Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Technical Indicator’

Opportunities to Buy Gold Cheap Dwindling - Watch-Out for this Indicator

The trend seems to be reversing: gold is up over 20% since its December 2015 low of $1,050/oz. and over 10% since the beginning of 2017. That means opportunities to get gold “on the cheap” may be dwindling, as the most recent price hike to $1,275/oz. this week indicates. One technical indicator has proved extraordinarily reliable in forecasting larger trend changes. Here it is.

Why Is Put-Call Ratio (Fear Gauge) Higher Than in Lehman Collapse of 2008?

If you sort the 2,003 records from highest to the lowest, you find that the only days in that time period where the put-call ratio exceeded the Lehman collapse & yesterday, Oct 13, 2014, are three days in early 2007, when the first indications that the wheels were coming off the subprime mortgage market & the housing bubble hit the news.

Gold Prices Show Three Patterns In Last 14 Years

Gold prices peaked in Aug 2011 and fell erratically into December 2013. Was that the end of the collapse, or is there more downside coming in gold prices? Banks are forecasting weak gold prices in 2014. Instead of listening to self-serving banker opinions, let’s examine this analysis of over 14 years.

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