Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Sovereign Debt’

Can the Price of Silver (the Year's Top Performer) Continue to Rally?

With the price of silver up nearly 40% year-to-date, investors are wondering whether it can continue. Experts say it may have more room to run, particularly as global interest rates continue to stay negative. It wouldn’t be inconceivable to see a silver supply shortage if there was heightened demand, & in that case, a silver to gold ratio of 20 to 1 (or lesser) is not an impossibility.

How will the US Elections Affect Equities and Gold?

The experience of losing money is common in investing. But where is the certitude of loss even before your check clears? That’s the situation with sovereign debt right now. Gold is money and money is sterile. It does not pay dividends or earn income. I don’t suggest that it is the only thing that people should have their money in. But to me, gold is a very timely way to invest in monetary disorder.

Progress of Gold and Silver Against Dollar Building Momentum

The regular negative, mainstream coverage that gold and silver receive is lessening. When larger thematic elements of mainstream media coverage become less obvious or even falter, one can take that as a sign of a change in direction. Media coverage seems to be signalling this shift in sentiment. If it’s a trend, it will reinforce the progress of both gold and silver against the dollar.

Foreign Central Banks Dumping US Debt & Buying Gold at Alarming Pace

Central banks around the world sold off a net $17 billion in US Treasury bonds in March. Sales set a record in January, hitting $57 billion. Between December and February, China’s central bank sold off an alarming $236 billion. By selling US debt, central banks can get hard cash to buy up their local currency. But many of them aren’t just purchasing local currency. They are buying gold.

Gold, A Natural Hedge Against Both - Inflation & Negative Interest Rates

The main reason people buy gold is as a hedge against inflation. But uncertainty & fear contributed undoubtedly to gold’s stellar first quarter rise. Analysts remain focused almost exclusively upon the major historical influence of inflation & possible rate hikes. Negative rates are now looming so large that precious metals could become an alternative form of cost-free cash.

Gold and Silver Surge Amid Crude Oil and Copper Carnage

We have repeatedly highlighted the upside potential for gold following a period of consolidation. The market is bracing itself for the worst earnings season since the 2009 crisis. A weaker dollar, the risk of rising stock market volatility, and the continued focus on negative interest rates may attract renewed interest for gold and silver earlier than expected.

Helicopter Money - The Recipe For Inflation Gathers Momentum

Where will inflation come from? With helicopter money, Congress spends the money. It covers its deficit with more borrowing & the Fed prints the money to cover the borrowing. It’s essentially monetizing the debt. The difference is that in the case of QE, there’s no extra spending. In the case of helicopter money, there is because Congress spends all the money. – Your recipe for inflation.

Silver: Until Paper Currencies Stop Losing Value

It is relatively easy to increase debt, increase currency in circulation, devalue currencies, and spend more on warfare and welfare. It is difficult to increase silver and gold reserves. The prices for silver and gold will eventually reflect their scarcity, their high demand, and the ease with which central banks can devalue their currencies.

Why Gold is Good and Sovereign Debt is Bad

It is easy to create debt – central banks “print” currencies by BORROWING those currencies into existence. Debt increases, currency in circulation increases, and until it crashes, life is good for the financial and political elite. But debt increasing 60 times more rapidly than gold indicates that debt is growing too rapidly and due for a reset.

They'll Blame Physical Gold Holders For The Failure Of Monetary Policies: Marc Faber

The failure of monetary policies will not be admitted by the central banks – they will then go and blame someone else for it and then an easy target would be to blame it on people that own physical gold because they can argue, well these are the ones that do take money out of circulation and then the velocity of money goes down, we have to take it away from them.

Can Gold Save The World From the Credit Bubble?

Governments & central banks created the currency & credit bubbles. When fiat currencies crash in the next crisis, backing currencies with gold could “save the world” & restore confidence in fiat currencies but only after significant trauma. Perhaps central banks will do the “right thing,” but only after exhausting all other alternatives.

Collapse Of Petrodollar: Oil Exporters Dumping US Assets At Record Pace

For the first time in almost two decades, energy-exporting countries are set to pull their Petrodollars – (a term coined for the dollar-denominated oil trade) out of world markets this year at a frenzied pace in the face of today’s “crude” realities. And so the liquidity drain is on, the only question is how far reaching the consequences will be.

Central Bank Monetary Policy Can't Fix an Economy's Structural Problems

What with all the praise being heaped on central banks for saving the world from economic doomsday in 2008, it’s natural to ask which structural problems their unprecedented policies solved in the past 6 years. The truth is central bank policies of zero-interest rates & free money for financiers have made many structural problems worse.

Silver and Gold: Opportunity and Protection - Why Now?

Silver and gold, at current prices are an excellent investment, but more importantly, they are insurance & protection against the probability that our financial system will go critical as a consequence of years of QE, Zero Interest Rates, massive fiat money creation & deficit spending that has generated about $200 Trillion of global debt.

Central Bank Credibility, The Equity Markets, And Gold

Coming out of the Great Recession, central bank credibility – their ability to “pull us out” of the Recession – was being severely questioned by investors. Thus, a good portion of investor money found its way into gold. That changed in 2011. Central bank credibility is at a peak, so gold is in the dumps.

Forget Ebola - Here's Why US Banks Are Now Extremely Vulnerable

Under the BIS Basel capital adequacy rules, government debt rated at least AA continues to carry a zero risk weighting. So banks need not set aside capital against it. With a combined position of nearly $2 trillion in US govt debt, against which they hold no capital buffer, US banks are now EXTREMELY vulnerable to a bond market sell-off.

Europe: Stagnation, Default, Or Devaluation

When a country accumulates too much debt and begins to find the roll-overs a growing challenge, it really has just two options: the first is a total or partial default; the second is a large currency devaluation. The second choice begs the question ‘Who prints the currency in which the debt is labeled?’

Will There Be a New Gold Rush?

Even though the amount of dollars is going up, eventually debt will be wrung out of the system. This causes deflation, which is very bullish for gold. In deflation, both creditors and debtors are in dire straits. They’re facing enormous pressure. People tend to turn towards stores of value like gold.

QE Ending Because It Was Successful? Then Here Are A Few Questions

Certainly, QE-induced perpetually rising asset prices & sinking volatility, likely boosted consumer confidence through the interpretation of lofty prices as ‘all must be well’. However, those aspects dangerously conspire to produce a false perception about the true state of economic fundamentals. Some simple questions need answers.

We're Relying on Phantom Wealth to Fund Our Retirement

That Social Security, Medicare & pension funds invested in stocks & bonds can fund the retirement of 65 million people is a misleading fantasy. Phantom wealth cannot possibly fund unprecedented retirement & healthcare promises. Only real wealth can do that; central bank liquidity & asset bubbles it inflates are not real wealth.

follow us

markets snapshot


Market Quotes are powered by Investing.com India

live commodity prices


Commodities are powered by Investing.com India

our latest tweets

follow us on facebook