Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Retail Sales’

A Recession Occurred The Last 16 Times This Happened

Something has just happened that has signalled a recession every single time that it has occurred since World War I. 16 times since 1919 there have been at least 8 month-over-month declines in industrial production during the preceding 12 month period, and in each of those 16 instances the U.S. economy has plunged into recession.

What's The Real Reason The Fed Is Raising Rates? Surely Not Employment

Although Federal Reserve officials publicly claim that the reason for impending rate hikes is that the American economy is doing well, there’s not a lot of evidence, at least based upon prior tightening cycles, that it’s the real economy the Fed is worried about. Employment growth is in fact decelerating, and has been decelerating since February 2015.

Watch As All the Bond Rats Jump Ship before FOMC Meeting

The FOMC Meeting this week is not just any FOMC Meeting, but the one where the Fed gives its quarterly outlook, forecasts & Yellen is asked a bunch of difficult questions by economists regarding FOMC Policy. The week is all about positioning or the De-Positioning taking place right up until the last minute of this important Fed Meeting.

Why The Bubble Of False Prosperity In US Economy May Be About To Burst

There is no way that this bubble of false prosperity in US economy was going to last forever. It was just based on a pyramid of debt & false promises. The global financial system is in far worse condition than it was just prior to the financial crisis of 2008. Here are 14 reasons why the bubble of false prosperity may be about to burst.

What To Expect From June's Major Economic & Central Bank Events

Since the last Employment report things have been relatively quiet on the economic and Central Bank front but all that is set to change over the next three weeks. Volatility should pick up and many of these events could be potentially market moving for certain asset classes.

How The Fed Is Driving The Next Bust

As should be evident after 6 years of frantic money pumping that old secret sauce doesn’t work any more because the American economy has reached a condition of peak debt. The Fed yet plans to keep money market rates at zero for 7 years running through 2015 on many misbegotten notions.

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