Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Price of Gold’

Blockchain Revolution is Gunning for the $27 Billion Gold Market Trading

About $27 billion of gold changes hands every day in over-the-counter markets where settlements can sometimes take days, leaving price risk for buyers & sellers. Using blockchain promises more transparency, security & speedier deals. It also could attract new participants at a time when investors are souring on gold-backed ETFs, a key source of growth in physical demand over the past decade.

Gold Prices have Beaten the Stock Market so far this Century

The price of gold has outperformed the S&P 500 Index so far this century, returning 86 percent more than the market if we index both asset classes at 100 on December 31, 1999. Over the past 17 years, the S&P 500 has undergone two major contractions, both of them resulting in a loss of around 40 percent. Gold, meanwhile, has held its value well, boosting its appeal as a portfolio diversifier.

Fundamental Change - Gold Scrap Slump will Tighten the Gold Market Supply

Normally, when the gold price increases, individuals take advantage by selling old jewelry or scrap into the market. This trend changed in 2017 as global gold scrap supply declined 20% to 563 mt, even as the gold price increased. This suggests that the market is now holding onto its gold rather than sell it into the market… even at higher prices. This is a very POSITIVE indicator for future gold prices.

Silver is 8 times Cheaper than should be - Buy before the Discount Disappears

The gold-silver ratio has only hit the critical level of 80, just four times in the last three decades. Every time it has, silver went on to have a big rally. But silver’s headed even higher. That’s because the gold-silver ratio is still far too high. It should be closer to 9:1. That’s a bold call, to say the least. It means silver is eight times cheaper than it should be. This number’s based on a law of nature.

Are You a Real Contrarian Investor or Just a Fashion Contrarian?

Contrarian investing is based on taking a position that is opposite to that of the masses. Very few of today’s contrarians are true contrarians; Most fall into the category of fashion contrarians. Investing based on psychology amounts to not only taking a position against the masses but also against the fashion contrarians. Once sentiment has reached boiling point, one should go into cash.

Alarming Rise in Global Debt Levels to wake up Gold from Slumber

The medium- to long-term investment case for gold, I believe, looks even brighter. Many unsettling risks loom on the horizon—not least of which is a record amount of global debt—that could potentially spell trouble for the investor who hasn’t adequately prepared with some allocation in a “safe haven. Paying down this debt will not be easy. Another crisis could be in the works.

Are You Ready for the Storm about to Hit the Gold Market?

September has been the best month for gold over the past 41 years. Coincidentally (or not), September is also the worst month for the S&P 500. As June comes to a close, we’re near the end of the seasonal weakness for gold—soon to enter its historical prime time from August to October. Investors can use these trends to make strategic purchases when the gold market is the weakest.

Would You Like an Additional Zero to Your Net Worth? Buy Gold

The Fed’s reluctance to carry out their multiple rate hike policy has now revealed their real outlook for the economy to us all. The USD has weakened and is now officially in a bear market, and because gold is priced in dollars, this has been supportive for gold prices. But, what is truly playing out like in the textbook is that no one is bullish. This is precisely when you want to be bullish because of this strategy.

Gold Bullish on a Long Term Basis - Gold Bulls need to be Patient

The world is awash in too much debt, be it household, corporate or government. Gross global debt is at $152 trillion, an all-time high 225% of world GDP. At some point, central banks will be forced to engineer higher inflation rates to lessen the burden of all this debt. Realizing this, investors can be expected to embrace gold as the ultimate safe haven. Gold bulls should prepare to be patient.

Upside Turn in Stocks & Slam-down in Gold and Silver - Both may be FAKE

The recent inflection from skepticism to optimism could be the first step toward the stock market euphoria that we typically see at the end of bull markets & has been absent so far. People have been convinced that everything is wonderful right now & that stocks are going to go up forever. I don’t buy this. It wouldn’t be a total shock to me if stock markets are down 25% & gold is up 50% by October.

