Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Recovery’

Desperate-To-Hike Fed Admits : Inflation Is Not As Low As You Think

Having now admitted that all of the market-based expectations of inflation are wrong, depending on the importance of the credit channel, the Federal Reserve, by pegging the short term rate at zero, have essentially removed one recessionary market mechanism that used to efficiently clear excesses within the financial system.

Dependence On Central Banks Is "Unrealistic And Dangerous", BIS Warns

This is a world in which interest rates have been extraordinarily low for exceptionally long and in which financial markets have worryingly come to depend on every word and deed of the central banks, in turn complicating the needed policy normalisation. It is unrealistic and dangerous to expect that monetary policy can cure all the global economy’s ills.

Will Yellen Shock All: Goldman Says "Fed Should Think About Easing"

The punchline comes from Goldman’s Financial Conditions Index which is now screaming for QE4 or NIRP. After predicting of a roaring economy,Goldman admits the Fed can’t hike even 25 bps. Pay attention to what Goldman says the Fed will do, for “risk management” purposes – because as shown many times in the past, Goldman runs the Fed.

Repatriation Of Gold From Fed Suggests Historic Vote Of No Confidence

Over the last few years, Germany, the Netherlands, France, Belgium, Austria, Poland, Ecuador, Finland, Switzerland, Venezuela & Romania have either formally requested repatriation of their gold or are in discussions with the Fed about it. Something huge must of happened in the last few years to prompt such action.

Oil Slump Says ‘No’ to Recovery Story - Eric Sprott Was Right

Cheaper oil prices don’t just come ‘out of the blue.’ Other commodities used for raw materials, construction & economic growth, have been languishing too. Real median incomes remain stagnant since the Great Recession. These are all signs that the recovery we are seeing is mainly asset inflation brought on by cheap debt, not economic growth.

Citi Warns - Central Banks Grip On The World Economy Is Waning

Not only are central bank policies having a disappointing effect on business sentiment and investment; they are failing even to revive inflation expectations. Despite having growing doubts as to central banks’ ability to create durable economic growth, we remain convinced as to their ability to push up risky asset prices.

We Have Just Witnessed The Last Gasp Of The Global Economy

I believe that the admissions of financial danger by internationalists, the sharp drop in stocks at the beginning of fall, the reversal of the political theater, and the fact that mainstream investors now recognize the illegitimacy of the markets yet continue with the scam anyway, signals the last gasp of the global economy.

Inflation's Not the Only Way Easy Money Destroys Wealth

One of the major negative factors that undermine the real wealth generation is loose monetary policy of the central bank, which boosts demand without the prior production of wealth. The longer the Fed’s loose policy stays in force the harder it is for wealth generators to generate real wealth & prevent the pool of real wealth from shrinking.

Greece Recovery? 60% Of Greeks Live At Or Below Poverty Levels

A report from Greece’s State Budget Office found that three in every five Greeks, or some 6.3 million people, were living in poverty or under the threat of poverty in 2013 due to material deprivation and unemployment. Greece also ranks fourth among EU states in poverty disparity, after Spain, Romania and Bulgaria.

Combination Of Record Debt And Slowing Growth Makes New Global Crisis Imminent

One of the Geneva Report’s main contributions is to document the continued rise of debt at a time when most talk is about how the global economy is deleveraging, reducing the burden of debts. The report documents the continued rapid rise of public sector debt in rich countries and private debt in emerging markets, especially China.

Alan Greenspan's Nine Reasons "Why The Economy Stinks"

Alan Greenspan listed 9 specific reasons why the “economy stinks”, although surprisingly, nowhere did he mention the fact that the current and future economic disaster is all a direct result of his “great moderation” ruinous reign at helm of the Fed and its catastrophic monetary policies.

Could Dollar lose its status as the Reserve Currency Status?

For a currency to have international reserve status, the related assets must be useable with minimal transaction-price impact & have relatively stable values in times of stress. Financial stability reforms can, alongside fiscal prudence, help protect the safety & liquidity of sovereign assets & can hence play a crucial role for reserve-currency status.

Additional Chinese Stimulus Risks Global Financial Stability: Goldman

The soft July data have once again generated expectations of monetary easing from China. Goldman believes that a combination of sectoral policies aimed at easing financial stress and structural adjustment would be a better policy option. They do not expect broad macro easing or an interest rate cut in what remains of this year.

Deadbeat Nation: A Shocking 77 Million Americans Face Debt Collectors

A new research says about 77 million – a stunning number, Americans have a debt in collections. But how is it possible that tens of millions of Americans are in such dire straits? Wages have barely kept up with inflation during the 5 year recovery, as per Labor Department figures. But.. recovery? And consumer confidence at 2007 highs?

Full-Time Pain: Most Americans "Wouldn't Call This A Recovery"

Most people will have the impression that the 288,000 jobs created last month were full-time. Not so. And more directly, “most Americans wouldn’t call this an economic recovery.” There are 48 million people in the U.S. in low-wage jobs, resulting, as Mort Zuckerman concludes, “Faith in the American dream is eroding fast.”

Fed Prepares For Bond-Fund Runs, Looking At Imposing "Exit Fee" Gates

Since the Fed has failed to incite the mass reallocation of funds from bonds to stocks, it is willing to use every trick in the book to achieve its goal. Fed may impose exit fees on bond funds to avert a potential run by investors, underlining regulators’ concern about the vulnerability of the $10tn corporate bond market.

Why the U.S. Recovery is Such a Disappointment

We have had a disappointingly slow recovery, and our consistent expectations for a pickup in growth have been dashed over a number of years. This has been the most agonizing post-recession recovery since The Great Depression, in spite of record stimulus efforts including zero bound interest rates.

This Is What Employment In America Really Looks Like

Thanks to offshoring of millions of jobs, replacement of workers with technology & overall weakness of the US economy, the percentage of Americans that are actually working is significantly lower than it was when this century began. The truth is that more good jobs are being lost every single day in America.

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