Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Weak Dollar’

Will Gold Trump Politics In 2017? Prospects for Gold Investors in a Trump Economy

What is Trumponomics? And do you think it’ll be bullish or bearish for gold? If Trump thinks China is keeping its currency too cheap & he’s going to do something about it, that means the dollar is going to get cheaper which is usually a tailwind for gold. The dollar price of gold is simply the inverse of the strength of the dollar, So, weak dollar usually means a higher dollar price for gold.

Gold Prices Can Test $2,000 in 18 months on Weak Dollar & Geo-political Tensions

Part of the bullish case for gold prices is an emerging distrust towards U.S. geopolitical behavior & accelerating physical gold purchasing in the rest of the world. While some may be discussing the dollar or equities’ impact on gold prices, the driving factor behind the metal’s price will become “the loss in trust of leadership and governments and financial markets.

What is President Trump's US Dollar Policy?

Let’s take a look at what Trumponomics really means for the direction of the US dollar. If the Trump Administration really wanted a weaker US dollar they would ask for Janet Yellen’s resignation & appoint someone even more dovish than she is. A successful implementation of Trumponomics equates to a stronger US dollar, higher bond yields & rising borrowing costs.

A Technical Correction in Dollar can put some Pressure on Gold Prices

Given the relatively small amount of deliverable gold in the market at any one time, the gold price has the potential to be extremely volatile with this level of off-market speculation hanging over it. The wider public is slowly waking up to the horrors of negative interest rates & withdrawal of high-denomination bank notes, both which will almost certainly increase demand for physical gold.

The Surprising Force Behind The Rally In Gold Prices - Can It Continue?

After a few years of losses, gold prices have risen 17% year-to-date as of April 25, making it one of the best-performing investments this year. Perhaps more remarkably, gold mining stocks are up nearly 78% during the same period. The question now is: can the rally continue? Let’s take a look at the catalysts for the rally in gold prices.

Gold’s Price Movement is not a Gold Story. It’s a Dollar Story

If gold went from $1,900 an ounce to $1,100, to me, that’s a 50% increase in the value of a dollar. If gold goes from $1,100 to $1,500, I would think of that as a devaluation of the dollar. What that tells me is the story is really about the dollar. So what’s happening to gold is not unique to just gold. It’s something that is affecting all of the other commodities & currencies.

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