Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘US Dollar’

What is President Trump's US Dollar Policy?

Let’s take a look at what Trumponomics really means for the direction of the US dollar. If the Trump Administration really wanted a weaker US dollar they would ask for Janet Yellen’s resignation & appoint someone even more dovish than she is. A successful implementation of Trumponomics equates to a stronger US dollar, higher bond yields & rising borrowing costs.

Gold and Silver Are Still Outperforming Stocks So Far in 2017

Gold and silver are still outperforming stocks so far in 2017, and over the last 15 years. Although HSBC expects a near-term correction, “the rally appears intact…and we expect gold to resume the upside after a pause.” Bottom line, long-term gold investors should hold through corrections, or buy more, not sell into a panic.

Bullish Indicators & Constructive Price Action Confirm Bullish Outcome for Silver Prices

The confluence of bullish indicators & constructive price action confirms that a bullish outcome is a real possibility for silver prices. Add the prospects of a weaker US dollar & these factors create the perfect ingredients that send this precious metal soaring. Technical indicators & price patterns seen here on the silver price chart clearly suggest that a rally is likely to ensue.

Best Bets, Concerns & Risks When Trading the Silver Market

Silver is in for a rough few months ahead as the volatility is likely to be fairly severe. I believe that the Silver markets have probably bottomed longer-term, and with this being the case if you have the ability to take a non-leveraged position, perhaps you should. Commodity markets in general should do fairly well, especially commodity currencies.

Investors Shift Back into Gold as Trump’s Honeymoon Period Ends

Following the Nov election, outflows from gold ETFs & other products accelerated. But now, just two weeks into Trump’s term as president, the gold bulls are banging the drum, with several large hedge fund managers taking a contrarian bet on the precious metal. Following Trump’s comment that it was “too strong”, the U.S. dollar declined, helping gold prices rise.

Gold Trapped Between $1220 - $1180; India's Gold Demand Key

The up-move in gold, has been gradual as investors brace this week’s slew of important US macro releases. This week’s FOMC meeting, and the keenly watched US monthly jobs report, would be looked upon for fresh clues over the central bank’s near-term monetary policy outlook and eventually determine the next leg of directional move for the non-yielding yellow metal.

What Could Help Determine Where Gold Prices Are Headed This Year

As Gold prices near resistance it is important for it to show relative strength against the other asset classes and in particular Bonds and FC. A breakout in the Gold/Bonds ratio would signal that Gold would be less affected by weakness in Bonds (and rising yields). Meanwhile, continued strength for Gold/FC would signal that Gold prices would be less impacted by a rising US Dollar.

Gold Prices will soon Reflect the Damage Done (By / To) the US Dollar

As the reality of the ‘new’ Depression sets in, the failure of initial efforts by government will be seen more clearly. They will then step up their efforts. Damage to the US dollar would be reflected in the US dollar price of gold which could easily go from $700 to $7000 in months, maybe weeks. If you think that $7000 gold prices are right around the corner, better plan accordingly.

Safe Haven Gold Sentiment Reaches Five Year High

Gold investing sentiment among Western private investors came into 2017 with the strongest end of year reading for five years. Demand for the precious metal – which is generally seen as a safe haven investment in times of economic and market uncertainty – also set a four year record by weight in 2016, which confirmed the upturn in sentiment as prices rose across the year.

Buy Gold - Dump Treasuries: A Strategic Geopolitical Move, not a Day Trade

US Treasuries are being dumped and gold is being acquired by the largest investors in the world. This is being done not as a “day trade” but as a strategic geopolitical move. Those aims include the overthrow of the U.S. dollar as the benchmark global reserve currency. When that happens, collapsing confidence in the dollar will send the dollar price of gold skyrocketing.

Gold Price Outlook 2017: Analysts Call for Price Increase

Over the last five years, the gold price has more or less been stuck in a bear market. Moving into 2017, the gold price is expected to move much higher. One key indicator is the moving average of convergence/divergence, which is also known as MACD, and on a weekly basis the MACD and RSIR are indicating that the next move for gold will be up.

Will China & India's Falling Demand Impact Gold Prices? Can Central Bank Gold Demand Help?

The demand for gold has been weak in India & China. The cash crunch in India contributed to the falling demand. In an attempt to constrain the outflows of the Chinese yuan, China has curbed the import of gold. US federal debt is growing at a fast rate. When major central banks increase debt as a percentage of GDP, their gold holdings often rise – a positive for demand & gold prices.

Gold Price Outlook Hostage to Uncertain Trump & India

Things didn’t quite pan out the way gold bulls would have hoped, and now they face a new year where the price of the precious metal is likely to be hostage to developments that are inherently unpredictable. The two main risks for the gold outlook for 2017 are what actually happens in the presidency of Donald Trump & how the demonetization of India plays out.

SILVER - Ridiculously Underpriced, but Most Rewarding Investment Vehicle

A reminder of the factors that lead us to thinking about silver as a safe haven investment to begin with; as a protection against inflation, or an opportunity to make money & ‘profit’ over the short, intermediate, or long term. From whatever angle, just below a surface understanding, lies the recognition that it is nearly impossible to find any other investment vehicle so ridiculously underpriced.

Gold Prices Preparing for 'The Next Big Leap Higher'

Where could gold be heading? Fundamentals and the macro picture strongly indicate that gold is in a long consolidation phase and coiling for the next big leg higher. The fact that the markets are currently fully pricing a Fed hike next week while also expecting a relatively hawkish tone, makes it a very good long entry point. Let’s see if the shiny metal can finally fly.

Higher Debt Will Accelerate Central Bank Gold Demand

The U.S. government is currently saddled with $19.9 trillion in public debt. The US dollar accounts for about 64 percent of central banks’ foreign exchange reserves. With the potential for higher U.S. budget deficits and debt risking dollar strength, central banks around the globe could be motivated to increase their gold holdings, says Credit Suisse.

Gold Treads Danger Zone - Yet Why Do Some Feel Optimistic?

The presence of considerable global economic, political, market risks and considering that the longer end of the yield curve and the sky-high USD have already tightened conditions, the Fed is likely to deliver a dovish hike later in December. This could mean the dollar & rates along the curve may slide lower & prompt technical traders to send gold back into $1,200-plus territory.

Gold Investment Amid Fears of Govt. Crackdown & Weakening Prices

Domestic gold prices are expected to remain range bound with a weaker bias in the next quarter because the dollar is strengthening against the Indian rupee. Local gold demand has come down drastically after demonetisation. Gold sales from wholesalers to retail jewellers have come down by around 90%. The situation is expected to remain like this till 31 December.

The Carnage in the Gold Sector Could Be Over

The rally in gold and silver has corrected hard which is not all that unusual for any bull market. The price of gold is approximately $200/oz lower than its June peak of $1375/oz. RSI is down to 20.63 which is the lowest it has been for some time. A reading below the ‘30’ level is considered to be oversold, so we can see that gold is extremely oversold and a bounce from here is not impossible.

Gold Prices Bounce from Key Support - Bull Market Intact

Gold could see a better tone this week assuming that the dollar takes a bit of a breather from its upward advance and if U.S. equity markets pause after several weeks of heady gains. Despite on a short-term sell signal, the gold sector remains firmly on a long-term buy signal. Long-term signals can last for months and years and are more suitable for investors holding for long term.

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