Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Special Drawing Right’

The Dollar Will Not Be Overthrown in October (Part II)

The Fed’s talk about raising interest rates is making the dollar stronger, but it’s also making the yuan stronger due to the peg. China has to tighten its monetary policy by buying yuan & selling dollars to maintain the peg, at a time when China is slowing & should be easing, not tightening, policy. So finally, China threw in the towel and broke the peg to the dollar on August 11.

The Dollar Will Not Be Overthrown in October

Blogs, newsletters, and inboxes are cluttered with dire warnings about an event in October 2015. That will supposedly overthrow the dollar as the global reserve currency and cause a catastrophic meltdown of the international financial system. In fact, nothing of the kind is about to happen. There are important and significant events happening behind the scenes.

China Destroys the “August is a Quiet Month Myth”

After a long period of pegging the Chinese yuan to the US dollar at about 6.1-to-1, China devalued the yuan in a sneak attack on August 11, devalued again Wednesday & Thursday. The total devaluation is almost 5%, the biggest devaluation in over 20 years. Normal daily volatility in foreign exchange markets is measured in 5 decimal places. 0.05% is a choppy day. 5.0% is an earthquake.

China's True Gold Holdings To Remain A Secret After All

What we thought would be an imminent, critical and extremely overdue public announcement from China has again been indefinitely postponed. And so with the gold community eagerly expecting a confirmation from China that its gold holdings have doubled, tripled or more, China – and the IMF – suddenly get cold feet. Again.

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