Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Real GDP Growth’

All You Need To Know About The US Economy: True Unemployment Is Over 12%

How can an economy that is growing so slowly produce such big declines in unemployment? Something about the U.S. economy isn’t adding up. Either the unemployment data or the GDP calculation is very much wrong. Last week’s failure by the Fed to hike rates is a direct confirmation that nothing with the US economy is as strong as the 5.1% unemployment rate suggests.

Government Shutdown & Debt Limit Questions Answered

A federal shutdown due to a funding lapse looks no less likely than it did two weeks ago. The Senate is expected to begin voting later this week on a funding extension, but the House looks unlikely to act until shortly before the September 30 deadline. Here are some attempts to answer the main questions surrounding the shutdown, debt limit & ramifications.

Will Yellen Shock All: Goldman Says "Fed Should Think About Easing"

The punchline comes from Goldman’s Financial Conditions Index which is now screaming for QE4 or NIRP. After predicting of a roaring economy,Goldman admits the Fed can’t hike even 25 bps. Pay attention to what Goldman says the Fed will do, for “risk management” purposes – because as shown many times in the past, Goldman runs the Fed.

A Sept Rate Hike Is Not Even Close: Goldman's 7 Reasons Why Yellen Will Delay... Again

On one hand, every economist, virtual portfolio manager, Yahoo Finance Twitter expert & TV talking head is certain that a September rate hike is inevitable. On the other hand, the bank that runs the NY Fed, Goldman Sachs is doubling down on its call that the Fed will not hike in September. So here is Goldman’s Jan Hatzius with seven reasons why Yellen will delay. Again.

Moody's: Russia Downgrade Review On Event Risk, Investor Sentiment & Economy

Hot on the heels of what S&P said was not a “politically motivated” shift to rating watch, Moody’s has decided to put Russia on rating downgrade watch. Decision was triggered by 3 key factors: Weakening of Russia’s economic strength, Potential shifts in investor sentiment & susceptibility to event risk.

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