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Posts Tagged ‘US Dollar’

The Major Catalysts That Influence Gold Prices

Physical gold had its best quarterly gain in 30 years during the first quarter, and year-to-date, even with its recent swoon, physical gold is higher by roughly $200 an ounce. Gold has firmly reestablished itself as being in a bull market. The factors that move gold prices are largely unknown or overlooked. Let’s have a look at the seven most common factors that influence physical gold prices.

Silver Prices to Increase Exponentially in the Long Term

Silver prices, relative to the S&P 500 Index, are currently quite low. Central banks have levitated stock prices and “discouraged” silver prices since 2011. What if the S&P continues its exponential increases and the ratio reverts back toward the high end of its range? The silver to S&P ratio could be around 3.0, and the annual average price for silver could be roughly $100 – $150.

Price of Gold Could Rise a Lot Higher - In Fact Double

There’s a difference between the narrative, which is what you’re being told, versus the reality of the economic data. It’s in no one’s interest ahead of the election to say the U.S. economy is a mess. If the flood of bad economic data continues, the Fed will almost certainly print more money or cut interest rates. And that could easily send the price of gold through the roof.

Gold Edging Close to Triggering a “Buy” Signal. Will You Buy?

Banks added 27 tonnes to their reserves in August in an effort to diversify their assets and hedge against their own policies. In a survey of 19 central bank reserve managers, the WGC found that close to 90 percent of them have plans either to increase their gold reserves or maintain them at current levels. Investors might consider doing the same, for the very same reasons.

What Triggered a Meltdown in Gold and Silver Prices Last Week

The markets entered October with lots of traders still willing to hold out for higher prices as long as prices weren’t breaking down. Across the table sat the bullion banks, heavily short & pushing for gold and silver prices to fall. The impasse broke when the stronger dollar & higher rates pushed metals below technical support. Weak-handed speculators ran for the exits.

Has Gold Deviated from Long-Term Upward Trajectory or Again a Bout of Paper Manipulation?

Much of the recent selling has come from large-scale speculators operating in futures markets. Meanwhile, physical demand from retail investors, most importantly, hedge funds & other large-scale institutional investors has remained firm. When Chinese investors return, their buying alone should be enough to stabilize & re-launch gold on its long-term upward trajectory.

Silver and Gold Prices Supported by Weak Dollar - Rally Stalls Abruptly

A continuation of the defensive dollar tone over the past 24 hours, coupled with downward pressure on bond yields, has continued to provide underlying support to silver and gold prices. Analysts warn that continued upside for gold futures may be limited now that a Dec rate hike is firmly in play. According to Fed Fund futures, traders are pricing in a nearly 60% chance of liftoff by year-end.

The War on Cash Is Still Good for Gold Prices

In a world where nothing larger than a $10 bill exists, hoarding cash would be highly impractical. As paper currency is phased out, gold prices will rise. Were cash eliminated and interest rates plunged underwater, gold’s role as a store of value would become even more apparent and demand for the yellow metal would turn red hot, despite its price appreciation.

Will Silver Prices take off like a Rocket while Gold Prices Languish?

Why are junk bonds and equities not dropping commensurately? It’s crystal clear that if rates are truly moving up, then all assets will be repriced lower. So for the moment, the prices of the metals— silver more than gold—are driven by this Narrative.It would be strange to see the price of silver take off like a rocket while the price of gold languishes, moribund.

If the Fed does What it Wants to, the Result will be the Opposite of What it Wants

The US economy is slowing perceptively. What should the Fed be doing? They might want to cut interest rates. Problem. Another tool in the arsenal – cheapen the US dollar. Again there is a problem. Whether that works & what is a good idea are separate issues. Certainly a rate hike would take the stock market down 20%. It’s going to be just the opposite of what the Fed wants.

Global Oil could be a True Body Blow to the US Dollar

What happens when more parties reject the Brent quote as an accurate daily price quote for oil? President Putin has stated many times that he wants to move away from the US dollar in trade. Global oil buyers would soon fall into line & begin paying that basket price. If the Brent oil quote falls apart in Europe — replaced by Urals blend quote — It would be a true body blow to the US dollar.

Hope in Currencies is a Poor Investment Strategy - Trust in Gold is Better

If somebody gives you gold, you don’t have to trust them or the instrument that you have been given – they represent payment in & of itself. Fiat currencies are not really payments. They’re promises to pay, and they work well as long as social trust remains. How long will the trust remain? Well, hopefully for my lifetime & yours too, but hope is a very poor investment strategy.

Gold Prices Soften While Fed Officials Hard-Sell Rate Hike Hopes

Gold prices corrected gently lower after testing trend line resistance set from early July. Near-term support is at 1333.62, the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Fed officials may rekindle volatility via bits of guidance before the pre-FOMC meeting blackout period. Hawkish overtones may boost rate hike speculation, boosting the US Dollar and weighing on gold prices.

Issues that drove Gold Prices to all-time highs in 2011 Have Only Worsened

In 2011 there was an entire narrative around the gold market, when gold was at $1,900 & it was partly about US markets. The narrative in 2011 was that U.S. Federal Government on-balance sheet liabilities, at $16 trillion & the off-balance sheet liabilities of $55 trillion were unsustainable. Today, they are estimated at $19 trillion & $90 trillion respectively. Worsened enough?

The New Gold and Silver Forecasts - Alternative Scenarios

The prospect of Fed rate hikes will weigh on gold and silver prices. As soon as Fed rate hikes for 2016 and 2017 are fully priced in, we expect gold and silver prices to rally again because of higher demand from investors. But if Trump becomes President and/or if investor sentiment deteriorates sharply, this would result in sharply higher gold and silver prices sooner.

Gold And Silver Will Have to Struggle to Rise - Says the Fiat Dollar

It appears that gold and silver prices will continue to be kept low. Our take on the precious metals charts strongly suggests that gold and silver may work higher, over time, but it will be labored and not without intense effort to overcome the unlimited ability of the Federal Reserve [controlled entirely by the elites] to create an infinite supply of debt that poses as “money.”

China’s Monetary Ascension Is Paved with Gold

When the Chinese yuan becomes an SDR currency, that could be the inflection point for a new multi-polar currency regime that sees the US dollar decline in stature. Could gold also begin to emerge as a leading currency in world trade? Over time, it certainly could. But the more immediate implications for gold’s monetary role center on its increasing accumulation by central banks such as China’s.

The US Dollar Strength Takes Its Toll On Oil Prices Again

As we exit summer driving season, and as refinery maintenance ramps up, demand eases, and typically… oil prices come under pressure. The return of oversupply fears are clobbering the crude oil complex lower, with gasoline leading the charge. With Nonfarm Friday on deck, bringing the prospect of a stronger dollar, here are five things to consider in oil markets today.

Silver Prices Expected to Slide Further - But Won't Stay There for Long

Silver could be setting up for another near-term slip prior to resuming its long-term bullish trend as this week progresses. In the absence of any significant shortcomings in the US data, silver prices should have some substantial downside potential in the coming weeks. The long-term bias remains bullish so don’t expect to see the metal stray far below the 17.849 mark.

Who Will Decide the Fate of Gold ETFs? The Fed or Donald Trump

Citigroup sees gold prices touching $1,400 levels ‘not seen since early 2013’, while the metal will likely slide to the $1,250 level if Clinton makes it to the White House. Citigroup believes that Trump’s protectionist ideas on external trade and immigration, if realized, suggest a US recession sooner rather than later. Investors to keep a watch on gold ETFs like GLD.

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