Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Silver Supply and Demand’

Silver Bull Alive & Well Despite Recent Correction-Weakened Sentiment

Silver has spent most of the third quarter drifting sideways to lower. This has naturally weighed on sentiment, with investors & speculators alike growing more bearish during recent months. Yet silver remains way undervalued relative to its primary driver gold, so the young silver bull market is far from over. Silver’s upside from here is still massive as it mean reverts higher with gold.

Global Silver Supply Deficit Surges On Revised Data

If the cumulative global silver supply deficit since 2004 of one billion ounces wasn’t large enough, a data revision published by the Silver Institute shows the actual figure was much higher. How much higher? A great deal when the additional revised amount would totally wipe out all the silver at the Comex and Shanghai Futures Exchange warehouses.

Silver Investment Demand Will Totally Overwhelm The Market

I have said countless times in articles and interviews that silver investment demand will be the driving force for the silver price in the future, not industrial demand. According to the data by the folks at GFMS, total Silver Bar & Coin demand was a paltry 51.2 Moz in 2007. This surged after the U.S. Investment Banking & Housing Market collapse to 240 Moz in 2015.

Silver Flash in the Pan - What happened to Supply and Demand Fundamentals?

It should be immediately apparent that conditions in the silver are different. Despite a strong dollar (i.e. low price of silver, measured in dollars) silver became a bit less scarce. The fundamental price for silver fell again this week, though by less than a dime. We consider silver to be within the margin of error from its fair price at the moment.

Something Broke In The U.S. Silver Market

After looking over all the figures, it seems as if something broke in the U.S. Silver Market this year. By that, I mean the normal supply and demand forces no longer make sense. I believe this stemmed from the massive amount of physical silver investment demand beginning in June as financial and geopolitical events pushed the retail silver market into severe shortages.

While gold is the king monetary metal, silver will turn out to be king precious metal performer. Currently, gold steals the show as the East continues to consume more than total production. But silver will surprise markets in the future as overwhelming demand will outstrip supply in a big way.

A Silver Lining - A Comprehensive Analysis With Actionable Information

In the interests of furnishing a comprehensive analysis on silver, I’ll also point out potential drawbacks where they exist. The goal is to provide you with actionable information. When you put all this together, it makes for a compelling case for silver, especially at these bargain basement prices.

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