Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Shale Oil’

Will Crude Oil Prices Rise To $60 By Christmas?

What does the crude oil chart forecast? Crude oil has made a nice ascending triangle pattern. If the price breaks out of the $52 levels and sustains the breakout, it gives an upside pattern target of $67. However, the markets have rejected the levels above $52 on December 5, but we should see one more attempt at a breakout above the highs.

If You Understand the Negative Consequences of this, You will Buy Gold and Silver

Investors need to own a good percentage of their wealth in physical gold and silver to protect themselves when the market finally crashes. When the market finally craters, it will take down the value of most paper assets and real estate with it. Because there is very little in the way of physical gold and silver to go around, their values will skyrocket as investors seek to PROTECT WEALTH.

The US Shale Industry Is Painfully Adapting to Low Oil Prices

The rise in oil prices over the past six months has come as a blessing for the battered US shale producers. Oil prices have risen more than 50% since January, giving a glimmer of hope to the US oil industry that the worst of the oil crisis might finally be behind them. Moreover, it forced the shale producers to adapt by reducing production costs and increasing efficiency.

Silver Investment: Switching From A Commodity To High Quality Store Of Value

The collapse in U.S. oil production along with the disintegration in value of most paper assets will cause Silver Investment to be finally based on its high quality store of value properties, not its historic commodity based mechanism. It will no longer matter what the price of oil is. The value of silver will rise as investors move into it to escape the ongoing collapse in paper assets values.

Financial Forecast: Six signs that 2016 will be much worse than 2015

Over the course of 2015 we witnessed several events that had, and will have, negative repercussions. The financial systems as a whole, once again, got deeper into debt. For how much longer can central banks & governments continue kicking the can down the road without any real reform? Here are answers to these questions to identify trends for 2016 by looking at six key issues.

The Real Reason Behind Gold And Silver Manipulation

Declining energy production including the falling EROI will destroy the valuation of most paper and physical assets. Gold and silver will be two of the safest stores of value to own in the future. I have no idea how high the value of these metals will reach, but they will vastly outperform the majority of most stock, bonds and real estate.

Will Less Supply in the Very Near Future Mean Higher Oil Prices?

The strategy, promoted by Saudi Oil Minister was meant to keep oil prices low temporarily & starve many non-OPEC oil producers of profits & restore the cartel’s global market share. The primary target of the OPEC plan was oil production from shale in the United States, which relies on hydraulic fracturing that can’t make money unless oil sells for at least $60 per barrel.

105 Trillion Reasons To Own Silver

The SILVER COIN is the highest form of value because it already contains stored economic energy while the $105 trillion in global conventional assets under management are ENERGY IOU’S. This would be fine if the world planned on expanding its oil supply. However, the opposite will occur in the future.

Gold and Silver Surge Over 8% In Jan On Reignited Global Risks

Gold’s 8.4% gain in January is its largest single month rise since 2012 and silver rose by 10.3% in dollar terms and by more in other currencies. Thus once again, gold bullion performed its role as a hedging instrument and a safe haven asset in January as the outlook became decidedly more uncertain – particularly in the Eurozone.

Price of Oil 2015 - Asymmetric Warfare Tactics

The world has habituated to the never-ending undeclared war over ownership and access to hydrocarbons. Now we are entering a new phase of asymmetric war being waged not over oil but the price of oil. Here are a few of the many possibilities of asymmetric warfare that could be applied to the price of oil.

The First Shale Casualty: WBH Energy Files For Bankruptcy; Many More Coming

American oil and gas companies have gone heavily into debt during the energy boom, increasing their borrowings by 55% since 2010, to almost $200 billion. Their need to service that debt helps explain why U.S. producers plan to continue pumping oil even as crude trades for less than $50 a barrel, down 55% since last June.

Falling Oil Prices and Gold Market

It is difficult to precisely assess the overall impact of lower oil prices on economic growth. The states driving GDP growth in US now are oil states, indicating that much of current US economic growth depends on the oil business. So what are the possible consequences of the drop in oil prices for the economy and gold market?

Marc Faber on Gold, Oil, Currency, Stocks & Economy

What is overvalued and undervalued is a subjective judgment, and I tend to agree that gold shares are down 80% & they are cheap, compared to the physical price of gold & to Facebook or Google & these Netflix type of stocks. There is value in gold mining shares, and I think they could easily rebound from this level by 30 to 40%.

Make No Mistake, the Oil Slump Is Going to Hurt the US Too

Oil would have to fall even further if it’s going to rebalance the oil market by bankrupting the world’s most marginal producers. As North American shale producers have relatively high cash costs, the Saudis could very well succeed in making a big portion of US and Canadian oil production disappear, if they are determined to.

Falling Oil Prices and the Fallout

Will Western American states continue to boom without $90/barrel oil prices? What will American GDP look like without this latest bubble industry to fuel job creation, tax revenue, and investment? It’s impossible to say right now, although the price of oil in relation to the last four recessions does provide some fuel for speculation.

Guess What Happened The Last Time Oil Prices Crashed Like This?

OPEC is now engaged in a “price war” with the United States. If the price of oil stays at this level or continues falling, we will see a significant number of U.S. shale oil companies go out of business and large numbers of jobs will be lost. The Saudis know how to play hardball, and they are absolutely ruthless.

Shale Oil 2015 = Subprime Mortgages 2008

There is a nearly 100% chance that oil prices will remain mired in “shale oil death” territory for as long as the low cost Middle Eastern producers need to recapture market share – and the longer this takes, the more catastrophic losses will occur to shale oil investors – the only viable American industry in the post-2008 world of QE.

Everyone Loves a Discount—But Where’s the Support for Oil Prices?

Since June, crude oil has tumbled 30% to prices we haven’t seen in about three years. And if crude oil were to fall to $60 per barrel? An estimated 80 percent of U.S. companies that extract tight oil, or shale oil, through fracking would be shut down and all new supply would diminish quickly due to the rapid decline rate.

How The Petrodollar Quietly Died, And Nobody Noticed

Basically, the Petrodollar, long serving as the US leverage to encourage and facilitate US Dollar recycling, and a steady reinvestment in US-denominated assets by the Oil exporting nations, and thus a means to steadily increase the nominal price of all USD-priced assets, just drove itself into irrelevance.

Why a Strong Dollar is the Mortal Enemy of Gold and Oil

The strong dollar pushed bullion prices down 6% in Sept, historically gold’s strongest month. This move is unusual also because gold has had a monthly standard deviation of ±5.5% based on the last 10 years’ worth of data. Oil’s slump is a little more complicated to explain. In a way, American shale oil has become a victim of its own success.

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