Commodity Trade Mantra

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Gold Prices Based on Historically Low Real Interest Rates - A Small Hike Won't Hurt It

Gold prices are up 26% so far in 2016 & heading into the fall the greater risk remains to the upside due to the tremendous amount of money sloshing through the system. The potential Fed rate hike this September will not hurt gold prices because gold prices are a function of historically low real interest rates. Also helping gold, is the dislocation in the currency markets, especially post-Brexit.

Gold Buying in India Set to Get a Boost from Strong Monsoons

Gold is more popular among lower income families, many of whom depend on monsoon rains to nourish their crops. About a third of Indian gold demand comes from rural farmers, who have traditionally converted a percentage of all crop revenue into the precious metal to be held as insurance and sold in times of dire need. Most reports so far this year indicate surplus rainfall.

Despite Several Hurdles, Will Indians Keep Buying Gold?

Gold has done well for Indians who are still interested in gold, and will keep buying also due to the high deficit and high inflation. But Indians are having trouble getting as much real gold as they want – Can the Indian government really continue to stop gold imports here?

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