Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘SGE’

PBOC Gold Purchases: Separating Facts from Speculation

PBOC buys gold with their foreign exchange reserves than with renminbi – China’s FX reserves are worth about $3.7 trillion & mostly held in USD. Gold on SGE is quoted in renminbi, so PBOC can’t exchange USD with gold there. PBOC is likely to buy gold abroad & these purchases should be added to the visible gold flows.

China Moves To Dominate Gold Market With Physical Exchange

The encouraging factor about the SGE and the SGE international platform is that there is a lot of physical gold flowing through the Exchange. Therefore, price discovery is not just based on an inverted pyramid of mostly unallocated gold as in London or mostly cash-traded futures paper gold as in New York.

Renewed Estimates of Chinese Gold Demand

For its geopolitical strategy to work China must accumulate large quantities of bullion. Western analysts have always lagged in their understanding of Chinese gold demand & there is now evidence China is deliberately concealing its scale from us & is also happy to let us accept the lower estimates.

Is Chinese Gold Demand Really Falling? Probably Not

Media reports that Chinese gold demand may be slipping, but so far this year, although Chinese demand may currently be down a little its holding up overall at historically high levels. Gold movement from West to East already appears to be exceeding newly mined supply, while scrap sources decline.

Chinese Physical Gold Demand YTD 369t Up 51 % Y/Y

Compared to last year, the Chinese gold demand is up 51 % over the same period – China is on schedule to establish a new record, if the world can supply any more gold. The longer this insatiable demand continues the more I start to ask myself where this gold is coming from.

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