Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Oil Demand Growth’

YES - This Rally in Oil Prices has a Long Way to go Ahead

Can we finally call the crisis in oil prices officially over? Okay, maybe not completely over, or even close to almost over, but is sure was nice for a while to taste the sweet nectar of oil prices over $50, no matter how fleeting that might be. So what happened? Well, among a few things, we see the market over the next six months going well above $60 for a simple reason … surprisingly good demand.

Global Oil Market Equation looks Bullish for Oil Prices

The oil market appears to be handling the outages without too much trouble, certainly aided by the fact that inventories have been “comfortable.” That doesn’t mean that there aren’t significant atypical market conditions. IEA just published one of its more bullish oil market reports in quite a while. Supply fell, demand is at its strongest in two years & inventories are drawing down at a good pace.

OPEC’s Gloomy Long-Term Outlook For The Oil Market

Given the election is dominating much of the movement in markets today, and given the timely release of OPEC’s World Oil Outlook, today’s post digs into some of the longer-term trends emerging in the oil market. Here are six things to consider. Developing nations will lead demand growth (no surprise there), driven by the transportation sector.

India's Soaring Oil Demand Provides Floor Beneath Oil Prices

India’s oil demand grew by 400,000 barrels per day in the first quarter – the fastest in the world, accounting for about 30% of the total global increase. Crude oil imports have jumped by 12% so far this year from 2015 levels. India’s oil demand could rise to 10 mb/d, a more than 6 mb/d increase from today’s levels, which will also be the largest source of growth on the planet.

OPEC Lowers Global Oil Demand Growth Expectations In 2016

OPEC provides this first serving, as they have released the third and final installment of key monthly oil reports after last week’s releases from the EIA and IEA. The cartel has upped its expectation for oil demand growth this year by 84,000 barrels per day to 1.46 mn bpd, but revised its forecast lower for next year by 50,000 bpd to 1.29 mn bpd.

Oil Markets Could Be In For A Shock From China Soon

The oil market dynamics are complex and fluid. US shale supply is hugely important for oil prices, but one of the more underreported factors influencing the price of oil is the pace of demand growth coming from China. Any insight into this factor can provide clarity on the trajectory of oil prices.

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