Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Inflation’

Why is Gold Up, is Wrong Question. Ask, Why isn't Gold higher, Around $1550?

Why is Gold Up is the wrong question. We should be asking: Why isn’t Gold higher? The answer to that question will likely come when the Fed decides to hike or not hike next week. And how Gold reacts. If you believe like us that what the Fed does is mattering less and less, than a hike will be a dip to buy. Gold is becoming focused more on the longer term problems enveloping us domestically & globally.

Forced Selling Commences: Gold Prices to Soar on Inflation & Other Crises

It will get bloody as forced selling commences & panic selling will ensue before the epic rise begins. Even if interest rate hikes remain a headwind for gold, investors still need to remember that real rates, will remain low for a long time. This time when inflation starts to show up, & believe me, it will, they won’t be able to fight it by raising rates. I don’t think the Fed is going to get ahead of inflation.

Negative Real Rates to Drive Gold Prices Higher Despite Fed Hikes

With arguably the two biggest drivers of the gold price trending in the yellow metal’s favor, gold prices are likely to go higher. Although the dollar could rise if Washington implements some structural reform, real rates aren’t headed higher anytime soon based on the Fed’s actions. If past is prologue, as inflation rises over the coming months, gold will do very well.

Are Gold ETFs Gearing Up for a Rally on the New-found Optimism?

The inflationary outlook is finally looking up in the developed economies. Political risks in Europe including Brexit worries, French elections and talks of Scotland’s independence vote have brightened the prospects for higher gold prices. So, investors intending to profit out of the new-found optimism in the gold space may consider gold ETFs like SPDR Gold Shares GLD, etc.

Would You Invest in Gold And Silver Bullion or Bitcoin?

From $412, one year ago, to $1290 on Friday, bitcoin has gained over 200%. Compared to the price action in bitcoin, gold seems boring. While this is a virtue for gold to be used as money (and a vice for bitcoin), it does tend to attract those who just want to get into the hottest casino du jure. There’s more than enough irony to go around.

Gold and Silver - Honest, Sound Money Rising at the State Level

Supporters of sound money are working hard to reestablish gold and silver as money according to state law and to make sure it is treated as such in the tax code. Trading one form of money for another should not trigger any tax. There is no sales tax when customers swap their precious metals for dollars, so switching dollars to bullion should also be tax exempt.

I Buy Gold as it’s Cheap & Central Bankers are Weakening Paper Currencies

Central bankers have printed more than $12 trillion since 2008. It was never a question of if we’d get inflation. It was a question of when. Now that inflation has finally arrived, the price of gold should rise as inflation picks up. Druckenmiller didn’t say he bought gold because the stock market is about to crash, but because 1) it’s cheap and 2) central bankers are weakening paper currencies.

Is Gold still a Buy? - 5 Reasons You Should Increase Allocation to Gold

Gold is up almost 8% since the beginning of the year & the outlook for 2017 is bright. Net bets on higher future prices have almost doubled since January. Assets held by gold ETFs are up 34% from their Dec lows. Given its recent surge, is gold still a “buy?” Here are 5 compelling Reasons. Given the uncertain outlook & improving fundamentals for gold, now is a great time to add gold to your portfolio.

Gold Investment is now Insurance for Long-Term Protection against Inflation

Inflation just got another jolt, rising as much as 2.5% YoY in Jan. Significant increases in inflation will ultimately increase the price of gold. Investment in gold now is insurance for long-term protection. Major stock indices continued to hit fresh all-time highs & it’s important to temper the exuberance with a little prudence, making gold’s investment case even more attractive.

The Real US Economy - A Full-Fledged Credit Crisis Is Inevitable

Americans are filing bankruptcy at the fastest rate in years… A growing number of U.S. businesses are going bust… The value of U.S. auto loans topped $1 trillion for the first time ever. Outstanding credit card debt has also surged to record highs. The value of student loans has doubled since 2009. All this wouldn’t be such a big problem if the economy were doing well… But it’s not.

