Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Inflation’

The Only Hurdles that Gold Prices need to Overcome to Enter the Real Bull Market

Will gold prices rise as emboldened Specs demand even greater long positions from the market-making Banks, forcing The Banks to retreat? Or will The Banks once again seize control of gold prices and send them plunging down through the 100-day and 200-day moving averages? Gold prices will only go up, but the “real” bull market won’t get going until it sees an actual pickup in inflation.

Here's what will Propel Gold Prices to Levels which Few can Imagine Today

We must remember that 1976-80 gold went up 8.5x from $100 to $850. This time the situation is much more explosive so a 10 fold increase is not unrealistic. Here are 10 factors that are neither based on hope, nor fantasy. It is not a question if they will happen but only WHEN, and will happen, faster than imaginable. The compound effect of these 10 factors should push gold prices up at least 10-fold.

Inflation Is Much Higher Than Officially Announced - Do You Yet Want More?

On the one hand, government agencies are bending over backward to under-report inflation. On the other, the Federal Reserve is whining that inflation is too low and their efforts to push it higher have failed. More honest and accurate estimates of real-world inflation is around 7% or even as high as 10% in high-cost metro areas, not 2%. So why does the Fed yet want higher inflation?

Hold Physical Gold and Silver - Unprecedented Risks the World faces, calls for Desperate Measures

Gold and silver are held as insurance for wealth preservation purposes. The economic, financial and geopolitical risks in the world today are unprecedented in history. We are facing the dual risk of a financial crisis with a failing banking system, as well as insolvent sovereign states, leading to all currencies being debased to zero. Investors must hold an important amount of physical gold and silver.

Despite High Global Uncertainty, U.S. Citizens Remain Under Invested in Gold

Gold remains extremely under-owned by investors despite having a solid track record as a currency of last resort in times of uncertainty, and despite the current global environment being arguably more uncertain than any point since the second world war. Gold ETFs as a percentage of all ETF assets are now closer to 2%, despite an increasing risk of inflation and therefore negative real rates.

Inflation in 15 Minutes & Solution to Debt Crisis - Raise the Dollar Price of Gold

A massive inflation in 15 minutes: the time it takes to vote on the new policy. Don’t think this is possible? It’s happened in the U.S. twice in the past 80 years. Raising the dollar price of gold is the quickest way to cause inflation. If the markets don’t do it, the government can. It works every time. Gold can be used to work around a debt ceiling crisis if an agreement isn’t reached in the months ahead.

Gold Bullish on a Long Term Basis - Gold Bulls need to be Patient

The world is awash in too much debt, be it household, corporate or government. Gross global debt is at $152 trillion, an all-time high 225% of world GDP. At some point, central banks will be forced to engineer higher inflation rates to lessen the burden of all this debt. Realizing this, investors can be expected to embrace gold as the ultimate safe haven. Gold bulls should prepare to be patient.

Why is Gold Up, is Wrong Question. Ask, Why isn't Gold higher, Around $1550?

Why is Gold Up is the wrong question. We should be asking: Why isn’t Gold higher? The answer to that question will likely come when the Fed decides to hike or not hike next week. And how Gold reacts. If you believe like us that what the Fed does is mattering less and less, than a hike will be a dip to buy. Gold is becoming focused more on the longer term problems enveloping us domestically & globally.

Forced Selling Commences: Gold Prices to Soar on Inflation & Other Crises

It will get bloody as forced selling commences & panic selling will ensue before the epic rise begins. Even if interest rate hikes remain a headwind for gold, investors still need to remember that real rates, will remain low for a long time. This time when inflation starts to show up, & believe me, it will, they won’t be able to fight it by raising rates. I don’t think the Fed is going to get ahead of inflation.

Negative Real Rates to Drive Gold Prices Higher Despite Fed Hikes

With arguably the two biggest drivers of the gold price trending in the yellow metal’s favor, gold prices are likely to go higher. Although the dollar could rise if Washington implements some structural reform, real rates aren’t headed higher anytime soon based on the Fed’s actions. If past is prologue, as inflation rises over the coming months, gold will do very well.

