Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Hyperinflation’

Gold is Good as an Inflation Hedge, but Better as a Crisis Hedge

Whether there is hyperinflation or a banking collapse, Gold has historically been the asset to own in times of turmoil. Given its intrinsic value and safe-haven status, there is no doubt that Gold will remain a wealth preservation tool during financial crises. Crises do not come along often, but when they do, it is better to be safe than sorry. Gold is the perfect crisis insurance.

Are Rate Hike Cycles Good for the US Dollar & Bad for Gold?

Gold does not necessarily rise and fall with interest rates, jewelry demand in India, or any other widely believed nonsense. Rather, gold has moved in conjunction with perceptions as to whether or not the Fed and central banks have everything under control. If you believe as I do, that everything is not under control, or if you want some insurance, then take a position in gold.

Hyperinflation In The US — A Real Or Imagined Threat?

After seeing the latest string of events unfold right before our eyes, many are pondering whether we may see hyperinflation hit the US shores. When monetary supply goes unchecked, the price of basic goods goes up & the currency loses its value. Rather than ponder Trump’s latest executive orders or over the top pronouncements, let us first look at what hyperinflation is & how it works.

Cash Is No Longer King: The Phasing Out of Physical Money Begins

The stage for inevitable demise of paper money is set. The cash that allows free transactions without tax burdens or state scrutiny won’t be around much longer. There will be many rationalizations for a cashless society in the years to come, but without fixing this broken financial system first, this will only ensure that despotism gains an even sturdier foothold.

Higher Debt Will Accelerate Central Bank Gold Demand

The U.S. government is currently saddled with $19.9 trillion in public debt. The US dollar accounts for about 64 percent of central banks’ foreign exchange reserves. With the potential for higher U.S. budget deficits and debt risking dollar strength, central banks around the globe could be motivated to increase their gold holdings, says Credit Suisse.

Choking Inflation is last thing the Fed wants now - Good for Gold

The Fed will not raise rates for the fun of it. The Fed wants to keep inflation under control, but what the organization really wants is negative real rates. That’s where inflation is higher than nominal rates. It does the Fed no good to raise rates unless inflation is going up even faster. Yet that’s exactly when gold does its job of preserving wealth.

Silver Prices to Increase Exponentially in the Long Term

Silver prices, relative to the S&P 500 Index, are currently quite low. Central banks have levitated stock prices and “discouraged” silver prices since 2011. What if the S&P continues its exponential increases and the ratio reverts back toward the high end of its range? The silver to S&P ratio could be around 3.0, and the annual average price for silver could be roughly $100 – $150.

Stack Gold and Silver, Avoid Paper Assets and Politicians to Retire Happily

We don’t know what the next twenty years will bring, but based on the last 3,000 years we can reasonably expect massively more debt, more central banker control over economies, unfulfilled promises from politicians, devalued fiat currencies, monetary crises, wars, diminishing middle class, and that gold and silver will remain money and continue as a store of value.

Gold Wins in 3 out of 4 Scenarios - None Bode Well for the Economy

If you think of gold, the only way gold loses is if normal business and private sector cycles come back. If that is the case, gold goes back 100 dollars per ounce. The other outcomes, deflation, stagflation, hyperinflation are good for gold. So gold wins in three out of four scenarios, but none of the three are particularly appealing. Here is why.

The Inflation Horse Defies Central Bankers' Whippings - Why?

Every 3 days for the past 9 years, one of the world’s central bankers dresses up as a jockey. They mount the horse & flog it with the whip marked ‘lower interest rates’. The inflation horse is supposed to respond to these whippings by suddenly springing to life & galloping towards the furlong marked ‘2–3% inflation’. No one seems to have told these jockeys they’re flogging a dead horse.

Are You Prepared for the Hyperinflation Shock? Get on the Gold Wagon Now!

The problem is that no one is prepared for the coming shock. All of this printing will result in global hyperinflation of at least similar proportions to the Weimar republic or Zimbabwe. The final decline of the currencies will be reflected in the gold and silver prices. Gold at $1,330 and silver at $19 is a bargain, but with hyperinflation, we could add quite a few zeros to their prices.

Rising Commodity Prices Signal Inflation - Purchasing Power Collapse

Asset inflation is increasingly spilling over into commodities, the feedstock for final goods. Unless commodity prices start falling soon, they are certain to drive up record price inflation, despite the lack of economic activity in the advanced economies. The official line, that there is almost no price inflation, is misleading everyone. Monetary inflation withdraws purchasing power from the masses.

Brits Pouring Over Half Their Net-Worth Into Gold Post-Brexit

The speed at which the British people are buying gold is unprecedented. We are seeing people convert as much as 40 to 50% of their net worth into physical gold, (compared to) 5 to 10% in the past. The sudden surge in gold sales is more remarkable considering the British historically haven’t shown as much interest in the yellow metal as residents of many other countries.

Will Gold Prices Crash With The Dow And Again Soar On Inflation?

Are we headed for a crash in the stock market? Yes, and a more severe one than in 2008. As the crash unfolds, gold will be sold even though holders may be confident about gold, as the goal will be to cover immediate losses. Inflation will then ramp up dramatically as governments increase money supply, eventually causing collapses in currencies. Currency collapse will again push up gold prices.

Greenspan Warns Of Imminent Crisis, Urges A Return To Gold Standard

“If we went back on the gold standard & adhered to the structure of the gold standard as it exited prior to 1913, we’d be fine. Remember that the period 1870 – 1913 was one of the most aggressive periods economically that we’ve had in the U.S. & that was a golden period of the gold standard. I’m known as a gold bug & everyone laughs at me, but why do central banks own gold now?” – Alan Greenspan

The True Bearer of the Title ‘Risk Free Asset’ Should be Gold

The true bearer of the title ‘risk free asset’ should be gold – not T-bills or whatever other names government paper has. This is because gold is liquid under all market conditions. Silver is another excellent way to minimize your dependence on the goodwill of others. The former Bank of England head Lord Mervyn King offers good reasons for individual investors to buy & hold gold.

When There is Fear Everywhere, That’s When Gold and Silver Perform Best

Right now, this is a very scary time… People want to hop out of traditional assets and find safety in the oldest currency in the world – Gold and Silver. If and when things get worse, panicked and concerned citizens the world over will continue to shift capital into safe haven assets like gold and silver, which will be the only currencies left standing when it really hits the fan.

Silver Prices - The “Five Year Plan” and the Great Leap Forward

Five years ago paper silver contracts on the COMEX hit a multi-decade high over $48 on April 29, 2011. The low occurred at about $13.60 in December of last year, when paper silver prices were down about 70% from their April 2011 high. Silver prices will move upward to $50 and eventually to $100, depending upon the degree of dollar devaluation.

China needs a lot of Gold to make-up for the Loss Expected on Treasuries

Right now, China’s reserves are about $3.2 trillion, of which about $2 trillion is denominated in US dollars, and most of that are U.S. Treasury Securities. They can’t dump them. So what the Chinese are doing instead is they’re acquiring gold as a hedge. China is going to be in this position where they lose on the paper, but they make it up on the gold.

Is a Bull Market Quietly Gathering Strength in Gold?

Is the resumption of the bull market in gold, that so many have patiently awaited for years quietly, gathering strength under our noses? Expect a $50 gold rally to around $1280. I am somewhat open to the possibility that gold will blast off, once above $1280 without looking back, leaving in the dust all who were hoping to accumulate bullion & mining shares on weakness.

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