Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Technical Analysis’

While the World Binges on US Dollar, Gold Awaits the Purge

The best thing to do is continue carrying a piece of your assets in Gold and Silver to hedge when (not if) the USD falls. Gold will be easily north of $2,000 soon after the world is done converting its currency risk into USD. Then they will be left holding the bag as our Fed pulls the plug. and then you will be buying dips at $1800 and selling rallies at $2500.

Gold Prices Setting Bullish Chart Pattern - Gold Stocks Set To Soar in 2017

If you look at gold prices from a technical analysis perspective, it’s projecting a bullish outlook. Also from a fundamental perspective; there are bullish developments that shouldn’t go unnoticed. As it stands, odds are in favor of higher gold prices ahead. As the precious metal soars in price, gold stocks could skyrocket and provide leveraged returns.

Gold Fundamentals Strengthen With Inflation Running Hot

With negative real interest rates in place and the gold stocks trading well above their rising 400-day moving averages while showing relative strength against Gold, it is quite clear the gold stocks are in the early stages of a new bull market. The technical setup is potentially in place for the sector to make an explosive move higher over the next 9 to 18 months.

Industrial Usage, ETP's & Physical Demand will help Silver Prices Take-off

We believe silver prices will be better bid later in 2017. We also base our expectations on solid fundamentals, as mine supply is likely to contract while industrial and jewelry demand should increase. Commerzbank thinks the market will have to see increased investor demand in exchange-traded products and physical demand for jewelry and bullion coins to push prices up.

Look at the Long-Term Gold Chart for the Trend in Gold Futures

From the 2011 high, a downside correction emerged in gold prices. According to traditional Fibonacci theory, the 2011-2015 pullback did not harm primary uptrend in gold prices. That means the gold tide remains bullish. Pullbacks in the tide are waves that could be used as buying opportunities. If gold takes a short-term hit, this could offer a “wave” within the tide.

Silver Prices Setting up to Reward Investors Big-Time

Looking at just the technical analysis, if you are bearish on silver prices, I suggest you think again. They suggest a bullish sentiment prevails and silver prices could go much higher. It shouldn’t be shocking to see $30.00-an-ounce silver by the end of 2016. I am not ruling out silver prices back up at their 2011 highs around $50.00 in the next two to three years.

Gold - It Is The Only Sound Money There Is

Measured in gold, it is the price of the dollar falling that makes sense of what is happening. Gold’s purchasing power is considerably more stable than that of paper currencies over the long term. We do not have to make guesses over gold’s future purchasing power. The future price of gold depends on what happens to the purchasing power of the paper currencies in which it is measured.

The Gold Silver Ratio at 80 - Higher than it has been since 2008

Silver just got cheaper when measured in gold terms. The dollar and silver are both going down now—in gold terms. We think that what’s happening is that the price of silver metal is selling down, and every time the carry rises to a threshold, arbitrageurs are buying spot to sell futures and pocket that spread.

Gold And Silver Prices Will Surge On Fundamentals Not Technicals

While gold and silver analysts can be guilty of being wrong on the timing, they won’t be wrong on the FINANCIAL EVENT OF A LIFETIME. Investors waiting for turns in paper assets via technical analysis will wish they spent more time focused on owning physical precious metals. A rapid rise in the value of gold and silver seems likely – sooner than later.

A $14 Handle on Silver Prices... Again

The fundamental silver price fell about a dime this week, putting the market price under the fundamental. While that’s a better place to be, if one is a silver bettor, we wouldn’t bet either way on silver right now. The action depends on whether momentum continues to carry the price lower, or whether there’s a sharp rebound as speculators jump to the other side.

Forget Guts: Here Are Your 11 Stock Market Rules

Listening to your heart (instead of your mind) is a great way to lose money & even confidence in your trading abilities. Why is it so important to have market trading rules? Your market rules will keep you from following your guts down the wrong path & maintain your sanity. Your market rules will lead you to consistent profits.

How Commodity Super Cycle Will Decimate Mighty Bull Market

Rising commodity prices are relevant to the Fed only in the context that they confirm biases introduced through the lens of controlling monetary policy. In reality, these cause hypersensitive dislocations in the natural rhythm; hence, volatility. There are many factors at play outside of the human ego.

Chart-Obsessed Technical Analysis Traders Are Fantastic At Losing Money

We find that individual investors who use technical analysis & trade options frequently make poor portfolio decisions, resulting in dramatically lower returns than other investors. They have speculation as their primary investment objective while behavior shows excessive optimism & overconfidence.

Gold Prices Show Three Patterns In Last 14 Years

Gold prices peaked in Aug 2011 and fell erratically into December 2013. Was that the end of the collapse, or is there more downside coming in gold prices? Banks are forecasting weak gold prices in 2014. Instead of listening to self-serving banker opinions, let’s examine this analysis of over 14 years.

Gold Price Prediction Based On Technical Analysis And China Demand

The average bull market in Gold lasted 434 days with gains of 94.89%. Projecting this historical average to the upcoming bull market, one might see gold top $2,315/oz by mid-2016. Nevertheless, the wild card China Factor may well fuel the price of gold in the next few years much above $2,315.

While gold is the king monetary metal, silver will turn out to be king precious metal performer. Currently, gold steals the show as the East continues to consume more than total production. But silver will surprise markets in the future as overwhelming demand will outstrip supply in a big way.

Gold and Silver: The Monetary Metals Supply and Demand Report

The dollar dropped a lot more this week than it has in any one week for a long time. Measured conventionally, the gold price spiked $51, and the silver price by $1.47. Gold owners have 4% more dollars, and silver owners have 7.4% more dollars. However, those dollars are worth less. How much less?

Naked Gold Shorts: The Hows and Whys of Gold Price Manipulation

The Gold Price Manipulation consists of the Fed using bullion banks as its agents to sell naked gold shorts in the New York Comex futures market. Short selling drives down the gold price, triggers stop-loss orders and margin calls, and scares participants out of the gold trusts.

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