?

The risks to the housing story remains high due to the impact of higher taxes, stagnant wage growth, re-defaults of the 6-million modifications and workouts and a slowdown of speculative investment due to reduced profit margins.

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