Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Hyperinflation’

Silver Prices to Increase Exponentially in the Long Term

Silver prices, relative to the S&P 500 Index, are currently quite low. Central banks have levitated stock prices and “discouraged” silver prices since 2011. What if the S&P continues its exponential increases and the ratio reverts back toward the high end of its range? The silver to S&P ratio could be around 3.0, and the annual average price for silver could be roughly $100 – $150.

Stack Gold and Silver, Avoid Paper Assets and Politicians to Retire Happily

We don’t know what the next twenty years will bring, but based on the last 3,000 years we can reasonably expect massively more debt, more central banker control over economies, unfulfilled promises from politicians, devalued fiat currencies, monetary crises, wars, diminishing middle class, and that gold and silver will remain money and continue as a store of value.

Gold Wins in 3 out of 4 Scenarios - None Bode Well for the Economy

If you think of gold, the only way gold loses is if normal business and private sector cycles come back. If that is the case, gold goes back 100 dollars per ounce. The other outcomes, deflation, stagflation, hyperinflation are good for gold. So gold wins in three out of four scenarios, but none of the three are particularly appealing. Here is why.

The Inflation Horse Defies Central Bankers' Whippings - Why?

Every 3 days for the past 9 years, one of the world’s central bankers dresses up as a jockey. They mount the horse & flog it with the whip marked ‘lower interest rates’. The inflation horse is supposed to respond to these whippings by suddenly springing to life & galloping towards the furlong marked ‘2–3% inflation’. No one seems to have told these jockeys they’re flogging a dead horse.

Are You Prepared for the Hyperinflation Shock? Get on the Gold Wagon Now!

The problem is that no one is prepared for the coming shock. All of this printing will result in global hyperinflation of at least similar proportions to the Weimar republic or Zimbabwe. The final decline of the currencies will be reflected in the gold and silver prices. Gold at $1,330 and silver at $19 is a bargain, but with hyperinflation, we could add quite a few zeros to their prices.

Rising Commodity Prices Signal Inflation - Purchasing Power Collapse

Asset inflation is increasingly spilling over into commodities, the feedstock for final goods. Unless commodity prices start falling soon, they are certain to drive up record price inflation, despite the lack of economic activity in the advanced economies. The official line, that there is almost no price inflation, is misleading everyone. Monetary inflation withdraws purchasing power from the masses.

Brits Pouring Over Half Their Net-Worth Into Gold Post-Brexit

The speed at which the British people are buying gold is unprecedented. We are seeing people convert as much as 40 to 50% of their net worth into physical gold, (compared to) 5 to 10% in the past. The sudden surge in gold sales is more remarkable considering the British historically haven’t shown as much interest in the yellow metal as residents of many other countries.

Will Gold Prices Crash With The Dow And Again Soar On Inflation?

Are we headed for a crash in the stock market? Yes, and a more severe one than in 2008. As the crash unfolds, gold will be sold even though holders may be confident about gold, as the goal will be to cover immediate losses. Inflation will then ramp up dramatically as governments increase money supply, eventually causing collapses in currencies. Currency collapse will again push up gold prices.

Greenspan Warns Of Imminent Crisis, Urges A Return To Gold Standard

“If we went back on the gold standard & adhered to the structure of the gold standard as it exited prior to 1913, we’d be fine. Remember that the period 1870 – 1913 was one of the most aggressive periods economically that we’ve had in the U.S. & that was a golden period of the gold standard. I’m known as a gold bug & everyone laughs at me, but why do central banks own gold now?” – Alan Greenspan

The True Bearer of the Title ‘Risk Free Asset’ Should be Gold

The true bearer of the title ‘risk free asset’ should be gold – not T-bills or whatever other names government paper has. This is because gold is liquid under all market conditions. Silver is another excellent way to minimize your dependence on the goodwill of others. The former Bank of England head Lord Mervyn King offers good reasons for individual investors to buy & hold gold.

When There is Fear Everywhere, That’s When Gold and Silver Perform Best

Right now, this is a very scary time… People want to hop out of traditional assets and find safety in the oldest currency in the world – Gold and Silver. If and when things get worse, panicked and concerned citizens the world over will continue to shift capital into safe haven assets like gold and silver, which will be the only currencies left standing when it really hits the fan.

Silver Prices - The “Five Year Plan” and the Great Leap Forward

Five years ago paper silver contracts on the COMEX hit a multi-decade high over $48 on April 29, 2011. The low occurred at about $13.60 in December of last year, when paper silver prices were down about 70% from their April 2011 high. Silver prices will move upward to $50 and eventually to $100, depending upon the degree of dollar devaluation.

China needs a lot of Gold to make-up for the Loss Expected on Treasuries

Right now, China’s reserves are about $3.2 trillion, of which about $2 trillion is denominated in US dollars, and most of that are U.S. Treasury Securities. They can’t dump them. So what the Chinese are doing instead is they’re acquiring gold as a hedge. China is going to be in this position where they lose on the paper, but they make it up on the gold.

Is a Bull Market Quietly Gathering Strength in Gold?

Is the resumption of the bull market in gold, that so many have patiently awaited for years quietly, gathering strength under our noses? Expect a $50 gold rally to around $1280. I am somewhat open to the possibility that gold will blast off, once above $1280 without looking back, leaving in the dust all who were hoping to accumulate bullion & mining shares on weakness.

The Inevitability Of A Very Dramatic Inflation

Since deflation is the problem that’s staring us in the face now, governments are doing everything they can to reverse it & return to inflation, as they benefit from inflation. People can only be taxed so much before they rebel, but inflation acts as a hidden tax & most people don’t recognise it. Trouble is, hyperinflation, when it comes, comes very fast and is uncontrollable.

The Outlook for Gold Prices is Brightening Rapidly

US dollar’s serious breakdown, which results from the NIRP move in Japan & the realization that this makes further rate rises in US much less likely, coupled with growing pressure for global QE to beat back the mounting forces of deflation mean that massive and widespread inflation is not far. While this is obviously not good news for the average housewife, what could be better for gold?

Gold Prices vs National Debt: The Big Picture

Since the peak in gold prices in 2011 the Federal Reserve has “generously” supplied the world with trillions of dollars of newly created digital and paper debt, all backed by nothing but faith and credit. Bonds have rallied and the S&P is higher by 50% or so. The US national debt has steadily increased and gold is still bumping around a bottom.

Gold Price Weaker on Greek Bailout Despite Strong Physical Demand

Once again, investors remain perplexed about the price action of gold, especially after Greece defaulted on its debt owed to the IMF & imposed bank closures & capital controls amid its debt crisis. But, it is unlikely that the price of gold will remain suppressed for too long as global demand for gold remains strong despite the recent price dip in U.S. dollar terms.

When Will US Debt Hit the Wall?

US debt is now over $13 Trillion & is increasing rapidly, thanks to out of control spending far in excess of revenues. Assume revenues increase at the historical average of 4.6% per year & public debt only increases at 14% per year. Its likely that revenues will decline in the coming recession, while expenses will probably increase for social programs. And then?

Gold Replacing the US Dollar as Reserve Asset

Fiat currencies are dying. Central banks will not actively back their currencies with gold but gold will replace foreign currency reserves. Many of the high debt countries like e.g. Greece, which look bad in today’s fiat currency context, will actually fare well in this transition of gold taking over the reserve asset status from fiat currency.

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