Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Reserve Bank of India’

Central banks may do more harm than good, says RBI's Rajan

Raghuram Rajan, governor of the RBI, has been leery of the unconventional monetary policy tools used by central banks since the financial crisis. At some point, he said, pushing interest rates low seems to have the perverse effect of making people save rather than spend. The asset-price boost that comes with QE may disappear if these assets can’t grow into their valuation.

India Central Bank Cuts Rate 5th Time in 17 Months - Dollar Still Holding the Conn

India got the fifth rate cut from Rajan in the past 17-months, that has seen 150 Basis Points taken from the internal rate & traders sold rupees after the rate announcement. The dollar is still holding the conn again today & the dollar has even beaten back the Japanese yen. So once again, we are looking at an all-out assault by the dollar on the currencies and metals.

Indians Urged To Give Up Their "Idle Gold" For The Good Of The Nation

Indians would be allowed to deposit their gold with banks & earn interest, while banks will be free to sell the gold to jewelers, thereby boosting supply. When stripped of its pompous rhetoric, what India is offering is simple: a gold-for-paper exchange, which in a culture where gold has been the definition of money for centuries, would likely be a non-starter from the beginning.

RBI Cuts Repo Rate 50 Basis Points, But Rupee Rallies

I’m a fan of RBI Gov. Rajan, and I think that if he feels as though this will help offset the China slowdown. But to see the rupee rally like it has after a rate cut? That’s a surprise. I shake my head in disbelief. But, gold is down, and so too is silver, and platinum, with palladium the only precious metals of these 4 to be trading with a gain this morning.

Gold, Governments and Central Banks

Governments and central banks are frequently criticized by goldbugs for being anti-gold. Examples include the Indian government restricting gold import, the US government refusing to carry out a full audit of the US Treasury’s gold holdings and the Swiss government and central bank strongly opposing the “gold initiative” demands.

Indian Gold Imports Exploding In March

March has not even ended, though preliminary data indicates India has already imported over 130 tonnes of gold this month. A conservative estimate suggests total gross import can reach 150 tonnes this month. A new scheme the India government is looking at to obstruct gold import is through monetizing gold.

IMF’s Gold Depositories- Nagpur & Shanghai: Indian & Chinese connections

The IMF holds the equivalent of US$27.5 million in gold with Reserve Bank of India in Bombay. IMF has received a letter from the Reserve Bank stating that it has recently opened an office at Nagpur, which is situated about 520 miles from Bombay in the interior of the country & contains a special vault for storing the Bank’s stock of gold.

Gold Shortage, Worst In 21st Century... And India Just Made It Worse

One event that may stretch the already ridiculous disconnect between physical & swap-based gold, is that India scrapped a rule mandating traders to export 20% of all gold imported into the country, in a surprise move that could cut smuggling and raise legal shipments into the world’s second-biggest consumer of the metal after China.

Russia & India Begin Negotiations To Use National Currencies, Bypassing Dollar

Suddenly India is now the great Asian wildcard. India agreed with Russia to create a task group to work out a mechanism for using national currencies in settlements. Another major bilateral arrangement is set up that completely bypasses the dollar. Japanese companies are also looking to shift to India due to political problems in China.

The Role of India in the Global Gold Market

With such a long pro-gold culture and tradition at the individual and official levels, the role of India in the gold market should not be underestimated. In any reset of the international monetary system, such a large possessor of gold in official and private hands will also play a major, if not a principal, role.

Data Shows That Gold Shortage Is Coming

Eric Sprott expects a “significant re-rating of the gold price” due to high physical demand from China & India, coupled with a gold supply shortfall. The effect, which he calls the “Chinese Gold Vortex,” is rapidly taking physical gold from West to East. When the West runs out of gold, the price should go much higher.

Rising Strength in the Rupee will take Gold off the Indian Investors’ Radar

Indian stock markets got off to a roaring start with the rupee rising to its strongest in 11 months against the dollar after the Modi led BJP swept India’s elections to a thumping victory. With so many reasons for the dollar to fall & the Indian rupee to gain and rise; Why would gold prices in rupee terms, rise further?

Will BJP's Win Boost Gold Prices In India?

Irrespective of India’s election outcome or BJP’s win and whatever happens to India’s gold policy then in the coming weeks and months, it’s highly unlikely to boost gold prices either way. The root cause of India’s huge gold demand meanwhile remains unaddressed.

RBI may keep Interest Rates Elevated on More than Estimated Inflation

While economic growth has almost halved to below 5% for the past 2 years, the worst slowdown for India since the 1980s, retail inflation has been averaging around 10%. Adding to inflation woes are damaged crops from recent non-seasonal heavy hail and rains & a possible El Nino weather threat.

Stock Index At Record High And Rupee Strength Makes Analysts Like India Now

Despite India’s troubles over the past few years, more recent economic data indicate that India is heading in the right direction. India has a very good future. All we need is to make some reforms to allow growth at the pace that it should be growing. This is an economy that should be growing at 6%.

RBI's Foreign Exchange Reserves In Gold Fall 15%

RBI, India’s central bank’s foreign exchange reserves in gold fell 15% in value between Mar & Sept last year & the yield on reserves fell 2 basis points amid low interest rates across the developed world. Gold accounted for about 8% of the total foreign exchange reserves in value terms in Sept last year.

India Tightens Checks to Curb Gold Smuggling

India has started to make physical checks of gold stocks held by wholesalers to ensure inventories match quantity imported as India steps up efforts to halt gold smuggling. This could aggravate shortages in the physical market as authorities seize gold without a valid provenance, boosting premiums.

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