Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Indian Rupee’

Gold Investment Amid Fears of Govt. Crackdown & Weakening Prices

Domestic gold prices are expected to remain range bound with a weaker bias in the next quarter because the dollar is strengthening against the Indian rupee. Local gold demand has come down drastically after demonetisation. Gold sales from wholesalers to retail jewellers have come down by around 90%. The situation is expected to remain like this till 31 December.

RBI Cuts Repo Rate 50 Basis Points, But Rupee Rallies

I’m a fan of RBI Gov. Rajan, and I think that if he feels as though this will help offset the China slowdown. But to see the rupee rally like it has after a rate cut? That’s a surprise. I shake my head in disbelief. But, gold is down, and so too is silver, and platinum, with palladium the only precious metals of these 4 to be trading with a gain this morning.

India, Russia And Thailand Prepare For Currency War

When China sneezes, the world catches a cold. Alternatively, when China devalues, the rest of the (exporting) world scrambles to not be the last (exporting) nation standing, and to do so next, before everyone else does. Case in point, at least three major emerging market nations announced they are bracing for a currency war.

Commodities Collapsed Just Before Last Stock Market Crash – Any Guess About Now?

If we were going to see a stock market crash in the United States in the fall of 2015 (to use a hypothetical example), we would expect to see commodity prices begin to crash a few months ahead of time. This is precisely what happened just before the great financial crisis of 2008, and we are watching the exact same thing happen again right now.

Gold, Governments and Central Banks

Governments and central banks are frequently criticized by goldbugs for being anti-gold. Examples include the Indian government restricting gold import, the US government refusing to carry out a full audit of the US Treasury’s gold holdings and the Swiss government and central bank strongly opposing the “gold initiative” demands.

Gold Movements Have Me Spooked For Now

A 6,000-contract dump as markets opened in Europe was followed by a dump of 14,000 gold contracts, just before New York’s opening bell last Monday. Is somebody trying to get the gold price down? Either a big position wanted out, or somebody wanted to spook the market. And there’s nothing we can do about it either way.

Major Currencies and Gold - The Big Picture

Various developed nations have been able to leverage their currencies to economic or at least stock market gains, after all. What has gold done? Gold is trying to bottom here. Just as the 2011 ‘Knee Jerks’ hurt gold’s investment sponsorship greatly on a large scale, the small scale panics can be damaging on a short-term basis.

Stock Index At Record High And Rupee Strength Makes Analysts Like India Now

Despite India’s troubles over the past few years, more recent economic data indicate that India is heading in the right direction. India has a very good future. All we need is to make some reforms to allow growth at the pace that it should be growing. This is an economy that should be growing at 6%.

Gold Prices Rise To 4 Month High, But Will The Bull Run Continue?

I would be a bit cautious because we’ve seen swings in equity markets & turmoil in emerging markets subside & that’s not a strong backdrop for gold prices going forward. Without any meaningful shift in investor sentiment & given the positive macroeconomic outlook, gold’s rally may be temporary.

Emerging Markets, Interest Rates and Tapering

Having added unprecedented amounts of liquidity into its own economy through QE, the Fed is now reducing the pace of its expansion of narrow money. This is bad news for emerging market countries, who will surely conclude that international monetary co-operation has broken down.

Global Economy Forecast 2014 - Witness Financial Terrorism LIVE!

A comprehensive Global Economic Forecast for 2014, presented in a simple format. Here is what I expect to occur in the near future on Emerging market trends, Gold and Silver, Commodities, Reserve Currency, Stock and Equities, Inflation, Civil Unrests, U.S., Eurozone, China and Emerging Markets Economies.

The Elusive Economic Recovery. The “Tide of Cheap Money”

What is remarkable is that this setback to recovery has occurred even in the midst of a period when the “tide of cheap money,” to use an expression of the Financial Times in the context of “quantitative easing,” “is lifting all boats.”

What Happens When The Giants Unwind Economic Stimulus

The world has depended on Chinese and American stimulus for years, and one implication of their tightening is a slowing global economy in 2014 – Unwinding stimulus, especially one so large and prolonged, is fraught with unintended consequences. Bubbles tend to pop, not deflate slowly.

Curbs On Gold Imports In India To Stay Despite Easing Trade Gap

India will keep a tight leash on gold imports despite a recent improvement in its trade deficit and lobbying by a bullion industry struggling with high premiums and a supply crunch – Indian importers have never been subject to restrictions and that is why they are finding this very painful.

Indian Government May Cause Gold Pullback

The Indian government finally succeeded in stifling gold imports in August and are expected to be shockingly down to 2.5 tonnes, considering that India represents the largest chunk of global demand and imported an average 72 tonnes per month in 2012.

Gold and Silver - Off To The Races Once More

Gold has a very strong outlook as it heads toward the last quarter of the year. Physical demand is traditionally very good in the fall season, which will bolster the already astounding demand statistics for 2013.

Currency Volatility Is Unnerving Investors

Low-interest-rates by the U.S. Fed made it easy for investors to borrow money and send it abroad, but as the Fed is taking the first steps toward letting rates rise in the United States, investors are pulling back their money

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