Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Junk Bonds’

Gold Never Changes, It's The World Around It That Does

To understand how the price of gold is affected relative to risk assets, we foremost need to understand how risk assets move. When fear is low, investors may embrace “risk assets,” including stocks and junk bonds. When fear comes back to the market, ‘risk assets’ tend to under-perform as investors reduce their exposure & move to a ‘safe haven’ asset – Gold.

Are Junk Bonds And Copper Are Telling Us Exactly Where Stocks Are Heading Next?

In case you haven’t figured it out by now, the global financial system is in real trouble. Yields on the riskiest junk bonds are absolutely soaring and the price of copper just hit a fresh six year low. If you understand history, and you are aware of the patterns that immediately preceded previous stock market crashes, then you know how how huge both of those signs are.

The Next Financial Disaster Starts Here - Junk Bonds

Investors looking for income have turned to junk bonds. Junk bonds didn’t grow much from 2002 to 2008. But when the Fed cut rates to zero in 2008, junk bond issuance began to take off & the number of junk bond issues soared 483% between 2008 and 2014. Today, some of the savviest investors are starting to place bets against junk bonds. Exit junk bonds today.

Beware: Fracking Is Where Money Goes to Die

The fracking boom has been cash-flow negative for oil and gas drillers from the very beginning. The steep decline rates of fracked wells force producers to drill more wells just to keep production and revenues flat. They fund this drilling with debt. To support that growing debt, they have to produce more & take on even more debt.

Ponzi Finance and $50 Oil - James Rickards

Oil below $50 is more than low enough to do an enormous amount of damage in financial markets. There are about $5.4 trillion dollars of costs incurred in the last five years for exploration drilling and infrastructure in the alternative (fracking) energy sector. It’s been largely financed with corporate and bank debt.

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