Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Precious Metals’

Gold Bull Market Intact Regardless of Short Term Price Gyrations

Gold remains the asset Wall Street loves to hate. Currently the fundamental drivers of gold are mixed, which makes a sideways move the most likely prospect, barring new developments. We remain convinced that the monetary experiments of recent years will end quite badly, and that the long term case for gold remains intact regardless of short term price gyrations.

Rate Hike Largely Priced into Gold and Silver - What about Rationality in Sell-off?

Could the FED finally raise rates before 2016 draws to a close? That sounds plausible in theory, but there are a number of factors that do not support a rate hike in the near term. But even if they do hike rates, this move is already largely priced into gold and silver. We should question the rationality of this sell off. After all, the gold price often moves higher along with interest rates.

Gold Prices will Rise Once the Rate-Hike Obsessed Sellers are Out of the Way

After a rip-roaring first half, gold prices are plunging as we enter the home stretch of 2016. Gold futures are sitting near breakeven as we begin the new trading week. But when it comes to gold’s longer-term prospects, all is not lost. Even mainstream analysts are preparing for a bounce in gold prices once the highly-anticipated December rate hike is out of the way.

Gold And Silver Prices Crash Despite Financial Instability & Political Turmoil

Despite the negative bond yield environment, political turmoil in a number of countries, a tumultuous US presidential election campaign & uncertainty in the aftermath of the Brexit vote, gold and silver prices plummeted. Not to mention the current fragility of the global financial system. Now is the time to buy assets physical gold and silver that offer a meaningful hedge against such a scenario.

Ironically, Gold and Silver will find Buyers in Crowds at Higher Prices Than at Lower

Even after you’ve done the research & decided to participate, buying into price weakness against the herd & contrary to your emotions is not an easy thing to do. But time & again, some of the world’s most successful investors have done just that. You might want to consider joining their ranks. As new nominal highs in both gold and silver are printed, several situations begin to develop.

Weekly Outlook for Silver Prices - Volatility in Gold Prices on the Rise

At present, the bias in silver prices is to the upside, as new buying appeared to be behind last week’s advance in prices, as open interest increased nearly 6% through Thursday. In addition, the U.S. economic calendar for the week is full. The possibility of victory for Trump & a second US interest rate hike could cause increased volatility in gold & could rise as high as $1,425.

Gold Remains a Mandatory Portfolio Asset

Can the US financial system endure normalization of interest rate structures? No. Gold will remain a productive portfolio-diversifying asset until the process of debt rationalization is allowed to proceed in the US. Given implications for declining intrinsic value of US financial assets, as well as ongoing Fed efforts to debase outstanding obligations, gold remains a mandatory portfolio asset.

Surging Silver Demand Ensures Higher Prices for Bullion & Mining Shares

In 2015, the global silver deficit — more silver demand than mine supply — was about 130 million ounces, made up by selling stockpiles & inventory. According to Société Générale, silver supply in 2016 is likely to decrease another 9%. As the magnitude of the problem sinks in, I expect that more of the big-money players will rush into silver. And it’ll make for a pricing tsunami.

Price of Silver Set to Skyrocket as it Returns to its Historic Role

In addition to holding up well in the face of bearish factors, the price of silver is set to get a boost from several bullish factors that have not yet been fully priced in by the markets. Despite the recent strong dollar and tough talk from the Fed, the U.S. economy cannot afford a strong dollar. The dollar will again naturally weaken and the dollar price of silver will get a boost.

Why And How The US Fed Will Drive Gold Higher

After raising rates in Dec, the US Fed back-flipped on its aggressive interest rate policy earlier in the year. The US stock market nosedived by about 10% and Chinese debt issues worried investors. Gold & gold stocks went through the roof! Despite the stock market recently hitting all-time highs, the Fed kept delaying increasing rates. This ‘wait and see’ policy is causing a lot of uncertainty.

Why Silver Prices Could Have Considerably More Upside Than Gold

When we take a step back and analyze the catalysts behind the move higher in precious metal spot prices, it’s silver prices that could have considerably more upside than gold. Today, we’ll lay out the case why physical silver could be on its way to $30 an ounce, which would represent a gain of nearly 60% from where physical silver is today.

Outlook for Gold and Silver Prices in a Crucial Central Banks' Influenced Week

There is a very high degree of uncertainty over market developments in the week ahead, but a fresh surge in volatility is guaranteed. The decisions by the Bank of Japan, followed later by Federal Reserve will have a big short-term impact & an important influence on market direction for the remainder of 2016. Gold and silver prices settled lower last week. Here is the outlook for this crucial week.

Hope in Currencies is a Poor Investment Strategy - Trust in Gold is Better

If somebody gives you gold, you don’t have to trust them or the instrument that you have been given – they represent payment in & of itself. Fiat currencies are not really payments. They’re promises to pay, and they work well as long as social trust remains. How long will the trust remain? Well, hopefully for my lifetime & yours too, but hope is a very poor investment strategy.

Silver will be the Top Performing Asset in 2017

Silver had a massive run from the lows of $15.83 to $21.22 &is set to rally higher. No markets rise vertically, a 50% Fibonacci correction is a healthy and accepted norm. The weaker hands are out of silver, whereas, the stronger hands have bought the white metal at lower levels. You need to invest at the right time and to be positioned properly for when high volatility strikes.

The New Gold and Silver Forecasts - Alternative Scenarios

The prospect of Fed rate hikes will weigh on gold and silver prices. As soon as Fed rate hikes for 2016 and 2017 are fully priced in, we expect gold and silver prices to rally again because of higher demand from investors. But if Trump becomes President and/or if investor sentiment deteriorates sharply, this would result in sharply higher gold and silver prices sooner.

Case for Owning Real Money - Gold and Silver Outside the Banking System

We’re in a situation on a global basis we’ve never been in before, which is that the reserve currency of the world is failing, which means you need something outside of the system. You need something that’s not electronic-based, has no counterparty risk, that’s universally recognized & of high value that could be used anytime, anywhere by anyone. That of course is gold and silver.

Gold And Silver Will Have to Struggle to Rise - Says the Fiat Dollar

It appears that gold and silver prices will continue to be kept low. Our take on the precious metals charts strongly suggests that gold and silver may work higher, over time, but it will be labored and not without intense effort to overcome the unlimited ability of the Federal Reserve [controlled entirely by the elites] to create an infinite supply of debt that poses as “money.”

Short Gold and Silver at your own Risk - Rather Buy the Dip

We are entering a seasonally strong period of time for gold and silver. My stance is to take a look at an even bigger picture which shows that silver may be finding investment demand at this seasonally bullish time of year. Wedding season is also a good time to own gold as is the month of September (a month I don’t like to short precious metals) which begins today.

Currency Devaluation is no Accident, Save in Real Money: Gold and Silver

People should be encouraged to save in real money. Devaluation of “fiat money” is no accident. While the Federal Reserve Note “dollar” has lost more than 97% of its purchasing power since the Federal Reserve System was created in 1913, gold and silver is a much better store of value, having risen 60 and 20-fold, respectively, in their dollar-denominated price.

Money Managers Cut Silver Positions - Will Silver Prices Continue to Outperform in Q3?

In line with our expectations, silver has been the star performer of the metals so far, enjoying a spectacular rally of 21.5% in the second quarter after a gain of 11.3% in the first. Silver also outperformed gold because the gold-silver ratio was historically too high. We expect outperformance in silver prices to continue in the third quarter thanks to a cautious Fed.

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