Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Negative Interest Rates’

Rising Inflation & Sagging Confidence in Central Banks will Catapult Gold Prices Higher

Inflation may surprise to the upside. Consumer prices are set to rise as oil rebounds, while low or negative interest rates and bond buying by central banks have failed to boost economies. Interest rate hikes are incredibly positive for gold prices, because of the existence of the huge QE “money ball” that sits at the Fed & other central banks. Gold prices need another rate hike from Janet to move higher.

Can the Price of Silver (the Year's Top Performer) Continue to Rally?

With the price of silver up nearly 40% year-to-date, investors are wondering whether it can continue. Experts say it may have more room to run, particularly as global interest rates continue to stay negative. It wouldn’t be inconceivable to see a silver supply shortage if there was heightened demand, & in that case, a silver to gold ratio of 20 to 1 (or lesser) is not an impossibility.

Asset Bubbles Created by Central Banks Setup a Perfect Storm for Gold

Unless central banks are willing to initiate ultimate protocols, the inevitable result will be a bursting of all these asset bubbles and an explosion for gold that will make its $1940 high in 2011 look like pocket change. Gold will likely soar to a record within five years as asset bubbles burst in everything from bonds to credit and equities, forcing investors to find a haven.

If the Fed does What it Wants to, the Result will be the Opposite of What it Wants

The US economy is slowing perceptively. What should the Fed be doing? They might want to cut interest rates. Problem. Another tool in the arsenal – cheapen the US dollar. Again there is a problem. Whether that works & what is a good idea are separate issues. Certainly a rate hike would take the stock market down 20%. It’s going to be just the opposite of what the Fed wants.

Gold Bullion Flows Reverse Back into the West - What does it Mean?

U.S. has become a significant gold importer. Gold is flowing from vaults in London, Switzerland & even Dubai to the U.S. In May, U.S. imported over 50 times the monthly average amount of gold. Investor demand was the largest component of gold demand for Q1 and Q2 – the first time this has ever happened. This means that more U.S. investors are diversifying their assets into gold.

Case for Owning Real Money - Gold and Silver Outside the Banking System

We’re in a situation on a global basis we’ve never been in before, which is that the reserve currency of the world is failing, which means you need something outside of the system. You need something that’s not electronic-based, has no counterparty risk, that’s universally recognized & of high value that could be used anytime, anywhere by anyone. That of course is gold and silver.

Gold Equity Market Bull will be as Ferocious as the Bear from 2012 to 2015

Over the past 45 years there have been 7 bull cycles & 7 bear cycles with varying duration & gains. No bear market was as horrific as the one just experienced from Oct 2012 until mid-Dec 2015. Does that mean that the new gold market we are currently in will last longer and provide opportunity for even stronger gains than those experienced in previous bull cycles? Only time will tell.

Negative Interest Rates: The Tax On Capital

Negative interest rates remove the positive “interest” paid to savers which is supposed to (partially) protect us from the rapacious “real inflation” running at 10+% per year. They go well beyond even this level of economic theft & criminality. Negative interest rates tax capital. How do you “stimulate” an economy by taxing capital? The inevitable result can only be the complete economic destruction.

Exposing The Link Between Monetary Policy And Social Inequality

Our monetary policy direction has been prolonging the slowdown since 2008. The longer we wait, the worse the hit we will take. We are going from one bubble to another and are just postponing the inevitable. Under our current system, which has stripped the working class from their savings, they are exposed to greater risks than ever before.

Future(s) Outlook For Gold Prices in 2017 Seems Sparkling

Any weakness in gold prices is expected to be shallow and short-lived. A declining dollar, along with slowing global growth as the IMF lowers world growth rates — and the possibility of recession in some countries — will cause gold to appreciate through the next year. And this appreciation will continue until underlying challenges are resolved.

Gold and Silver - In the World of Absurd Statistics of Inflation

The real rate of inflation in Western economies is already soaring higher at 10+ % per year. Either before or concurrent with such a mea culpa, we will see the One Bank’s choke-hold over the precious metals sector also be shattered. Suppressing gold and silver prices in a high-inflation world is not feasible. At roughly the same time, we will see both inflation statistics & PMs start to soar higher.

Wait for Bargain Gold and Silver Prices & Risk Missing the Bus Altogether

There is certainly nothing wrong with bargain hunting. Bullion investors should consider that, despite the rise in gold and silver prices, the value proposition for both – gold and silver is quite compelling. And also that, at least gold and silver are among the best performing assets of the year, and prices are still nowhere near all-time highs like bonds and equities.

Gold Prices Will Continue to Rise Amid Economic & Political Uncertainty

Sporadic activity in international stocks, the proliferation of negative interest rates & the Brexit anxiety have all helped catapult gold to a June intraday high of $1,375. A technical pattern in gold’s upward movement is a verification of the political uncertainty now driving the shiny metal. The next few weeks, as the political debate heats up in the U.S., the support for gold is going to increase.

You Can't Keep Gold Prices Down With Just A Strong Jobs Report

Some holders of gold took advantage of a small window to sell on Friday, worried that the 287,000 new jobs added in the U.S. would send the greenback to new highs against other major currencies. But as traders digested the headline, it became clear that the jobs report wasn’t that strong. What’s astounding is that the S&P 500 rallied 1.3%, the dollar gained 0.7%, yet gold closed up 1.7%.

Now It's The Japanese Savers That Are Flooding Into Gold Bullion

Individual investors drove a 60% jump in sales of gold in June from May at Tanaka Holdings, the operator of Japan’s largest bullion retailer. Why the surge into gold? The yen’s appreciation in spite of the adoption of the negative-rate policy has kindled skepticism about the policy’s benefits. It’s also led to investors seeking to protect their assets in case Abenomics fails.

Gold Prices will easily Triple on a Collapse in the Monetary System

What could possible make gold prices go from roughly $1,350 an ounce now to triple in value at US$4,200? The inability of central banks to wind down their balance sheets and the continued effort to stimulate the economy by, admittedly, unconventional means will end our current currency system. We will then return to some sort of gold standard, thus sending it soaring.

Future Prospects for Fiat Currency Money & it's Purchasing Power

The faith and credit-standing of issuers of paper money, and not the known and suspected inadequacies of commercial finance, is the last rotten pit-prop supporting the system. We can easily see how a new round of monetary expansion designed to save the global banking system from its nemesis will lead, not to a Lehman-style outcome, but to a collapse of paper currencies.

Gold and Silver Go Ballistic on Panic Buying as Paper Assets Crumble

There’s a lot of people out there now who are thinking, “Do I have enough gold and silver? Should I buy some more here?” And if the price goes up a lot of them are going to panic and think, “Well, if I’m ever going to get it I got to pay today’s price,” and so they jump in and they buy, and that gives whatever kind of move that’s happening some extra momentum.

Deflation Scares Central Bankers - Can Gold Be Their Biggest Ally?

Every Central Banker dreads deflation. They’re doing everything they can to generate a 2% annual rate of inflation, but can’t get it. Well, the last thing you want to see is the gold price going down. If prices continue to drop, they fall to a point where they start to impact jobs. Drilling rigs & mines shut down. So in-fact, they want gold and silver prices, copper & oil prices to go higher.

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