Traders to Stay Bullish on Gold - Inflation to Accelerate Faster than Fed will Hike Rates

Inflation is going to accelerate faster than the Fed is going to hike rates; that’s good for real assets. On top of it, we are looking for weak dollar on broad basis; that combination has a good tendency to boost gold prices. There’s a lot of uncertainty here. As for the Fed, in the current environment, they may normalize rates but it’s going to be slow moving.

Investors Shift Back into Gold as Trump’s Honeymoon Period Ends

Following the Nov election, outflows from gold ETFs & other products accelerated. But now, just two weeks into Trump’s term as president, the gold bulls are banging the drum, with several large hedge fund managers taking a contrarian bet on the precious metal. Following Trump’s comment that it was “too strong”, the U.S. dollar declined, helping gold prices rise.

Don't Ignore What Surging Inflation Indicates: Go Buy Some Gold

Changes in headline inflation measures suggest a gentle firming in prices. However, underneath the surface there is evidence that inflation may continue to rise past the steady 2% nirvana that central banks prefer. Finally, should inflation expectations rise faster than nominal rates, gold is likely to continue to merit a place in most portfolios.

Gold Price Movements may not be Exciting in 2017 – But I just can’t be Bearish on Gold

Across the developed world, is civil tension, unrest and division going to bubble over, or is it going to simmer down in the coming years? There is every chance that the narrative of civil discontent, division and unrest continues to fester and worsen in the coming years, even if there are no big, catalytic votes coming up in the US and UK. That’s why I’m not particularly bearish about gold.

Here's why 2017 should make Investors Confident about Gold and Silver?

Any sign that the Fed is going to keep interest rates behind the inflation curve is positive for gold and silver. At the moment, a number of top analysts have several interest rates rises depressing the outlook for gold and silver. But this may either not happen, or inflation could prove more rapid than expected & have the same effect. Here are the fundamentals that should make investors feel confident.

Gold Is Cheap Insurance - No Matter What, Real Interest Rates Will Remain Negative

Either inflation or negative real rates would definitely be a plus for gold prices. If the economy really starts to show strong growth, the Fed will begin a series of rate hikes to put the brakes on inflation, but we anticipate them to be reactive. In either case, real interest rates will remain negative, or at best near zero in both scenarios. This makes a very strong case for holding gold at current prices.

Optimistic Or Pessimistic - Bullish Case for Gold is Clear to All

Throughout 2017, gold should be supported by even deeper negative real rates, which could fall to their lowest level in two years as inflation outpaces nominal interest rate increases. Gold has tended to rise when real rates (what you get when you subtract inflation from the federal funds rate) fell into negative territory. Being optimistic helps you to see the opportunities that others might not.

Gold Prices will soon Reflect the Damage Done (By / To) the US Dollar

As the reality of the ‘new’ Depression sets in, the failure of initial efforts by government will be seen more clearly. They will then step up their efforts. Damage to the US dollar would be reflected in the US dollar price of gold which could easily go from $700 to $7000 in months, maybe weeks. If you think that $7000 gold prices are right around the corner, better plan accordingly.

Gold Price Outlook 2017: Analysts Call for Price Increase

Over the last five years, the gold price has more or less been stuck in a bear market. Moving into 2017, the gold price is expected to move much higher. One key indicator is the moving average of convergence/divergence, which is also known as MACD, and on a weekly basis the MACD and RSIR are indicating that the next move for gold will be up.

Higher Debt Will Accelerate Central Bank Gold Demand

The U.S. government is currently saddled with $19.9 trillion in public debt. The US dollar accounts for about 64 percent of central banks’ foreign exchange reserves. With the potential for higher U.S. budget deficits and debt risking dollar strength, central banks around the globe could be motivated to increase their gold holdings, says Credit Suisse.

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