Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Oil Exporters’

Market Fundamentals Make Oil Price Increase Unlikely

Fundamentals haven’t changed much & the world is still oversupplied with oil. There are no obvious signs that this trend will reverse in the near future. The worst case scenario, according to the investment bank Goldman Sachs, is that oil prices will drop to as low as $45 per barrel in the next three months.

Collapse Of Petrodollar: Oil Exporters Dumping US Assets At Record Pace

For the first time in almost two decades, energy-exporting countries are set to pull their Petrodollars – (a term coined for the dollar-denominated oil trade) out of world markets this year at a frenzied pace in the face of today’s “crude” realities. And so the liquidity drain is on, the only question is how far reaching the consequences will be.

The Federal Reserve and the Price of Oil

Domestic oil producers have a source for financing: the Fed. If you want to deploy the oil weapon, make sure you have a central bank that can intervene at will, in whatever size is necessary, to reduce the impact on your own economy, while maximizing the financial pain inflicted on the targets of the oil weapon.

Price of Oil 2015 - Asymmetric Warfare Tactics

The world has habituated to the never-ending undeclared war over ownership and access to hydrocarbons. Now we are entering a new phase of asymmetric war being waged not over oil but the price of oil. Here are a few of the many possibilities of asymmetric warfare that could be applied to the price of oil.

How The Petrodollar Quietly Died, And Nobody Noticed

Basically, the Petrodollar, long serving as the US leverage to encourage and facilitate US Dollar recycling, and a steady reinvestment in US-denominated assets by the Oil exporting nations, and thus a means to steadily increase the nominal price of all USD-priced assets, just drove itself into irrelevance.

The Illusion that Lower Oil Prices Are Positive

The Oil Head-Fake: The essence of the Oil Head-Fake Dynamic is the inevitable drop in oil prices resulting from a sharp decline in oil demand (i.e. global recession) will trigger disruption of the global oil supply chain that will eventually push oil prices higher than most currently think possible.

The U.S. National Debt Clock October 2013

An Overview of the U.S. National Debt: Every man, woman and child in the U.S. currently owes$55,122 for their share of the U.S. public debt – Of the $5.1 trillion dollars of US debt that is owned by foreign governments, China and Japan own nearly half.

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