Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Price Inflation’

Gold Firmly In A Bull Market - Irrespective of Any Election Outcome & Short-Term Market Volatility

Gold’s rally peaked on July 10th & ever since, immense uncertainty has prevailed. Our case for gold is to consider the long haul. Whether or not there could be a gold market correction is not the issue. We trust the fundamentals: it is clear that we are still in the middle of the long-term gold rally. Gold has not seen the end of it; there is still a long, long way to go.

Not 1, But 50 Amazing Proofs - The Secular Bull Market in Gold Will Continue

Gold’s bull market started in the year 2001, and after 4 years of correction from 2011 to 2015, the secular bull market is still intact. As the world is experiencing the burden of debt & sub mortgage crisis, which has the made the market illiquid & the bearish sentiment for gold is on extreme low. Gold on rise can be termed as the biggest surprise of 2016. Need Proof? Here are 50 of them.

Sticky Price Inflation at Highest Level since 2009 - What it Means for Gold

The common man has little idea of what the price of gold is because he does not fear inflation. Right now, gold is only an investment hedge for institutional players & still trending up since December. If inflation starts to become obvious though & the sticky CPI suggests that this might soon happen, any upside revaluation in the price of gold is likely to be quick & intense.

Gold Investing Justified By Paradigm Shifts In Politics And Markets

What needs to be considered is the future – that is riddled with uncertainty. What we do know, is that the growing negative sentiment towards our governments that have failed us both politically and economically, presents a need to safeguard wealth from the tides ahead. If you haven’t yet included gold in your portfolios, now is the time to do it.

Helicopter Money Will Boost Gold Market to New Highs

The idea of helicopter money would be to circumvent banks & to directly inject money into the bank accounts of people who then spend it & create higher inflation & growth. Of course, if you know history you will know that this is a measure that cannot heal anything—it just buys time. On the other hand, for gold it would be the time to shine if helicopter money would be implemented.

Rising Commodity Prices Signal Inflation - Purchasing Power Collapse

Asset inflation is increasingly spilling over into commodities, the feedstock for final goods. Unless commodity prices start falling soon, they are certain to drive up record price inflation, despite the lack of economic activity in the advanced economies. The official line, that there is almost no price inflation, is misleading everyone. Monetary inflation withdraws purchasing power from the masses.

A Technically Reasonable Correction in Gold Prices

For those who persist in looking at gold as an investment, the fall in gold prices in May is simply within the bounds of a normal correction. But they would be missing a vital point & that is by buying gold they are selling an inferior form of money. Not only is the dollar already demonstrably overvalued when priced in gold, but there is a growing inevitability of a further, substantial declines.

Gold Prices will rise on Weaker Dollar - Thanks to Fed's Monetary Policies

Change happens for a reason. Yellen may not be “missing” the risks of stagflation. More likely, she is heading there on purpose – as terrible as that sounds to say. How will gold react? That’s still not clear. But in our view, the longer term trends involve price inflation and economic stagflation. These will weigh down the dollar and drive gold prices higher against it.

Gold Prices Decline as Fed Bluffs on Right Direction of the U.S. Economy

Minutes of the Fed’s April meeting released last week showed Fed officials believed the U.S. economy could be ready for another interest rate increase in June. Will the Fed actually follow through? Sometimes, the speculation alone accomplishes the purposes that Fed has in mind. For instance, the gold price against the dollar immediately suffered from rate-hike speculation.

Eurozone in Danger on Falling Purchasing Power of Dollar, Not Rising Commodity Prices

All financial prices in the Eurozone are badly skewed. So far, the price inflation environment has been benign, but this year, things have been changing. Higher levels of debt will never allow the ECB to run interest rates up sufficiently to kill price inflation. More likely, positive rates of only one or two per cent would be enough to destabilise the Eurozone’s financial system.

Beware! The Billionaires Start Buying Gold as Stagflation Triggers Demand

The billionaires are buying gold. George Soros has just invested in a gold producer, Barrick gold. Soros’ former chief strategist Stan Druckenmiller has stated gold is now his largest currency holding. There is billionaire hedge fund manager Paul Singer who reportedly believes gold is at the beginning of a global rebound. Stagflation is driving positive perceptions of gold.

Why Gold Investors Should Love Central Banks

The ECB’s announcement last week is not a good test because it announced additional monetary stimulus as well as lower interest rates. Is gold going up because of negative interest rates, or because of monetary inflation? It is probably a combination of both, but it is hard to know which is the dominating factor. At least it is a bright spot for gold investors, if nothing else.

How Inflation Could Be Caused in 15 Minutes

So-called “money printing” is seen as a certain path to inflation. The Fed has printed almost $4 trillion since 2008. Yet inflation (at least as measured by official statistics) is barely noticeable. With so much money around, where’s the inflation? Increased money supply alone does not cause inflation. The money must be borrowed and spent.

A Sept Rate Hike Is Not Even Close: Goldman's 7 Reasons Why Yellen Will Delay... Again

On one hand, every economist, virtual portfolio manager, Yahoo Finance Twitter expert & TV talking head is certain that a September rate hike is inevitable. On the other hand, the bank that runs the NY Fed, Goldman Sachs is doubling down on its call that the Fed will not hike in September. So here is Goldman’s Jan Hatzius with seven reasons why Yellen will delay. Again.

The Economics of a Stock Market Crash

To mainstream financial commentators, blame for a crash is always placed on remote factors, such as China’s financial crisis, and has little to do with events closer to home. Analysis of this sort is selective and badly misplaced. The purpose of this article is to provide an overview of the economic background to today’s markets as well as the likely consequences.

Not Owning Gold Bullion Shows “Ignorance of Monetary History”

Gold’s position is assured because of the total reliance of our debt-based monetary system on unsustainable inflation. The yearly, “In Gold We Trust” report states that “we have all become guinea pigs of an unprecedented attempt at re-inflation.” QE and negative interest rates “are a direct consequence of a systemic addiction to inflation.”

Gold Is a ‘Barbarous Relic’ but These Are ‘Barbarous Times’

The rupee is losing ground against the dollar by around 9% per year. Indian price inflation runs at around 9% per year as well. Yields are clearly too low to maintain purchasing power. Without rising asset prices, stocks and real-estate fail to protect purchasing power. This leaves gold as an alternative destination for savings.

How GDP Metrics Distort Our View of the Economy

GDP purports to measure economic activity while largely divorcing itself from quality, profitability, depth, breadth, improvement, advancement & rationalization of goods & services provided. Why does GDP poorly reflect economic size & vitality? Its largely due to 3 fallacious concepts embedded within GDP measurements.

2% Inflation, Gold and The Fed's Current Mandate

Many modifications of policy mandates occurred between 1913 and 1971, and the Fed continues today in a desperate effort to prevent the total unwinding and collapse of a monetary system built on sand. A storm is brewing and when it hits, it will reveal the fragility of the entire world financial system.

Central Banks Have Failed Because They Can't Push Wages Higher

Lowering interest rates to zero and issuing unlimited free money for financiers to generate asset bubbles has had a negative effect on wages and household income. This is not accidental or bad luck – Central bank money-printing cannot possibly have any positive impact on wages. “Bad” inflation is prices rising while wages stagnate.

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