Silver seems to be Coiling Back now for a Big Leap-Up soon

In 2016, silver was very strong in the first half of the year and weak in the second half. The first half of 2017 has been something of a wash, setting up something potentially big in the next half of the year. The silver chart shows prices winding up within a huge wedge pattern. A few more weeks of consolidation are still possible before a decisive break out from the pattern.

You know why You need Gold Investment, Here's how You go about Investing in Gold

Not everyone has a demat account to buy gold ETFs, nor are all comfortable of storing physical gold bars and coins. With investing in gold jewellery, besides the cost of gold, consider making charges, charges on stones, if any, purity and buyback offer. If you plan on investing in gold, there are many options. Here are the major gold products so that you can see what suits you best.

The Gold Bull Market Appears to have Much More Room to Run

The gold price turnaround last year, marked the end of the cyclical bear market. The rally in the precious metals sector has probably only just begun. Based on past bull markets, it looks like we’re very much in the early days of our bull market. Also consider the current market drivers for gold and miners. Global debt levels, the erosion of the dollar are also among the serious factors at play here.

I Remain Bullish on Both, but Prefer Physical Gold to Gold Stocks

Gold stocks will also respond to increasing gold prices. But ultimately, a gold stock typically represents a stake in a mining company, not the physical gold it mines. Of course, I remain bullish on both. But a rapid increase in demand from Middle East Muslims could easily ignite the fuse for gold prices, and premiums, to scream higher. Buy physical gold bullion before they do.

A Chart Pattern that Promises of Stunning Movements in Silver Prices

Silver is the only commodity 66% cheaper than 37 years ago. It has sucked the lifeblood out of even the most rigid bulls, but the ones who have slowly accumulated and have created a cash hoard in order to catch the move up once the U.S. equities market contracts will have a story to tell their grandchildren. Clearly, the trend is now reversing & we observe a very interesting long term pattern.

All Signs Point to Higher Gold Prices in the Months Ahead

Is the latest rally in gold prices for real? There’s an important distinction between the 2011-2015 price action and what’s going on now. The rally in gold prices that began on December 15, 2016 looks like the one that will finally break the bear pattern of lower highs and lower lows, and turn it into the bullish pattern of higher highs and higher lows, having posted a “golden cross” last week.

Evidence on Gold Price Manipulation is very Clear - Time to Buy is NOW

The big western banks have a monopoly on gold prices even if they do not have a monopoly on physical gold. But that could be about to change. Russia and China are not only building up physical reserves and exploring for more, they are building trading systems that allow for price discovery and leveraged trading in gold. Soon, the physical gold market will regain the upper hand as a price maker.

Paper Gold Price is not the Real Price of Gold

The paper gold market sets the gold price – the paper price that the false gold market trades at. That has very little to do with the price of gold which is what the physical market would trade at if there was not a manipulated paper market. But buyers & sellers are not concerned about the real price of gold. Because they have no intention of owning the physical since they don’t understand its function.

Long-Term Prospects for Gold and Silver Unchanged, Despite Temporary Weakness

Given the selloff in recent weeks, silver is now up around 1-2% year-to-date, giving up most of its gains for the year, and gold is up around 5-6% – still positive though well off its double-digit gains into mid-April. I think what we’re seeing is not a massive move away from gold or silver, but a very short-term reaction. The long-term bullish outlook based on a lot of fundamental drivers remains unchanged.

Americans Pawn Gold To Go Further Into Debt: US Gold Scrap Market Drying Up

It is quite unfortunate that Americans have pawned off their best asset only to go further into debt. U.S. gold scrap supply in 2016 (58.7 metric tons) is nearly two and a half times less than it was in 2010 (143 metric tons). Americans pawned off a great deal more gold in 2010 when the price was lower at $1,225 compared to $1,267 in 2016. Which means, the U.S. gold scrap supply market is drying up.

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