Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Interest Rates’

The Big Question now is - Where does Gold go from Here?

Gold has held its own despite higher interest rates and threats of more. That tells me we’re seeing a flight to quality, meaning people are losing confidence in central banks all over the world. They realize the banks are out of bullets. So gold has been moving up in what I would consider a challenging environment of higher rates. The question now is, where does gold go from here?

What's keeping a lid on Gold Prices? Seems just a Play to Distract Investors

You will see higher gold prices next year on the back of low interest rates, no matter who the new Federal Reserve Chair is. A global debt crisis is building and that will be a long-term factor for gold prices. Sentiment, which has driven equity markets to record highs, could change very quickly and investors will soon be happy to have gold in their portfolio as an insurance policy.

Is the Massive Debt Growth Holding Back Economic Growth?

Ten years on from the great financial crisis & it seems as if no one has learned anything from the event. Unless credit creation increases markedly from current levels, the 10-year yields moving average should be no greater than 2.5% by the end of 2018. If credit growth fails to materialize, the case for another interest rate rise becomes weaker. High levels of leverage are holding back economic growth.

Here's what will Propel Gold Prices to Levels which Few can Imagine Today

We must remember that 1976-80 gold went up 8.5x from $100 to $850. This time the situation is much more explosive so a 10 fold increase is not unrealistic. Here are 10 factors that are neither based on hope, nor fantasy. It is not a question if they will happen but only WHEN, and will happen, faster than imaginable. The compound effect of these 10 factors should push gold prices up at least 10-fold.

Here's The Fundamental That Matters Most To The Price Of Gold

There are the positive geopolitical fundamentals & positive economic fundamentals (that we all know about) for the price of gold. In relative terms, none of these fundamentals count. There is one more important fundamental for the price of gold. Not only is it the most important fundamental, but it involves a variable which dwarfs all other fundamentals in magnitude — combined.

Gold and Silver Test Key Support Zones on Dollar Bounce

Gold and silver currently find themselves in the red for the month of Sept. But the dollar could very easily weaken again. If buyers manage to defend their ground around $1,276 in gold & $16.80 in silver & they go on to rise back, then the bullish trend would re-establish. Also a correction in US stock markets, tighter monetary conditions & raised geopolitical risks could boost the appetite for gold and silver.

Fed Minutes on Inflation, Debt Limit, Balance Sheet & the Effect on Gold

If the Fed minutes indicate that more Fed policymakers see the weak inflation as long-lasting, it could reduce the chances of an anticipated hike, thus the USD would drop. On the other hand, the corrective move in the US Dollar would gather pace if the policymakers blame low inflation on transitory factors. The Fed minutes due today would shed light on the future movements in gold.

What are You going to put Greater Faith in Now - Stocks or Gold?

The world currently seems to believe more in companies and all the enterprise that comes with them than it does in gold. Have we reached a turning point here, with the S&P 500 at two times the price of an ounce of gold? That’s a question we all need to think about. What are you going to put greater faith in from current levels given the current state of the world – stocks or gold?

Don't Worry, Gold Prices Will Rise - These 7 Worrisome Signs Will Ensure It

Even if markets continue to rise in the interim, gold prices will rise. Since late 2015, gold has outperformed the S&P 500 by 30%. While the outlook for the US economy is more positive than it was 12 months ago, if we zoom out for a moment, the big picture ain’t so rosy. Gold has historically done well in times of uncertainty & panic & with these 7 worrisome signs, there could be plenty ahead.

The Perfect Precious Metals Storm - Made In America

The America as we have known – forever changed last night. And with it, the odds of the dollar’s death as “world reserve currency” increased dramatically. The one thing I’m sure of, is that if you hold at least a modicum of precious metals – physical gold and silver, held outside the financial system; no matter where you reside, your financial path forward will be exponentially easier.

Forced Selling Commences: Gold Prices to Soar on Inflation & Other Crises

It will get bloody as forced selling commences & panic selling will ensue before the epic rise begins. Even if interest rate hikes remain a headwind for gold, investors still need to remember that real rates, will remain low for a long time. This time when inflation starts to show up, & believe me, it will, they won’t be able to fight it by raising rates. I don’t think the Fed is going to get ahead of inflation.

Bankrupt America: Interest On Debt Alone Approaches A TRILLION Dollars

The Trump economic cabal of Wall Street asset strippers is proposing tax & economic programs that will blow an already unprecedented US debt situation into the stratosphere. Budget deficits (already over $19 trillion) under the Trump plan could easily surpass $2 trillion a year. As Federal debt goes beyond $20 trillion, with normal interest levels, interest on debt alone approaches $1 trillion.

Warnings of a Stock Market Bubble from Major Investors

Many money & hedge fund managers are privately telling investors: Stocks have risen to unsustainable levels & a stock market crash may well be imminent. Geopolitical tensions continue to rise with the ongoing conflict in the Middle East threatening to explode & the US & North Korea are seemingly determined to maintain a collision course. In short – there are a lot of pins to pop a bubble.

Trump & the Monumental Magnitude of the US Debt Trap

What lies directly ahead, therefore, is another bumbling attempt by the White House and Congressional Republicans to hammer out an FY 2018 budget resolution and what amounts to a 10-year fiscal plan. So there flat-out must be big-time deficit offsets or there will not be close to 218 votes for what would otherwise be upwards of $15 trillion in added public debt over the coming decade.

Gold Prices to jump $200 by end of 2017: Bank of America

Gold may be under pressure in the run-up to the next Federal Reserve rate hike, but prices are expected to rally by around $200 by the end of the year, according to the corporate and investment banking division of Bank of America. While tighter monetary policy is not bullish, inflation and a range of uncertainties, including European elections and protectionism should support gold prices.

The Reasons For Owning Gold Bullion Are As Strong As Ever

Given its recent surge, is gold still a “buy?” With the Fed in a tricky situation regarding interest rates—and ambiguity likely to continue to surround the political arena—we may be in for a wild ride in 2017. Given the uncertain outlook and improving fundamentals for gold, now is a great time to add the yellow metal to your portfolio.

Factors Converging Together to Drive Gold Prices 15% Higher

Although markets are expecting the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates three times this year, starting as early as March, there are three factors converging together to create the perfect storm for the gold market. The key for gold prices will be the fact that real rates are expected to remain low because of higher inflation.

Is Gold still a Buy? - 5 Reasons You Should Increase Allocation to Gold

Gold is up almost 8% since the beginning of the year & the outlook for 2017 is bright. Net bets on higher future prices have almost doubled since January. Assets held by gold ETFs are up 34% from their Dec lows. Given its recent surge, is gold still a “buy?” Here are 5 compelling Reasons. Given the uncertain outlook & improving fundamentals for gold, now is a great time to add gold to your portfolio.

Gold Preparing for a Healthy Rally into Higher Territory

Hedge funds and institutional speculators have been calling the tune for gold, trading the recent range, buying on dips, selling on rallies, and gradually adding to their physical holdings – a behavioral pattern we expect will continue within a rising trading range – at least until a price above the $1300 an ounce level is well established.

The Real US Economy - A Full-Fledged Credit Crisis Is Inevitable

Americans are filing bankruptcy at the fastest rate in years… A growing number of U.S. businesses are going bust… The value of U.S. auto loans topped $1 trillion for the first time ever. Outstanding credit card debt has also surged to record highs. The value of student loans has doubled since 2009. All this wouldn’t be such a big problem if the economy were doing well… But it’s not.

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