Are Gold ETFs Gearing Up for a Rally on the New-found Optimism?

The inflationary outlook is finally looking up in the developed economies. Political risks in Europe including Brexit worries, French elections and talks of Scotland’s independence vote have brightened the prospects for higher gold prices. So, investors intending to profit out of the new-found optimism in the gold space may consider gold ETFs like SPDR Gold Shares GLD, etc.

Would You Invest in Gold And Silver Bullion or Bitcoin?

From $412, one year ago, to $1290 on Friday, bitcoin has gained over 200%. Compared to the price action in bitcoin, gold seems boring. While this is a virtue for gold to be used as money (and a vice for bitcoin), it does tend to attract those who just want to get into the hottest casino du jure. There’s more than enough irony to go around.

Gold and Silver - Honest, Sound Money Rising at the State Level

Supporters of sound money are working hard to reestablish gold and silver as money according to state law and to make sure it is treated as such in the tax code. Trading one form of money for another should not trigger any tax. There is no sales tax when customers swap their precious metals for dollars, so switching dollars to bullion should also be tax exempt.

I Buy Gold as it’s Cheap & Central Bankers are Weakening Paper Currencies

Central bankers have printed more than $12 trillion since 2008. It was never a question of if we’d get inflation. It was a question of when. Now that inflation has finally arrived, the price of gold should rise as inflation picks up. Druckenmiller didn’t say he bought gold because the stock market is about to crash, but because 1) it’s cheap and 2) central bankers are weakening paper currencies.

Is Gold still a Buy? - 5 Reasons You Should Increase Allocation to Gold

Gold is up almost 8% since the beginning of the year & the outlook for 2017 is bright. Net bets on higher future prices have almost doubled since January. Assets held by gold ETFs are up 34% from their Dec lows. Given its recent surge, is gold still a “buy?” Here are 5 compelling Reasons. Given the uncertain outlook & improving fundamentals for gold, now is a great time to add gold to your portfolio.

Gold Investment is now Insurance for Long-Term Protection against Inflation

Inflation just got another jolt, rising as much as 2.5% YoY in Jan. Significant increases in inflation will ultimately increase the price of gold. Investment in gold now is insurance for long-term protection. Major stock indices continued to hit fresh all-time highs & it’s important to temper the exuberance with a little prudence, making gold’s investment case even more attractive.

The Real US Economy - A Full-Fledged Credit Crisis Is Inevitable

Americans are filing bankruptcy at the fastest rate in years… A growing number of U.S. businesses are going bust… The value of U.S. auto loans topped $1 trillion for the first time ever. Outstanding credit card debt has also surged to record highs. The value of student loans has doubled since 2009. All this wouldn’t be such a big problem if the economy were doing well… But it’s not.

Traders to Stay Bullish on Gold - Inflation to Accelerate Faster than Fed will Hike Rates

Inflation is going to accelerate faster than the Fed is going to hike rates; that’s good for real assets. On top of it, we are looking for weak dollar on broad basis; that combination has a good tendency to boost gold prices. There’s a lot of uncertainty here. As for the Fed, in the current environment, they may normalize rates but it’s going to be slow moving.

Investors Shift Back into Gold as Trump’s Honeymoon Period Ends

Following the Nov election, outflows from gold ETFs & other products accelerated. But now, just two weeks into Trump’s term as president, the gold bulls are banging the drum, with several large hedge fund managers taking a contrarian bet on the precious metal. Following Trump’s comment that it was “too strong”, the U.S. dollar declined, helping gold prices rise.

Don't Ignore What Surging Inflation Indicates: Go Buy Some Gold

Changes in headline inflation measures suggest a gentle firming in prices. However, underneath the surface there is evidence that inflation may continue to rise past the steady 2% nirvana that central banks prefer. Finally, should inflation expectations rise faster than nominal rates, gold is likely to continue to merit a place in most portfolios.

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