Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Stock Market Rally’

Gold and Silver Rally to Resume from Around 26th Sept - Expect Volatility Till Then

I believe that the bull run in gold and silver, that paused in its tracks in July, will continue swinging both ways with a high degree of volatility till Sept end, but will be back in a more vigorous and ferocious form soon after. I strongly believe that this bull-run-on-steroids phase in gold and silver will take off around 26th September 2016. Secure your tomorrow ….today.

Any Eruption of Reality will Reveal this Stock Market Rally as a Head-Fake

All the technical “buy” signals are precisely what you’d expect in a rigged rally. If there’s nothing supporting this rally but euphoric sentiment arising from orchestrated buying, any eruption of reality will reveal the stock market rally as a head-fake. Having exterminated short-sellers, there won’t be many who will benefit should the rally be transformed into a rout by reality.

Barking Dogs Seldom Bite: Fed Won't Hike Interest Rates - All Dips a Gift to Buy Gold

The news that the Fed hopes to raise interest rates in June & subsequent quick price drop in gold has scared a lot of people out of gold. In reality, the Fed won’t raise rates in June on at least two counts. First the stock market rally that began in Feb has already lost steam. Second, there are no signs of a sudden economic boom. The price dip is a gift for those who want to buy gold.

Gold Holds Massive Gains Despite An Incredible Stock Market Rally

Gold has managed to hold its massive gains despite an incredible stock-market rally, which can really sap gold investment demand. Gold investment demand will explode again as stock markets inevitably roll over and head lower again. Nothing fuels gold investment demand like bear markets in stocks. The stock-market bear and gold’s new bull have only barely begun.

Will this Manic Stock Market Rally End in Tears?

The stock market is back to where it should be, i.e. in rally mode. Can the stock market completely ignore these changes and keep powering higher on the fumes of Mario Draghi’s promises and another rate cut or three in China? At some point reality will trump fumes, and the manic rally will falter and the mania in stocks will end in tears.

QE: Quantitative Easing or Questionably Effective

If you were a member of the top 5 – 10% & had a large investment in the stock market, you have increased your nominal net worth, thanks to the levitating wonder of “printing money” via QE – Quantitative Easing. However, if you were in the bottom 90%, then the wonders of QE did not “trickle down” to you, except as higher prices.

Deflation Is Coming And It’s Not What You Think

Deflation is coming but not in the way most people think about it – at least not at first. The deflation that’s coming first is coming to financial assets. That’s what I worry about – I worry about asset bubble deflation.

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