Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Precious Metals’

Physical Gold and Silver V/s Paper Gold and Silver

When people decide to invest in precious metals, they have many options. They can chose gold and silver exchange traded funds (ETFs), precious metals mining shares, gold or silver futures contracts, unallocated gold and silver pools or derivatives. Or, they can buy the real thing – As only physical gold and silver provides you with direct access & ownership.

Recent Gold Market Moves Indicate a Wicked Gold Rally in the Making

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at the extremely low levels (in the low 20s) and is strongly hinting bottoms for gold and silver. The sentiment numbers are telling me that there is a wicked gold rally coming. On Monday, when I get a look at the COT report, I will know for sure. Keep your eyes open as we move toward year-end. The fireworks are going to be incendiary.

The Carnage in the Gold Sector Could Be Over

The rally in gold and silver has corrected hard which is not all that unusual for any bull market. The price of gold is approximately $200/oz lower than its June peak of $1375/oz. RSI is down to 20.63 which is the lowest it has been for some time. A reading below the ‘30’ level is considered to be oversold, so we can see that gold is extremely oversold and a bounce from here is not impossible.

Will Downward Trend in Gold and Silver Continue? A Look at Inflation is All You Need to Know

Despite this temporary setback, the long-term outlook is still looking positive for gold and silver. Financial turmoil is always a driving factor for additional bullion investments. Trump’s victory sent copper prices soaring more than $1,000, its best weekly performance since 1979. As a byproduct of base metal extraction, silver to rise on increased infrastructure spending & gold on inflation.

Fearful Capital Turns to Gold and Silver - the Ultimate Financial Insurance

One can easily foresee the financial and political turmoil looming large just ahead. And, there is lots of that coming our way. Now is the time to be proactive in case the situation escalates, which seems to be unavoidable. Gold and silver have been acquired for centuries as a form of wealth preservation, as a long-term store of value and as safe-haven assets in such times.

Gold Bull Market Intact Regardless of Short Term Price Gyrations

Gold remains the asset Wall Street loves to hate. Currently the fundamental drivers of gold are mixed, which makes a sideways move the most likely prospect, barring new developments. We remain convinced that the monetary experiments of recent years will end quite badly, and that the long term case for gold remains intact regardless of short term price gyrations.

Rate Hike Largely Priced into Gold and Silver - What about Rationality in Sell-off?

Could the FED finally raise rates before 2016 draws to a close? That sounds plausible in theory, but there are a number of factors that do not support a rate hike in the near term. But even if they do hike rates, this move is already largely priced into gold and silver. We should question the rationality of this sell off. After all, the gold price often moves higher along with interest rates.

Gold Prices will Rise Once the Rate-Hike Obsessed Sellers are Out of the Way

After a rip-roaring first half, gold prices are plunging as we enter the home stretch of 2016. Gold futures are sitting near breakeven as we begin the new trading week. But when it comes to gold’s longer-term prospects, all is not lost. Even mainstream analysts are preparing for a bounce in gold prices once the highly-anticipated December rate hike is out of the way.

Gold And Silver Prices Crash Despite Financial Instability & Political Turmoil

Despite the negative bond yield environment, political turmoil in a number of countries, a tumultuous US presidential election campaign & uncertainty in the aftermath of the Brexit vote, gold and silver prices plummeted. Not to mention the current fragility of the global financial system. Now is the time to buy assets physical gold and silver that offer a meaningful hedge against such a scenario.

Ironically, Gold and Silver will find Buyers in Crowds at Higher Prices Than at Lower

Even after you’ve done the research & decided to participate, buying into price weakness against the herd & contrary to your emotions is not an easy thing to do. But time & again, some of the world’s most successful investors have done just that. You might want to consider joining their ranks. As new nominal highs in both gold and silver are printed, several situations begin to develop.

Weekly Outlook for Silver Prices - Volatility in Gold Prices on the Rise

At present, the bias in silver prices is to the upside, as new buying appeared to be behind last week’s advance in prices, as open interest increased nearly 6% through Thursday. In addition, the U.S. economic calendar for the week is full. The possibility of victory for Trump & a second US interest rate hike could cause increased volatility in gold & could rise as high as $1,425.

Gold Remains a Mandatory Portfolio Asset

Can the US financial system endure normalization of interest rate structures? No. Gold will remain a productive portfolio-diversifying asset until the process of debt rationalization is allowed to proceed in the US. Given implications for declining intrinsic value of US financial assets, as well as ongoing Fed efforts to debase outstanding obligations, gold remains a mandatory portfolio asset.

Surging Silver Demand Ensures Higher Prices for Bullion & Mining Shares

In 2015, the global silver deficit — more silver demand than mine supply — was about 130 million ounces, made up by selling stockpiles & inventory. According to Société Générale, silver supply in 2016 is likely to decrease another 9%. As the magnitude of the problem sinks in, I expect that more of the big-money players will rush into silver. And it’ll make for a pricing tsunami.

Price of Silver Set to Skyrocket as it Returns to its Historic Role

In addition to holding up well in the face of bearish factors, the price of silver is set to get a boost from several bullish factors that have not yet been fully priced in by the markets. Despite the recent strong dollar and tough talk from the Fed, the U.S. economy cannot afford a strong dollar. The dollar will again naturally weaken and the dollar price of silver will get a boost.

Why And How The US Fed Will Drive Gold Higher

After raising rates in Dec, the US Fed back-flipped on its aggressive interest rate policy earlier in the year. The US stock market nosedived by about 10% and Chinese debt issues worried investors. Gold & gold stocks went through the roof! Despite the stock market recently hitting all-time highs, the Fed kept delaying increasing rates. This ‘wait and see’ policy is causing a lot of uncertainty.

Why Silver Prices Could Have Considerably More Upside Than Gold

When we take a step back and analyze the catalysts behind the move higher in precious metal spot prices, it’s silver prices that could have considerably more upside than gold. Today, we’ll lay out the case why physical silver could be on its way to $30 an ounce, which would represent a gain of nearly 60% from where physical silver is today.

Outlook for Gold and Silver Prices in a Crucial Central Banks' Influenced Week

There is a very high degree of uncertainty over market developments in the week ahead, but a fresh surge in volatility is guaranteed. The decisions by the Bank of Japan, followed later by Federal Reserve will have a big short-term impact & an important influence on market direction for the remainder of 2016. Gold and silver prices settled lower last week. Here is the outlook for this crucial week.

Hope in Currencies is a Poor Investment Strategy - Trust in Gold is Better

If somebody gives you gold, you don’t have to trust them or the instrument that you have been given – they represent payment in & of itself. Fiat currencies are not really payments. They’re promises to pay, and they work well as long as social trust remains. How long will the trust remain? Well, hopefully for my lifetime & yours too, but hope is a very poor investment strategy.

Silver will be the Top Performing Asset in 2017

Silver had a massive run from the lows of $15.83 to $21.22 &is set to rally higher. No markets rise vertically, a 50% Fibonacci correction is a healthy and accepted norm. The weaker hands are out of silver, whereas, the stronger hands have bought the white metal at lower levels. You need to invest at the right time and to be positioned properly for when high volatility strikes.

The New Gold and Silver Forecasts - Alternative Scenarios

The prospect of Fed rate hikes will weigh on gold and silver prices. As soon as Fed rate hikes for 2016 and 2017 are fully priced in, we expect gold and silver prices to rally again because of higher demand from investors. But if Trump becomes President and/or if investor sentiment deteriorates sharply, this would result in sharply higher gold and silver prices sooner.

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