Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Silver Bull Market’

Is Gold and Silver Bull Market Intact or will US Dollar Strength Crush it?

Conventional wisdom would tell us with the US$ index nearing a major breakout, gold and silver would be vulnerable to further losses. Ultimately, as long as Gold and silver’s fundamental driver – declining or negative real interest rates remain in place, then the fledgling bull market will remain on track. With inflation poised to rise, real rates are likely to decline further in 2017.

Silver Bull Alive & Well Despite Recent Correction-Weakened Sentiment

Silver has spent most of the third quarter drifting sideways to lower. This has naturally weighed on sentiment, with investors & speculators alike growing more bearish during recent months. Yet silver remains way undervalued relative to its primary driver gold, so the young silver bull market is far from over. Silver’s upside from here is still massive as it mean reverts higher with gold.

Signs That The Silver Bull Market Is Consolidating

The bear market phase in silver from 2011 has definitely ended. However, it has risen quite sharply in recent months to arrive at a zone of significant resistance, so it is quite normal for it to consolidate or react back here, before later breaking above this resistance and continuing higher. A reasonable objective for a correction is the support level seen at $18.

Every Single Move This Year Seems Silver And Gold Friendly - Especially Silver

“It’s very difficult to be bearish on silver and gold — especially silver, which has drawn particular interest from investors this year. With so much pricing momentum, and so many geopolitical and market factors blowing in its sails, there’s no reason to think silver won’t continue to post gains through the end of the year.” Events close-by could easily push the price of silver above $30.

What Experts Predict for the New Silver Bull Market

The silver price has gone up more than 43% year-to-date, “leap-frogging ahead of gold post-Brexit.” Experts believe the silver price will reach between $25 & $32 by year-end. Though optimism is prevalent, investors can expect some volatility. As silver is both “currency & commodity,” used in a variety of industrial & other uses, its value is “more highly correlated with stocks” than that of gold.

Silver Outlook: Short-Term "Overbought & Volatile", Long-Term "Positive"

Commercial short & Large Spec long positions in silver have built up to a very high record level, making a reaction back soon a high probability. Bullishness towards silver is now at extreme levels, and while this doesn’t always lead to an immediate reversal, taken together with the other factors, it does suggest that caution is in order with respect to silver’s immediate prospects.

This Rarely Seen Chart Signals a Raging Silver Bull Market

Silver started a bit slow out of the gate in 2016, but it hit its stride in April. The white metal is now up 29% (or $4/oz) since January 1, eclipsing gold’s 22% gain. Silver outpacing gold is good news for metals bulls, and not just for the obvious reasons. The move is an important signal that we can expect sustained higher prices for both metals.

The Massive Debt Bubble Will Push Silver Prices Much Higher

The April 2011 peak exists in similar conditions to that of the interim high in the previous bull market. The silver price will, as a minimum, equal the 38.58 times rise of the previous bull market. That would be a minimum target of $155.86 (4.04 times 38.58). The context of this silver bull market & massive debt levels today, suggest that silver will go much higher.

Silver Price Forecast: Silver Set To Start 70s Style Rally?

The structure of the current silver bull market has a lot in common with the 70s one. However, there are some differences, which actually favour a stronger silver price performance during this bull market. One that favours silver this time is the fact that the current silver bull market started at a much different & more favourable time for silver as compared to the 70s bull market.

Silver Prices Up 10.3% YTD - Outperformance To Continue

Silver is highly undervalued currently versus gold with the gold silver ratio at 62:1, while long term historical average is 15:1. We believe that silver will likely surpass its non inflation adjusted high near $50 per ounce and its real high or inflation adjusted high of some $140 per ounce in the coming years.

The Gold Price Being Manipulated. So What?

Talk of gold price manipulation has become a notoriously heated topic amongst precious metals investors over the past several years. Deutsche Bank abandoning its seat on the London gold fix has added fuel to the fire. Here’s a detailed view of the leading conspiracy theories & how they impact my long-term investment outlook.

The Silver Bottom Is In - Time To Hold, Add And Ride It Out

When the bulls are running for the doors, that is a sign that we have hit bottom and wise investors should hold on to their portfolios for the ride up. I think investors should own both gold and silver. But, overall, I believe silver’s outperforming trend will continue. The bull market is not over.

The Silver Bull Is Alive and Quite Well

If the silver bull market was over, we wouldn’t see SLV holders refusing to sell (unlike in the major gold ETF- GLD), Indians buying record amounts of silver, and retail investors hoarding silver bullion at historic levels.

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