Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Jobs Report’

A Stock Market Shock Is the Only Way Out: Deutsche Bank Analyst

The US stock market continues to hit new highs to the puzzlement of many. This run to new highs in the US stock market is bizarre seeing as the profit picture remains as muddled as ever. This is definitely not an earnings-based rally. Ironically the shock that is needed would require a collapse in risk assets for policymakers to then really panic and attempt dramatic fiscal stimulus.

Gold Bullion Investors Versus The High Frequency Traders

Actual humans grow tired of the constant whipsaw around Fed policy expectations & some ask more fundamental questions. Like, do we have free markets when what matters most is government data & how the Federal Reserve might respond to it? That separates gold and silver bullion investors from high frequency trading algorithms which dominate trading in the futures markets.

You Can't Keep Gold Prices Down With Just A Strong Jobs Report

Some holders of gold took advantage of a small window to sell on Friday, worried that the 287,000 new jobs added in the U.S. would send the greenback to new highs against other major currencies. But as traders digested the headline, it became clear that the jobs report wasn’t that strong. What’s astounding is that the S&P 500 rallied 1.3%, the dollar gained 0.7%, yet gold closed up 1.7%.

Gold Heading to $1,500, but Silver can Overshoot $30: Bank of America

Macroeconomic uncertainty in the UK, Eurozone and US remains elevated. The world has been & will keep on walking from crisis to crisis. The importance of that dynamic for gold and silver is mirrored by the high correlation between potential US GDP growth & gold quotations. With even the sellside starting to turn now, there may be more upside as the slow money starts to move in.

This Always Happens Right Before The Official Start Of A Recession

The exact same patterns that we witnessed just prior to the last major economic crisis are playing out once again right in front of our eyes. If you are waiting for some type of big announcement from the government that a recession has started, you are likely going to be waiting for quite a while. Those that are wise have already been getting prepared for a new recession.

Rate Hike Or No - The Fed Will Not Kill Gold

The Fed either raises rates by 25 basis points in December, or it doesn’t. Both scenarios are actually bullish for gold. Doing nothing is good for gold for obvious reasons. But if they actually do hike, the gold market has already discounted the rate increase, likely factoring in substantially more than 25 basis points.

Will A Possible Hike In Interest Rates Hit Energy Markets?

While both the equity rally and the commodity sell-off appear overdone, logic dictates that these trends could well continue in the face of an improving economy and rising interest rates. But at the risk of ignoring cognitive dissonance, financial markets also seem ripe for a counterintuitive move, as indicators reach extremes: commodities could rebound amid a correction in equities.

What's Lurking Beneath the Glossy Veneer of the Jobs Report?

You need to peer beneath the glossy veneer. On the surface, last week’s jobs report was glossy good news: the U.S. economy added 288,000 non-farm jobs. Beneath the glossy veneer, however, the news wasn’t quite as good as advertised: full-time jobs declined by 523,000 and part-time jobs surged 840,000.

37 Reasons Why “The Economic Recovery Of 2013? Is A Giant Lie

Of course, the reality of the matter is that we should have seen some sort of an economic recovery by now. All of that stimulus should have had some positive short-term effects on the economy – Sadly, all of those emergency measures do not appear to have done much at all.

Gold and Gold Stocks Ahead of the August Payrolls Report

A more likely explanation, at least for this week’s action in gold and gold stocks, is anticipation of the August payrolls report on Friday, given that the payrolls report is considered to weigh heavily in the Fed’s decision making.

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