Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Taper’

A Central Banker Has A "License To Lie’

To mislead investors is actually a key skill required by a central banker’s job description. Revealing the true state of national finances at a time when a devaluation or comparable financial crisis is looming might be to guarantee the loss of the central bank’s entire reserves.

Why the Fed Won’t Start Taper in the December FOMC Meeting

Factors mentioned here suggest another non-taper in December. If we’re right, the spotlight on January’s FOMC meeting – which already features Ben Bernanke’s exit, Janet Yellen’s new role and a new set of voters – will be even brighter.

Is it Time for the Gold Bugs to Admit Defeat?

Gold prices have fallen by more than a third since its 2011 high & the downturn exceeds the 2008 waterfall selloff. Many technical analysts are saying that the “damage” on the charts is too great for gold to recover – The rout is so bad, even hardened the goldbugs have grown quiet lately.

2013 Has Been An Insane Game Of Economic Russian Roulette

By any reasonable measure, I think it is safe to say that the last quarter of 2013 has been an insane game of economic Russian Roulette. The culmination of events so far seems to be setting the stage for something big in 2014. Assume the worst is probable – It is only a matter of time, and timing.

The 3 Myth's About Rising Interest Rates

The markets assume that when the Federal Reserve “Tapers,” or eventually ceases, its current bond buying program that interest rates will begin to rise – However, there are three primary issues which should be considered that fail to support this widely held belief.

FOMC Minutes Reveal Taper Likely In "Coming Months"

FOMC participants expected that the data would prove consistent with the Committee’s outlook, but also considered scenarios under which it might, at some stage, be appropriate to begin to taper down the program before an unambiguous further improvement in the outlook was apparent.

Why The Fed Likely Won't Taper...Anytime Soon

Its unlikely the Fed will taper its purchases in Dec as government once again begins to debate over raising the debt ceiling. A March taper is also unlikely as the Fed will be dealing with two primary issues then – Evaluating impact of Debt ceiling deal & transition of control at the Fed.

Surprise, Surprise … The Dreaded Taper Is Postponed Again

With Tuesday’s release of Sept payrolls report, various banks have now decided to alter the taper time line they previously envisaged as well – We believe that the pace of ‘QE’ will actually be increased rather then lowered at some point in the future.

If The US Dollar Is Doomed, Gold Should Rise

It is rare that investors are given a road map. When this happens, the few who can actually read the map, understand the clear signs and directions it contains, find themselves in an enviable position – Such is currently the case with gold and gold-related investments.

Gold: “Taper This”

Taper is hype and neutral where gold is concerned – Any assumption made between gold and tapering should be questioned and put to the analytical test just as a long line of ill-founded assumptions that came before it should have been.

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