Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Price of Gold’

China, Price Inflation & Weak US Dollar - A Perfect Storm for Higher Gold Prices

We can see two roads higher for gold prices from here, the first would be a return of significant price inflation and weakness in the U.S. dollar. The second route to higher gold prices would be the return of safe haven buying, driven by serious geopolitical turmoil, China obviously would be at the forefront of that, and perhaps a shock to the global financial system.

Gold Investment is now Insurance for Long-Term Protection against Inflation

Inflation just got another jolt, rising as much as 2.5% YoY in Jan. Significant increases in inflation will ultimately increase the price of gold. Investment in gold now is insurance for long-term protection. Major stock indices continued to hit fresh all-time highs & it’s important to temper the exuberance with a little prudence, making gold’s investment case even more attractive.

Gold Preparing for a Healthy Rally into Higher Territory

Hedge funds and institutional speculators have been calling the tune for gold, trading the recent range, buying on dips, selling on rallies, and gradually adding to their physical holdings – a behavioral pattern we expect will continue within a rising trading range – at least until a price above the $1300 an ounce level is well established.

Gold Price Movements Indicate Levels of Fear & Uncertainty in Global Markets

At the top of the list of what the stock market hates is uncertainty, while gold typically rises when there is fear and uncertainty in stock markets. The price of gold (see above chart) has been rising & its volume spiking. Our advice would be to keep an eye on the gold market to measure just how much fear and uncertainty there is in global markets about our new President.

Rising Gold and Silver Prices Indicate a Wall Street Correction

The recent upsurge in gold and silver does point to a possible correction on Wall Street. Share prices have been hitting new all-time highs repeatedly in recent times without any further fundamental support. With US stock indices near record high levels, we are hesitant to turn bearish yet & its impossible to predict the timing of the upcoming crash. But the stage looks set, so be prepared.

Gold Is on Fire - Here's When & How to Trade or Buy Gold

Gold futures closed Thursday at 1,219.4, up 5.9% year to date and 8.5% above the post-election low of 1,124.3, set on Dec. 15. The price of gold has traded up and down since the election. Comex gold has been less volatile than gold mining stocks and the gold stock exchange-traded fund. Here’s how to trade gold stocks using weekly charts and key trading levels.

Gold Prices Target $1,500 - How to Get in on the Gold Rush

Traditionally, gold has been a so-called safe haven for investors worldwide. The intrinsic value of physical gold will remain even as stocks come & go. As market uncertainty sends gold prices rocketing higher, what are the best ways for investors to profit? With the potential for four more years of market tumult, here’s how savvy investors should take advantage of the coming gold rush.

Gold Market Seems Ready to Breakout Higher

Gold bottomed on the 15th of Dec 2016, but the dollar continued to trend higher for several more days and Gold reacted in a positive way to this development. The dollar has been on a tear since Trump won, so Gold should have continued trending lower, but it did not. Gold has now given the first signal that it is getting ready to test the $1360 ranges with a possible overshoot to the $1380 ranges.

Gold Price Movements may not be Exciting in 2017 – But I just can’t be Bearish on Gold

Across the developed world, is civil tension, unrest and division going to bubble over, or is it going to simmer down in the coming years? There is every chance that the narrative of civil discontent, division and unrest continues to fester and worsen in the coming years, even if there are no big, catalytic votes coming up in the US and UK. That’s why I’m not particularly bearish about gold.

Gold Prices Rally Against Market Expectations. Will Bullish Run Continue?

Gold prices have started 2017 with a strong performance. This out performance so far has shocked the market as Gold prices had been under performing the market since Trump won the election in November. One question that gold investors are asking now is, will 2017 be as spectacular for the yellow metal as it was in 2016? The short and sweet answer is yes.

Gold ETF Investors Skeptical Of Gold Prices Despite Rally

The price of gold is up 6.1% year-to-date, making it one of the outperforming assets in the first three weeks of the year. Unlike last year, it’s not ETF investors that are driving gold prices higher in 2017. In the year-to-date period ending Jan. 18, the SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) & iShares Gold Trust (IAU) the two largest physically backed gold ETFs have had combined net outflows of $440 million.

Declassified CIA Memos Reveal Probes Into Gold Market Manipulation

The CIA recently released a series of declassified 1970s memos relating to the gold market & the newly created SDR. Each of the declassified gold and SDR documents was marked “SECRET”. These memos give new insight how the CIA viewed the gold market, the perceived manipulation of gold & the potential for the SDR to become a gold substitute in the international monetary system.

7 Federal Reserve Tools and Why They’re All Flawed

Here is a survey of seven Federal Reserve tools in the Fed toolkit to stimulate the economy if recession or deflation gains the upper hand and why their toolkit is flawed. Their toolkit consisting of interest rate hikes to fight inflation, and a litany of tools to fight deflation, shows that the Fed will be fully engaged in manipulating the U.S. economy for an indefinite period of time.

Price of Silver and Gold in 2017: Why They Could Bounce Higher

Most of those who are bullish about silver prices in 2017 point to silver’s capacity to decouple from the precious metals markets. Excitement about silver’s industrial demand could be the driver for higher prices in the minds of some. With uncertainty about geopolitical actions & surprises likely on multiple fronts, investors should expect gold prices in 2017 to be more volatile than usual.

2017 Creating Conditions for Gold to have it's Best Year in a Generation

Clearly, gold had a poor end to 2016 and fell by over 10% in the last two months of the year. However, it looks set to not only reverse this fall, but to also make high gains during the course of the year. The risks facing the world economy are significant and inflation looks set to rise, both of which create the conditions for gold to have its best year in a generation.

Gold Prices will soon Reflect the Damage Done (By / To) the US Dollar

As the reality of the ‘new’ Depression sets in, the failure of initial efforts by government will be seen more clearly. They will then step up their efforts. Damage to the US dollar would be reflected in the US dollar price of gold which could easily go from $700 to $7000 in months, maybe weeks. If you think that $7000 gold prices are right around the corner, better plan accordingly.

Gold Bulls to Take Comfort in the Long Term

Expectations of higher interest rates, an appreciating dollar & record-high equity prices held gold prices down. But the longer-term outlook is another story! Contrary to the disappointing experience of 2016, the price of gold is likely to zoom much higher in the years ahead, perhaps doubling or even tripling from recent lows by the end of president-elect Trump’s four-year term.

2016 American Eagle Gold Bullion sales highest since 2011

The US Mint finished off 2016 American Eagle gold bullion coin sales with its slowest month of the year, but that didn’t prevent the year-end total from being the highest since 2011. The final 2016 tally from the Mint reports sales of 37,701,500 ounces of American Eagle silver bullion coins, which is down sharply from record-setting 2015 sales that finished at an even 47,000,000 ounces.

Will China & India's Falling Demand Impact Gold Prices? Can Central Bank Gold Demand Help?

The demand for gold has been weak in India & China. The cash crunch in India contributed to the falling demand. In an attempt to constrain the outflows of the Chinese yuan, China has curbed the import of gold. US federal debt is growing at a fast rate. When major central banks increase debt as a percentage of GDP, their gold holdings often rise – a positive for demand & gold prices.

Gold Prices Preparing for 'The Next Big Leap Higher'

Where could gold be heading? Fundamentals and the macro picture strongly indicate that gold is in a long consolidation phase and coiling for the next big leg higher. The fact that the markets are currently fully pricing a Fed hike next week while also expecting a relatively hawkish tone, makes it a very good long entry point. Let’s see if the shiny metal can finally fly.

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