Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Recessions’

Central Banks are Not Innocent Bystanders

Central banks don’t raise or lower interest rates randomly, like fluctuations in temperature. Their expectations of overheating cause higher rates, and their expectations of recessions cause lower rates. But central banks can’t tame the storms they raise. So is it that interest rates are relatively innocent bystanders in the business cycle?

Inflation, Investment and Savings - Where do we stand now ?

There’s a clear relationship between periods of rising prices (inflation) for essential items & negative real rates, & this undermines the dollar value. Investors then seek alternatives such as gold, oil & agricultural land. Actual income of the low income group varies more when measured against the price of necessities rather than the broad CPI.

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