Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Technical Analysts’

Gold Prices At Strongest Resistance Area - Will It Breakout Or Fail?

Gold price’s historic chart has three distinct phases: a strong uptrend followed by a consolidation and a strong downtrend. The ultimate test is taking place right now: Gold can break out of its downtrend. But will it do so? That is the million dollar question, and it will have huge consequences for metal investors, but also for markets in general.

A Technically Reasonable Correction in Gold Prices

For those who persist in looking at gold as an investment, the fall in gold prices in May is simply within the bounds of a normal correction. But they would be missing a vital point & that is by buying gold they are selling an inferior form of money. Not only is the dollar already demonstrably overvalued when priced in gold, but there is a growing inevitability of a further, substantial declines.

Gold Prices are Consolidating, Instead of Correcting - Pulling back for a Bigger Leap?

Gold has now spent two full months trading between US$1,210 and US$1,270 per oz. The lowest point of that range still has the yellow metal up 12% compared to the start of the year. Instead of correcting, gold is consolidating. You can think of that as correcting through time rather than price. Doing so proves the move was valid. Gold equities have also held their ground.

Waiting for the Charts to Confirm the Change In Gold And Silver Market Trends

Buying and holding physical gold and silver is for the preservation of purchasing power. Buying or selling in the paper gold and silver futures market is purely for speculative purposes & the rigged exchanges have just about ruined that venue. Do not listen to what people are saying about the markets. Look at what the markets are saying through charts.

Is February Heralding The End Of Down Trend In Gold And Silver?

While the daily chart has identified a bottom for gold and silver, by the close of February, both the monthly & weekly charts reveal a story that could not have been told prior to what has occurred this past month. This analysis applies more to the paper gold and silver market & not the physical, as we cannot know when the downside manipulation will end.

A Disturbing Warning From UBS: Buy Gold As A 30% Bear Market Is Coming

The bear market started with the energy complex but it is a trend, which is filtering through into other commodity themes, as well as Emerging Markets, Asia and at the end of the day into the Western world. In 2016, we see gold profiting as a safe haven and as of 2017, gold could profit from the US dollar moving in a major top and starting a bear market.

Silver Prices: Is a 14% Rise Enough for 1 Month?

Having started with a record large speculative short bet against silver prices, June saw the fastest swing in bullish betting on silver, net of bearish contracts, on record. The so-called spec net long rose 150%…swelling over $2bn by value…and growing faster than any week since at least 1986 as silver prices jumped.

The Birth of a New Bull Market - Platinum and Palladium

Many are bullish on platinum and palladium due to the strikes in South Africa, the world’s largest producer of platinum. Or geopolitical conflicts with Russia, the largest supplier of palladium. But their supply is in a structural deficit & won’t be resolved when strikes end or Russia simmers down. Here are six reasons why.

Chart-Obsessed Technical Analysis Traders Are Fantastic At Losing Money

We find that individual investors who use technical analysis & trade options frequently make poor portfolio decisions, resulting in dramatically lower returns than other investors. They have speculation as their primary investment objective while behavior shows excessive optimism & overconfidence.

Is it Time for the Gold Bugs to Admit Defeat?

Gold prices have fallen by more than a third since its 2011 high & the downturn exceeds the 2008 waterfall selloff. Many technical analysts are saying that the “damage” on the charts is too great for gold to recover – The rout is so bad, even hardened the goldbugs have grown quiet lately.

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