Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Janet Yellen’

Inflation - Difficult to Move, But Once Moving, Hard to Control

Three key measures of inflation have recently lurched across the Fed’s threshold of 2%. The recent pickup in gas prices is set to have an even sharper upward impact on the consumer price inflation basket. Inflation can really spin out of control very quickly. If it happens, it would happen very quickly. Inflation is like a supertanker: Hard to get moving. But once moving, hard to stop.

Why And How The US Fed Will Drive Gold Higher

After raising rates in Dec, the US Fed back-flipped on its aggressive interest rate policy earlier in the year. The US stock market nosedived by about 10% and Chinese debt issues worried investors. Gold & gold stocks went through the roof! Despite the stock market recently hitting all-time highs, the Fed kept delaying increasing rates. This ‘wait and see’ policy is causing a lot of uncertainty.

Look at the Long-Term Gold Chart for the Trend in Gold Futures

From the 2011 high, a downside correction emerged in gold prices. According to traditional Fibonacci theory, the 2011-2015 pullback did not harm primary uptrend in gold prices. That means the gold tide remains bullish. Pullbacks in the tide are waves that could be used as buying opportunities. If gold takes a short-term hit, this could offer a “wave” within the tide.

Silver will be the Top Performing Asset in 2017

Silver had a massive run from the lows of $15.83 to $21.22 &is set to rally higher. No markets rise vertically, a 50% Fibonacci correction is a healthy and accepted norm. The weaker hands are out of silver, whereas, the stronger hands have bought the white metal at lower levels. You need to invest at the right time and to be positioned properly for when high volatility strikes.

Future(s) Outlook For Gold Prices in 2017 Seems Sparkling

Any weakness in gold prices is expected to be shallow and short-lived. A declining dollar, along with slowing global growth as the IMF lowers world growth rates — and the possibility of recession in some countries — will cause gold to appreciate through the next year. And this appreciation will continue until underlying challenges are resolved.

The Federal Reserve Came, Saw, Did Nothing – Catching On The Fed Game?

This has become modus operandi for the Federal Reserve over the last two years. As each FOMC meeting approaches, speculation about a possible rate hike ramps up and then the Janet Yellen does…nothing. The one exception was last December, and that turned out to be a complete disaster. Interestingly, the mainstream is starting to catch on to the game.

Silver Breakout Confirms that Gold and Silver Prepared to Move a Lot Higher

The price of silver has just surged to a high it hasn’t seen since January of 2015. In the aftermath of Brexit, this as a good sign that the prices of both gold and silver are about to really break out and begin moving up in significant bursts. Now that gold is holding steady above $1,300 an ounce, investors who have been waiting on the sidelines to buy should consider acting soon.

So Far, So Good - What's Next for Gold and Silver? Brexit Aftermath

Gold outperformed the US dollar & Treasuries as the go-to safe haven asset. Investors rushing around on Friday & looking for somewhere to flee favored gold. World financial markets are highly leveraged & massively interconnected. The collapse of even one bank or hedge fund can have vast implications. Here are some early insights on Brexit as it relates to the gold and silver markets.

Nothing Can Stop The Runaway Bull Market In Gold - Not Even The Fed

The next Federal Reserve rate hike is on hold… for now. The last time the Fed raised rates was from 2004 to 2006. Rates went from 1% all the way to 5.25%. If gold was truly affected by the Fed raising interest rates, then it would have had a devastating effect on the gold price… right? But in-fact gold prices went up. Gold doesn’t care about the Fed, especially when gold is in a bull market.

Has Gold Already Priced-In a Fed Interest Rate Hike?

Gold already started correcting following the Fed’s fear-provoking announcement that it might raise rates in mid-June. The announcement lifted the US dollar 0.8% & sent gold down 2%, but the change is still within trend. Is there more downside ahead? Likely yes. Gold is seasonally weak in June. The lead-up to June 15 might be more significant than the event itself.

Worldwide Defaults are Imminent - Would You Prefer Bonds or Gold?

The US owes something like $200 TRILLION if one includes Social Security & other outflows going forward. Some 100 million individuals including young people & seniors are not working in mainstream jobs or not working at all. When the entire world’s financial infrastructure is threatening to implode due to unmanageable debt, what would you rather be holding – gold or bonds?

Gold Prices will rise on Weaker Dollar - Thanks to Fed's Monetary Policies

Change happens for a reason. Yellen may not be “missing” the risks of stagflation. More likely, she is heading there on purpose – as terrible as that sounds to say. How will gold react? That’s still not clear. But in our view, the longer term trends involve price inflation and economic stagflation. These will weigh down the dollar and drive gold prices higher against it.

Gold and Silver Can Protect You from the Coming Bank Account Tax

Deutsche Bank thinks central bankers should go directly after people’s savings accounts. In other words, it’s lobbying for a wealth tax—or “bank account tax”—that would be a more radical version of negative rates. A bank account tax would promote more reckless borrowing and spending than we’re seeing already. When people realize it, they’ll pile into gold and silver.

Gold, A Natural Hedge Against Both - Inflation & Negative Interest Rates

The main reason people buy gold is as a hedge against inflation. But uncertainty & fear contributed undoubtedly to gold’s stellar first quarter rise. Analysts remain focused almost exclusively upon the major historical influence of inflation & possible rate hikes. Negative rates are now looming so large that precious metals could become an alternative form of cost-free cash.

Gold and Silver Manipulation may lead to Dollar Crash soon

Deutsche Bank revealed that gold and silver markets were fraudulently manipulated to protect the dollar. The geo-political gambit by China against the dollar is now underway in undermining the dollar’s foundation by taking over global gold pricing. Chances are high that within weeks we could see the reserve currency devalue precipitously, or at worst, collapse altogether.

We’re Near a Major Turning Point in the Currency Wars

In the currency wars, it looks like a recent quiet period is over and war is entering a new major battle. The US dollar went from an all-time low in August 2011 to a 10-year high in mid-2015. But the strong dollar finally caught up with the US economy, which has been slowing down precipitously. There are critical turning points where a long-term directional trend is set to reverse.

The US Dollar Has Just Been Shanghaied By The G-20

The main meeting of the G-20 finance ministers and central bank governors was conducted with much publicity. A secret side meeting of a core group consisting of the US, Europe, Japan, China & IMF in Shanghai on Feb. 26, resulted in the biggest dollar take-down operation since the Plaza Accord of 1985 & will go down in history as a major turning point in the international monetary system.

Gold Retreats as US Fed Members Turn Hawkish in Rate Hikes

Gold had been gaining traction earlier last week following a dovish report by Janet Yellen, the US Federal Reserve chairperson. Gold prices retreated following the rise in the US dollar index. With investors offsetting their positions to take profits and a hawkish view by other Fed members, the sentiment for gold seems to be negative.

A Stock Market Correction Has Only Been Postponed, Not Avoided

Markets are relieved that the Fed won’t hike rates in March. But, the markets are never satisfied. Getting stock market expectations aligned with the intended FOMC policy path will not be pretty. Expect higher volatility and stock market drawdowns in April and May as markets reprice. A further stock market correction has been postponed, but not avoided.

Will a March Fed Rate Hike lead to Crashing Market Expectations?

Will a Fed rate hike in March lead to a train wreck by crashing into market expectations? It depends on whether Janet Yellen can signal the markets that her Cannonball Express is not stopping. Casey Jones died frantically pulling the train’s whistle. Janet Yellen needs to start blowing the Fed’s whistle and warning markets now — before it’s too late.

follow us

markets snapshot

Market Quotes are powered by India

live commodity prices

Commodities are powered by India

our latest tweets

follow us on facebook