Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Interest Rates’

The Perfect Precious Metals Storm - Made In America

The America as we have known – forever changed last night. And with it, the odds of the dollar’s death as “world reserve currency” increased dramatically. The one thing I’m sure of, is that if you hold at least a modicum of precious metals – physical gold and silver, held outside the financial system; no matter where you reside, your financial path forward will be exponentially easier.

Forced Selling Commences: Gold Prices to Soar on Inflation & Other Crises

It will get bloody as forced selling commences & panic selling will ensue before the epic rise begins. Even if interest rate hikes remain a headwind for gold, investors still need to remember that real rates, will remain low for a long time. This time when inflation starts to show up, & believe me, it will, they won’t be able to fight it by raising rates. I don’t think the Fed is going to get ahead of inflation.

Bankrupt America: Interest On Debt Alone Approaches A TRILLION Dollars

The Trump economic cabal of Wall Street asset strippers is proposing tax & economic programs that will blow an already unprecedented US debt situation into the stratosphere. Budget deficits (already over $19 trillion) under the Trump plan could easily surpass $2 trillion a year. As Federal debt goes beyond $20 trillion, with normal interest levels, interest on debt alone approaches $1 trillion.

Warnings of a Stock Market Bubble from Major Investors

Many money & hedge fund managers are privately telling investors: Stocks have risen to unsustainable levels & a stock market crash may well be imminent. Geopolitical tensions continue to rise with the ongoing conflict in the Middle East threatening to explode & the US & North Korea are seemingly determined to maintain a collision course. In short – there are a lot of pins to pop a bubble.

Trump & the Monumental Magnitude of the US Debt Trap

What lies directly ahead, therefore, is another bumbling attempt by the White House and Congressional Republicans to hammer out an FY 2018 budget resolution and what amounts to a 10-year fiscal plan. So there flat-out must be big-time deficit offsets or there will not be close to 218 votes for what would otherwise be upwards of $15 trillion in added public debt over the coming decade.

Gold Prices to jump $200 by end of 2017: Bank of America

Gold may be under pressure in the run-up to the next Federal Reserve rate hike, but prices are expected to rally by around $200 by the end of the year, according to the corporate and investment banking division of Bank of America. While tighter monetary policy is not bullish, inflation and a range of uncertainties, including European elections and protectionism should support gold prices.

The Reasons For Owning Gold Bullion Are As Strong As Ever

Given its recent surge, is gold still a “buy?” With the Fed in a tricky situation regarding interest rates—and ambiguity likely to continue to surround the political arena—we may be in for a wild ride in 2017. Given the uncertain outlook and improving fundamentals for gold, now is a great time to add the yellow metal to your portfolio.

Factors Converging Together to Drive Gold Prices 15% Higher

Although markets are expecting the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates three times this year, starting as early as March, there are three factors converging together to create the perfect storm for the gold market. The key for gold prices will be the fact that real rates are expected to remain low because of higher inflation.

Is Gold still a Buy? - 5 Reasons You Should Increase Allocation to Gold

Gold is up almost 8% since the beginning of the year & the outlook for 2017 is bright. Net bets on higher future prices have almost doubled since January. Assets held by gold ETFs are up 34% from their Dec lows. Given its recent surge, is gold still a “buy?” Here are 5 compelling Reasons. Given the uncertain outlook & improving fundamentals for gold, now is a great time to add gold to your portfolio.

Gold Preparing for a Healthy Rally into Higher Territory

Hedge funds and institutional speculators have been calling the tune for gold, trading the recent range, buying on dips, selling on rallies, and gradually adding to their physical holdings – a behavioral pattern we expect will continue within a rising trading range – at least until a price above the $1300 an ounce level is well established.

The Real US Economy - A Full-Fledged Credit Crisis Is Inevitable

Americans are filing bankruptcy at the fastest rate in years… A growing number of U.S. businesses are going bust… The value of U.S. auto loans topped $1 trillion for the first time ever. Outstanding credit card debt has also surged to record highs. The value of student loans has doubled since 2009. All this wouldn’t be such a big problem if the economy were doing well… But it’s not.

Is Trump Bad News for Gold? The Prospects for Gold under President Trump

Trump or not, the fundamental problems remain deep seeded in the US economy. “Draining the swamp” and “making America great again”, are easier said than done. This is why a serious investment into gold is for the long haul. Look beyond the short-term speculations & projections. Its clear that conditions will not be favorable either way & things appear increasingly dismal.

The Stock Market Crash Will Be Violent - Its Only a Matter of Time

Coming soon, is the mother of all debt ceiling crises that will finally demolish the notion that Trump is good for the economy & the stock market. Fed has destroyed honest price discovery, & so the stock market has no braking or correction mechanism & will drift higher on buy-the-dips momentum until it hits a sharp object – the most dangerous market mutation to have been confected by state policy.

Gold Bulls to Take Comfort in the Long Term

Expectations of higher interest rates, an appreciating dollar & record-high equity prices held gold prices down. But the longer-term outlook is another story! Contrary to the disappointing experience of 2016, the price of gold is likely to zoom much higher in the years ahead, perhaps doubling or even tripling from recent lows by the end of president-elect Trump’s four-year term.

Silver Price Forecast: The Factors Influencing Silver Prices in 2017

While the second half of 2016 was not kind to silver prices, there are more than enough reasons to be bullish on silver in 2017. If there’s one thing that silver and gold bugs understand, it’s that economic uncertainty is good for precious metal prices. Finally, one has to wonder what the silver price-fixing allegations will have on silver prices in 2017.

Gold, Investor Optimism & Price Inflation Outlook for 2017

The effect of price inflation is not, as commonly supposed, to drive up prices. Instead, it drives down the purchasing power of expanding government-issued currency. Awareness that money is losing purchasing power only dawns on the public late in the price inflation process. Gold is therefore a far better measure of currencies’ loss of purchasing power than government inflation measures.

Gold Price Outlook Hostage to Uncertain Trump & India

Things didn’t quite pan out the way gold bulls would have hoped, and now they face a new year where the price of the precious metal is likely to be hostage to developments that are inherently unpredictable. The two main risks for the gold outlook for 2017 are what actually happens in the presidency of Donald Trump & how the demonetization of India plays out.

Why Gold Prices Could Bottom "On or Close to", After Fed’s Rate Hike

The Fed rate hike could mark an intermediate bottom in gold prices. We could see a knee-jerk move lower on a Fed rate hike, followed by a sharp move higher marking a gold bottom on the CPI numbers. And in the background we have naturally rising interest rates, which, if they continue, will make servicing what is nearly a $20 trillion debt harder and harder.

US Dollar & Geopolitical Uncertainty will Drive Gold Prices Higher

Potential US dollar weakness & geopolitical uncertainty could drive gold prices higher next year. The response to stagnant growth and higher debt levels could eventually lead to higher inflation, which will ultimately be positive for gold prices. It doesn’t really matter what the specific catalyst will be. Gold surely has the potential to move higher.

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