Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Sell Gold’

Is a US Dollar Rally Imminent or will Gold and Silver Continue Rising?

The past three weeks have seen a sharp increase in Commercial long liquidation coupled with accelerated shorting but the aggregate number of shorts is still well below the level seen at major tops in the summer of 2016 and with gold approaching U.S.$1,400 per ounce. The risk in this assumption that the U.S. Dollar index ($USD) is about to stage a reversal to the upside, forcing the algo’s to sell gold.

When will Equities and Gold Begin to Change Places?

In our view, Bullard has signaled the approaching demise of the Trump inflation trade. The equity markets have not yet got the memo. In the midst of a manic bubble, all news is still good news. The prop under the run up in stocks and the narrative behind the correction in gold are fading. We think equities and gold will soon begin to change places.

While U.S. Stupidly Hikes Gold Exports, The East Voraciously Grabs More

Total U.S. gold exports JAN-FEB 2017 surged to 101 metric tons (mt), compared to 56.5 mt last year. This, despite total U.S. gold mine supply plus gold imports for JAN-FEB 2017 equaled only 80 mt, suffering a 21 mt gold supply deficit. And where did the majority of U.S. gold exports head to? You got it….. Hong Kong-China & India.

U.S. Favors Debt over Equity, Speculation over Investment, Buy Gold while You can

While the animal spirits may have taken over the equity markets and have ignored the gold market, we should recall that there is a reason why Keynes called them animal and not human spirits. Americans have ransomed the US economy because their policies have favored debt over equity and speculation over productive investment, placing gold in a more envious position.

Hike Gold Price To Get Inflation When All Else Fails

Raising the price of gold is the easiest way to get inflation. A higher dollar price for gold is practically the definition of inflation. Governments can do this in a heartbeat. The Fed would just declare the price of gold to be, say, $5,000 an ounce & make the price stick using the gold in Fort Knox & their printing press to maintain a two-way market. If you don’t believe this can happen, just check the history books.

30 Years of Data Says Gold Prices Will Rise If the Fed Hikes Rates

Fed rate hikes have, on average, seen much stronger gold gains than a cut, and more frequently, too. Seen against the last 30 years of data, gold is anticipating a major shock from Wednesday’s announcement. If the bond and futures markets prove right instead, and the Fed delays again, the turnaround in gold bullion could be swift.

Did COMEX Counterparty Risk Just Reach A Record High?

The turning point appears to have been the downturn in oil prices as traders began to hedge their counterparty risk in massive levered derivative positions tied to commodities. And it is not just banks… we suspect so is COMEX’s…The ‘claims per ounce of gold’ deliverable at current prices has spiked higher once again, to 126:1.

Is It Time to Admit that Gold Peaked in 2011?

Some argue that the 2011 peak of $1,921 is the equivalent of the 1970s mania peak of $850 in Jan of 1980. Today’s volatile world is exactly the kind of circumstance gold is best for. Regardless of the measure, gold has not matched its 1980 peak. And the reasons to own it have not faded. Indeed, they have grown.

Gold: Hold It Or Fold It? - Peter Schiff

It’s starting to feel like we are part of a giant poker game against the US government, whose hand is the true condition (unknown to us) of the American economy – So, who should investors believe about gold? Should one hold it or fold it?

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