Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Interest Rate Hike’

Gold Has No Reason To Fear The Fed's Potential Interest Rate Hike

A 25-basis-point move in September is not going to be disastrous for gold prices, which have risen almost 30% gains since the lows in December. I don’t think the gold market has anything to fear from U.S. monetary policy. Even if rates rise 1% this year, the important thing to remember is that real rates will still be negative and that is ultimately positive for gold.

Gold Prices Based on Historically Low Real Interest Rates - A Small Hike Won't Hurt It

Gold prices are up 26% so far in 2016 & heading into the fall the greater risk remains to the upside due to the tremendous amount of money sloshing through the system. The potential Fed rate hike this September will not hurt gold prices because gold prices are a function of historically low real interest rates. Also helping gold, is the dislocation in the currency markets, especially post-Brexit.

Why Own Bonds or Fiat With Negative Yield When You Can Buy Gold?

Either way (hike or no hike), there is no place for the gold bull to hide. It took gold approximately 7 months to advance $250 and overcome major resistance at $1,300/oz from a bottom of $1,050. A reasonable target could be $1,550/oz ($1,300 + $250) by March 2017 – 7 months from now. Silver could follow a similar pattern with a near-term target of $26/oz.

More Reasons to Own Gold and Silver With Each Passing Day

Does a 0.25% Fed Funds rate increase really change the fiat currency destruction policy adopted for decades & provide an impetus to sell gold and silver in exchange for devaluing paper & digital fiat currencies? There is no end in sight to the fiat currency purchasing power devaluation objectives of Central Bankers & start converting fiat currencies into wealth preserving physical gold and silver.

Alien Invasion More Likely than July Rate Hike & That’s Good for Gold

Interest rates are actually lower now than they were at the depths of the 2001 economic downturn after the dot-com collapse and 9/11. In other words, this so-called recovery is weaker than most recessions. If this recovery is weaker than your typical recession, imagine what the next recession is going to be like. The bottom line is all of this is good for gold.

Nothing Can Stop The Runaway Bull Market In Gold - Not Even The Fed

The next Federal Reserve rate hike is on hold… for now. The last time the Fed raised rates was from 2004 to 2006. Rates went from 1% all the way to 5.25%. If gold was truly affected by the Fed raising interest rates, then it would have had a devastating effect on the gold price… right? But in-fact gold prices went up. Gold doesn’t care about the Fed, especially when gold is in a bull market.

Will Fed Kill The Dollar To Save Markets - Or Sacrifice Markets To Save Dollar?

A strong dollar makes exported US military hardware too expensive for foreign purchases & a weak dollar can cause a lack of confidence in the dollar & can cause inflation because the US relies heavily on imports. If an interest rate hike causes the equity markets to crash, demand for US Treasuries will spike, thus furthering the Fed’s objectives of keeping demand high for US Treasury bonds.

Has Gold Already Priced-In a Fed Interest Rate Hike?

Gold already started correcting following the Fed’s fear-provoking announcement that it might raise rates in mid-June. The announcement lifted the US dollar 0.8% & sent gold down 2%, but the change is still within trend. Is there more downside ahead? Likely yes. Gold is seasonally weak in June. The lead-up to June 15 might be more significant than the event itself.

Worldwide Defaults are Imminent - Would You Prefer Bonds or Gold?

The US owes something like $200 TRILLION if one includes Social Security & other outflows going forward. Some 100 million individuals including young people & seniors are not working in mainstream jobs or not working at all. When the entire world’s financial infrastructure is threatening to implode due to unmanageable debt, what would you rather be holding – gold or bonds?

Gold Prices will rise on Weaker Dollar - Thanks to Fed's Monetary Policies

Change happens for a reason. Yellen may not be “missing” the risks of stagflation. More likely, she is heading there on purpose – as terrible as that sounds to say. How will gold react? That’s still not clear. But in our view, the longer term trends involve price inflation and economic stagflation. These will weigh down the dollar and drive gold prices higher against it.

The Fed is Data Dependant - Gold Price is Dollar Dependant

Rising gold holdings have been the one bright spot for the gold price that has held steady even in the face of weakness on the gold chart. The big question the market is going to be asking is can the Fed indeed hike rates at a pace that would send the US Dollar higher with all the negative side effects from that. Much depends on what the Forex markets do with the US Dollar.

Gold and Silver Take a Breather - Will Investors Grab this Buying Opportunity?

In the near term, gold is threatened by a rate hike & there may well be some liquidations of tactical positions. This is to be expected, especially around the start of summer, based on historical precedent. We are optimistic about gold over the rest of this year as negative interest rate fears & also inflation have reawakened investors’ confidence in gold as a reliable currency & store of value.

Obama’s Grand Jobs Recovery: Part-Time Work for Everyone!

The mainstream media talks constantly about a “strengthening economy” & a certain interest rate hike next month. But every once in a while, it pulls back the curtain. CNN Money reported the truth on the actual condition of the US jobs market. It revealed the “job growth” Obama keeps crooning about as a sham. In fact, there are more jobs, but they are part-time jobs.

Could Gold Prices Soar in September?

Gold prices began this week on a slightly negative note as prices drifted back towards their lowest levels since mid-August after US payrolls data failed to provide clarity on the timing of a US Fed rate hike. People are also waiting to see what’s going on in China. That & the Fed rate decision will be the most important factors for gold prices over the next days.

Here Is Why The Fed Can't Hike Rates By Even 0.25%

The US Treasury and the Federal Reserve (where Zoltan Poszar previously worked) understand and grasp the momentuous implications of even the smallest quantum of interest rate increase. What the Fed doesn’t want, is not one but one thousand LTCMs going off at exactly the same time in what is now the world’s most levered trade.

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