Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Inflation’

Is Gold and Silver Bull Market Intact or will US Dollar Strength Crush it?

Conventional wisdom would tell us with the US$ index nearing a major breakout, gold and silver would be vulnerable to further losses. Ultimately, as long as Gold and silver’s fundamental driver – declining or negative real interest rates remain in place, then the fledgling bull market will remain on track. With inflation poised to rise, real rates are likely to decline further in 2017.

How Will the Election Outcome Impact Gold and Silver?

The looming national bankruptcy coincides with this year’s extraordinarily divisive election. As the trust and prestige of our Federal government fades, the potential for social unrest and even wrenching change in governance and policy is on the rise. If crisis is coming in the next presidential term, the people holding physical gold / silver will almost certainly be glad they did.

Inflation - Difficult to Move, But Once Moving, Hard to Control

Three key measures of inflation have recently lurched across the Fed’s threshold of 2%. The recent pickup in gas prices is set to have an even sharper upward impact on the consumer price inflation basket. Inflation can really spin out of control very quickly. If it happens, it would happen very quickly. Inflation is like a supertanker: Hard to get moving. But once moving, hard to stop.

Hike Gold Price To Get Inflation When All Else Fails

Raising the price of gold is the easiest way to get inflation. A higher dollar price for gold is practically the definition of inflation. Governments can do this in a heartbeat. The Fed would just declare the price of gold to be, say, $5,000 an ounce & make the price stick using the gold in Fort Knox & their printing press to maintain a two-way market. If you don’t believe this can happen, just check the history books.

Finally The Fed Admits It Has No Clue on Inflation & Investment Spending

The most interesting comment by Fed Chair Janet Yellen was her admission that she and her prestigious voting members don’t have a clue why inflation and capital investment spending have not returned to loftier levels. Then how do they yet expect a significant 250 basis point credit tightening over the next couple of years in an economy muddling along just above “stall” speed?

The Fed’s Missed Window To Hike Rates & Failed Realizations

What is clear is the Federal Reserve should have chosen to increase rates long ago where such tightening of monetary policy would have been somewhat offset by the continued floods of interventions. The window to lift interest rates appears to have closed which could potentially be a policy nightmare. Eventually something has to give & it will likely not be the outcome the Fed hopes for.

The War on Cash Is Still Good for Gold Prices

In a world where nothing larger than a $10 bill exists, hoarding cash would be highly impractical. As paper currency is phased out, gold prices will rise. Were cash eliminated and interest rates plunged underwater, gold’s role as a store of value would become even more apparent and demand for the yellow metal would turn red hot, despite its price appreciation.

Gold Bears Won't Have Reason to Rejoice Even if Rates are Hiked

US data has been looking distinctly soft of late. If growth continues to tail off, then the case for a rate rise will weaken rather than strengthen, so it may be a question of now or never. The conventional thinking is that a rate rise will lead to a fall in the gold price. It may be that the rate rise that’s now supposed to put a brake on gold will have more of a temporary dampening effect.

Silver Prices in Uptrend or is More Correction Yet to Come?

The Daily trend has flipped higher but the intermediate term trend for silver is yet lower. Hedge funds remain bullish on silver. As long as this recent upside momentum remains intact, this should pose no problem, but as we have seen time & again, any hesitation to move higher, any loss of upside momentum, and this fickle crowd will have to be watched for further long liquidation.

Double Digit Inflation And The Rise of Gold

Inflation can really spin out of control very quickly. So is double-digit inflation rate within the next five years in the future? It’s possible. We would see a struggle from two to three, and then jump to six, and then jump to nine or ten. This is another reason why having a gold allocation now is of value. Because if and when these types of development begin happening, gold will be inaccessible.

Exposing The Link Between Monetary Policy And Social Inequality

Our monetary policy direction has been prolonging the slowdown since 2008. The longer we wait, the worse the hit we will take. We are going from one bubble to another and are just postponing the inevitable. Under our current system, which has stripped the working class from their savings, they are exposed to greater risks than ever before.

A Gold Standard & Debt Jubilee for an Honest Money Monetary System

A gold standard handcuffs corrupt governments, forcing them to operate somewhere near a balanced budget, at all times. It handcuffs criminal central banks, restraining the speed with which they steal-by-inflation to a near-zero rate. Only alternative to Debt Slavery: Debt Jubilee – the complete renunciation of all debts. We absolutely require a gold standard but cannot till we don’t have a debt jubilee.

Emerging Markets and Gold - Right Concoction for a Balanced Portfolio

We can look at emerging markets with strong domestic spending such as India, the Philippines, other parts of Southeast Asia & Latin America where their growth patterns are independent of what’s going on in China. And in this period where we’ve had massive government intervention in the fiat money markets, we have our ultimate portfolio insurance in gold.

The Inflation Horse Defies Central Bankers' Whippings - Why?

Every 3 days for the past 9 years, one of the world’s central bankers dresses up as a jockey. They mount the horse & flog it with the whip marked ‘lower interest rates’. The inflation horse is supposed to respond to these whippings by suddenly springing to life & galloping towards the furlong marked ‘2–3% inflation’. No one seems to have told these jockeys they’re flogging a dead horse.

Debt Addiction Will Drive Gold And Silver Prices Higher - Guaranteed!

Gold and silver are finite. Fiat is infinite. When the infinite begins to chase the finite in more earnest, it is anyone’s guess as to how the valuing of gold and silver will unfold. Those who have placed their trust in the natural order of supply and demand will amply be rewarded once the unnatural forces of fiat evil lose their incestuous grip of faux, yet real, power.

Last 2 Times Equity Valuations Were This High, Result Was A Historic Crash

The current P/E expansion cycle is now one of the largest in history. Although equity valuations are typically highest during periods of low interest rates, the current 18x P/E stands at the upper end of the historical valuation range. During the last 40 years the only instance in which S&P 500 forward P/E exceeded 20x was the Tech Bubble (peak of 24x in December 1999).

Are You Prepared for the Hyperinflation Shock? Get on the Gold Wagon Now!

The problem is that no one is prepared for the coming shock. All of this printing will result in global hyperinflation of at least similar proportions to the Weimar republic or Zimbabwe. The final decline of the currencies will be reflected in the gold and silver prices. Gold at $1,330 and silver at $19 is a bargain, but with hyperinflation, we could add quite a few zeros to their prices.

Gold Market Manipulation has Created Rarest of Opportunities

The banksters, by manipulating the price of gold and artificially creating a bear market, have created what will likely turn out to be one of the greatest opportunities ever seen. It’s time for price to swing in the other direction. And it’s going to swing so far in the other direction, that I have no doubt before it is over this will be the largest bull market the world will ever see.

Will Gold Prices Crash With The Dow And Again Soar On Inflation?

Are we headed for a crash in the stock market? Yes, and a more severe one than in 2008. As the crash unfolds, gold will be sold even though holders may be confident about gold, as the goal will be to cover immediate losses. Inflation will then ramp up dramatically as governments increase money supply, eventually causing collapses in currencies. Currency collapse will again push up gold prices.

Deflation Scares Central Bankers - Can Gold Be Their Biggest Ally?

Every Central Banker dreads deflation. They’re doing everything they can to generate a 2% annual rate of inflation, but can’t get it. Well, the last thing you want to see is the gold price going down. If prices continue to drop, they fall to a point where they start to impact jobs. Drilling rigs & mines shut down. So in-fact, they want gold and silver prices, copper & oil prices to go higher.

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