Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Investor Sentiment’

Silver Futures Near $16.30 Resistance - Will Silver Prices Break Through?

Silver futures for May delivery climbed to $16.13 a troy ounce, putting it on pace for the highest close of the year on the Comex. Silver futures are likely to face stiff resistance near $16.30, a price level that has been difficult to penetrate since September 2015. A clear break above that level could expose a further upside rally in silver futures in the coming months.

Gold and Silver Surge Amid Crude Oil and Copper Carnage

We have repeatedly highlighted the upside potential for gold following a period of consolidation. The market is bracing itself for the worst earnings season since the 2009 crisis. A weaker dollar, the risk of rising stock market volatility, and the continued focus on negative interest rates may attract renewed interest for gold and silver earlier than expected.

Gold Never Changes, It's The World Around It That Does

To understand how the price of gold is affected relative to risk assets, we foremost need to understand how risk assets move. When fear is low, investors may embrace “risk assets,” including stocks and junk bonds. When fear comes back to the market, ‘risk assets’ tend to under-perform as investors reduce their exposure & move to a ‘safe haven’ asset – Gold.

There's Something Worse Than Watching Gold And Silver Prices Fall

Are you willing to “stick to your guns,” adding on a dollar-cost-averaging basis? Or will you be swayed by the financial channel talking heads, as they trash talk gold and silver – just like they did from 2002-2011 while gold rose from $275 to over $1,900… while foolishly buying none themselves? If you believe you’re right; hold your ground. Normally there’s a big payday at the end.

Did China Reveal a Fraction of its Gold Holdings? - The Case Of China’s Missing Gold

Having large gold reserves are not required to be in the SDR. China had to wait until its stock market was crashing to present the “systemic stability” bazooka: Gold. Because in revealing a surge in its gold holdings, the PBOC is hoping to finally provide that final missing link that will boost investor sentiment, and get people buying stocks all over again.

Why Is Put-Call Ratio (Fear Gauge) Higher Than in Lehman Collapse of 2008?

If you sort the 2,003 records from highest to the lowest, you find that the only days in that time period where the put-call ratio exceeded the Lehman collapse & yesterday, Oct 13, 2014, are three days in early 2007, when the first indications that the wheels were coming off the subprime mortgage market & the housing bubble hit the news.

Moody's: Russia Downgrade Review On Event Risk, Investor Sentiment & Economy

Hot on the heels of what S&P said was not a “politically motivated” shift to rating watch, Moody’s has decided to put Russia on rating downgrade watch. Decision was triggered by 3 key factors: Weakening of Russia’s economic strength, Potential shifts in investor sentiment & susceptibility to event risk.

Gold Is On Sale - So Is It Time To Buy Gold Now?

By now, everyone knows of the shortages in the gold market; JPMorgan has to be as aware of that as the rest of us. It just isn’t safe for them to continue to lean on the market. Being aware, it looks like they are taking the bet that gold will rebound, so they could do well on the other side of the trade.

The Curious Case for Silver and Why Prices are not Higher

A major new buyer has entered the market purchasing as much as 20% of the total world production this year for investment purposes – follow the money and add some silver. And to top it off, at the moment it costs more to produce silver than to purchase it.

Avoid Regret: Accumulate Gold Bullion Now

Continuing their negative investor sentiment outlook, the short and long term forecast by analysts and hedge funds are expecting gold bullion to remain weak – A factor to consider beyond simply looking at investor sentiment, is the massive change in production by mining companies.

12 Reasons Why Gold Prices Will Rebound Upside

Investor sentiment is is at the lowest level in over a decade and even die hard gold bugs are losing faith, as the correction has been longer and more severe than most had anticipated – Here are the 12 reasons why Gold Prices will rebound upside.

Have The Precious Metals Bottomed?

After a gut wrenching correction that drove Gold and Silver prices down 38% and 63% respectively from their 2011 highs, the recent price action in Precious Metals has been dramatic

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