Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘US Equities’

Yellen Succeeds in bringing Asset Price Inflation - Result of this Success to be Feared

Yellen, like notorious previous Fed chiefs including Strong, Martin & Greenspan, can now claim success in having prolonged & strengthened an asset price inflation which otherwise may well have been about to enter its severe end phase. If history is any guide, the result of that success is to be feared. Asset price inflation goes through a mid-late phase where speculative temperatures move sharply.

Bizarre Love Triangle – Stocks, Gold And Oil

Using their historical relationship or long-term ranges: U.S. stocks look mildly cheap to oil and gold, but drops in those commodities would erase the difference just as easily as a further rally in stocks. Gold looks cheap relative to oil and should be $170 higher, or oil should trade closer to $71.

It Can't Be A Bubble! Does One Actually Exist Or Not?

Ultimately the question is whether brisk money supply growth will be maintained and whether the economy’s real pool of funding is still large enough to allow for additional diversions of scarce resources into bubble activities. Most of the time, it’s the eventual slowdown of money supply growth that brings a bubble to its knees.

Safe Havens Since The Great Financial Crisis

How have the traditional safe havens performed since the great financial crash of 2008 / 2009? What can we expect from the traditional safe havens going forward? As we try to answer these two questions, the safe havens we look at in this article are the US Dollar, US Treasuries, Gold and the Yen.

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